Eagles vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks & Odds

Jacksonville have given up five touchdowns in four games. Only Minnesota have conceded fewer, and our Eagles vs Jaguars prediction turns on whether Philadelphia can be the side that finally finishes a drive against them.

London gets the pick of the early slate. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 3-1 with a +51 point differential; the Philadelphia Eagles are 2-2 and have been outscored by 18. Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is the neutral ground, though the 9:30 AM ET kickoff is the detail most American viewers will notice first.

Week 5 · Editorial pick

Eagles vs Jaguars: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

AT

Our props

TotalUnder 43.5 pointsJacksonville allow a 28.6% red-zone conversion rate, second only to Minnesota, and Philadelphia are converting 35.8% on third down. Neither side has scored freely: the Eagles have nine touchdowns in four games.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

Player propBhayshul Tuten 65+ rushing yardsTuten has 277 rushing yards at 4.15 a carry. Philadelphia concede 4.03 a carry and 488 rushing yards, and a lead on the road is exactly when Jacksonville lean on him.

★★☆☆☆2/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Eagles vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far

A one-sided table that hides a strange split. The figures below set each attack against what the opposing defense has actually conceded.

Eagles attack against the Jaguars defense

Jaguars attack against the Eagles defense

Figures are season to date, across 4 games.

Jacksonville have allowed 1,121 passing yards, more than any side in this week’s fifteen games. They have also allowed five touchdowns. Yards between the 20s cost them nothing; the moment an opponent reaches the red zone, the Jaguars have been close to unbeatable.

Eagles vs Jaguars quarterback matchup

Trevor Lawrence’s 111.2 rating is 28 points clear of Jalen Hurts’s 83.0. Both have been sacked more than they would like, Philadelphia twelve times.

Eagles vs Jaguars injury report and team news

Trevor Lawrence has eight touchdown passes and a 111.2 team passer rating, his best four-game start in a Jacksonville shirt.

Philadelphia’s receiving room is thin, and Friday’s designations will decide how thin. The Eagles have scored nine touchdowns in four games, fewest of any team with a winning record or better.

Saquon Barkley has 182 rushing yards, well off the pace he set last year.

The red-zone number that decides Eagles vs Jaguars

Start with the split. Jacksonville concede yardage happily — 1,121 through the air, the most on this slate — and then concede almost nothing once the field shortens. A 28.6% red-zone conversion rate against is the second-best mark in the NFL.

Philadelphia are built to exploit exactly that, or they were. The Eagles convert 61.5% of their own red-zone trips and Jalen Hurts has seven touchdown passes. But they have managed 75 points in four games, and the short-yardage offense that defined them last season has not travelled.

Jacksonville’s run defense is the quieter edge: 297 rushing yards allowed, second only to Atlanta, at 3.26 a carry. If Barkley can’t move, Hurts throws into a secondary that gives up yards but not scores, and the Eagles end up kicking.

Players to watch

• Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): Eight touchdown passes at a 111.2 team rating, and a +51 differential behind him.
• Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC, WR): Jacksonville’s primary target in an offense scoring 26 points a game.
• Saquon Barkley (PHI, RB): 182 rushing yards in four games, against a defense allowing 3.26 a carry.
• Jalen Hurts (PHI, QB): Seven touchdown passes, but an 83.0 rating and 12 sacks taken.

How to watch Eagles vs Jaguars

Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 11 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT. NFL Network carries the game nationally.

Eagles vs Jaguars prediction and score projection

Jacksonville win 24-17. The Jaguars have the better record, the better differential and the defense that has actually stopped people where it counts.

The model’s line and the live market price for this game both move as the week goes on.

Every Week 5 game, previewed

The rest of the round sits in our pick record and the NFL odds page. The outright markets are priced in who wins the NFC. We price the player markets in player prop betting.

Eagles vs Jaguars FAQ

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change