New York have thrown six touchdown passes and no interceptions. It is the only clean sheet of its kind in the league, and our Jets vs Patriots prediction tests it at Gillette.
The New York Jets are 2-3 but rate 104.2 through the air, the fourth-best figure in the NFL. The New England Patriots are 3-2 and have thrown seven interceptions, more than any team playing this week.
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
New York JetsSquawka15%Market24%▼ Slight lay
New England PatriotsSquawka85%Market76%▲ ValueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Jets vs Patriots: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jets vs Patriots: 2026 form so far
A clean passing game against a careless one. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually conceded.
Jets attack against the Patriots defense
| Per game | Jets offense | Patriots allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 190.0 | 205.4 |
| Rushing yards | 94.0 | 90.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 104.2 | 90.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.8% | 38.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 46.2% | 60.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.2 | 2.2 |
Patriots attack against the Jets defense
| Per game | Patriots offense | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 245.2 | 175.0 |
| Rushing yards | 127.2 | 118.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 89.0 | 89.5 |
| Touchdowns | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.5% | 33.9% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.2 | 3.4 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
New York have thrown no interceptions and New England seven. That is a 93-point offense being more careful than a 110-point one.
Jets vs Patriots quarterback matchup
New York rate 104.2 through the air to New England’s 89.0, and the Jets have thrown no interceptions against the Patriots’ seven.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | Geno Smith | 31/37, 321 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 129.8 rtg | 85/117, 902 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 109.0 rtg (4 games) |
| Patriots | Drake Maye | 14/25, 199 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 48.6 rtg | 73/117, 854 yds, 4 TD, 7 INT, 71.0 rtg (4 games) |
| Tommy DeVito | 3/5, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 77.1 rtg | 3/5, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 77.1 rtg (1 game) |
Jets vs Patriots injury report and team news
New York have thrown six touchdown passes and no interceptions in five games.
David Bailey has five sacks for the Jets, in a front that has recorded 17.
New England have thrown seven interceptions, the most of any team playing this week.
New York JetsNew England PatriotsClean against careless
Six touchdown passes, no interceptions. New York’s passing game has been the tidiest in the league, and a 104.2 rating puts it fourth overall behind San Francisco, Baltimore and Jacksonville.
It has not translated. The Jets have scored 93 points, convert 46.2% in the red zone, and have taken 47 penalties, second only to Cleveland.
New England are the opposite: 110 points, seven interceptions, and a defense that has conceded 11 touchdowns. Whoever stops giving the ball away probably wins.
Players to watch
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): 374 receiving yards in a passing game rating 104.2.
- David Bailey (NYJ, DE): Five sacks for a front that has recorded 17.
- TreVeyon Henderson (NE, RB): Shares a backfield running for 4.21 a carry.
- Hunter Henry (NE, TE): A dependable target for an offense that has scored 110 points.
How to watch Jets vs Patriots
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Gillette Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Jets vs Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Jets vs Patriots prediction and score projection
New England win 24-17. The Jets are tidier but have scored 17 fewer points, and home field in a divisional game decides a margin this thin.
Signal’s win probability for this game moves as the designations land.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see our weekly NFL picks and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. For the player side of this game, see prop markets for this game.
Jets vs Patriots FAQ
New England, at home. The Patriots are 3-2 at +16; the Jets are 2-3 at -3.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, at Gillette Stadium.
None. They have six touchdown passes and no interceptions in five games.
New York, with 47, second only to Cleveland across the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change