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49ers vs Seahawks Prediction, Picks & Odds

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks prediction, picks and odds for Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season

San Francisco have not allowed a sack all season. They are the only team in the NFL who can say that, and our 49ers vs Seahawks prediction sends them to the loudest stadium in the league to defend it.

This is the game of the week. The San Francisco 49ers are 4-0 with a +58 point differential, the best in football. The Seattle Seahawks are 3-1 and have conceded 579 passing yards, fewer than anyone else. Something has to give at Lumen Field.

Week 5 · Editorial pick

49ers vs Seahawks: our editor’s props

Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.

49ers AT Seahawks

Our props

TotalUnder 45.5 pointsSeattle concede a 72.1 opponent passer rating and 28.6% on third down, both among the three best marks in the league. San Francisco have the best offense in football, which is why this is a lean rather than a conviction.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propJaxon Smith-Njigba 75+ receiving yardsSmith-Njigba has 481 receiving yards from 32 catches, third in the NFL. San Francisco concede an 87.1 opponent rating, which is respectable rather than suffocating.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

49ers vs Seahawks: 2026 form so far

The best record in football against the best pass defense. The table measures each attack against what the opposing side has actually conceded.

49ers attack against the Seahawks defense

Per game49ers offenseSeahawks allow
Passing yards251.8144.8
Rushing yards137.2102.0
Yards per carry4.83.6
Passer rating126.272.1
Touchdowns4.02.0
Third-down conversion57.5%28.6%
Red-zone conversion84.6%66.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded0.02.8

Seahawks attack against the 49ers defense

Per gameSeahawks offense49ers allow
Passing yards237.0209.0
Rushing yards110.299.8
Yards per carry3.93.7
Passer rating112.187.1
Touchdowns3.21.5
Third-down conversion31.1%44.1%
Red-zone conversion56.2%45.5%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.51.5

Figures are season to date, across 4 games.

Zero sacks allowed in four games and 113 pass attempts. No other team in the league is on fewer than five, and Seattle’s eleven sacks make this the matchup the game turns on.

49ers vs Seahawks quarterback matchup

San Francisco’s 126.2 team passer rating is the highest in the league, and Seattle’s 112.1 is third. This is the best quarterback matchup on the card.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
49ersBrock Purdy15/27, 297 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 133.8 rtg79/113, 1007 yds, 11 TD, 1 INT, 126.2 rtg (4 games)
SeahawksSam Darnold31/45, 379 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT, 105.7 rtg45/69, 560 yds, 6 TD, 3 INT, 101.1 rtg (3 games)
Last game is Week 3. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

49ers vs Seahawks injury report and team news

San Francisco’s receiving room has been thinned by injury, with Ricky Pearsall and Christian Kirk both on injured reserve. Mike Evans and Brandin Cooks have taken on the load alongside George Kittle.

Zach Charbonnet is on injured reserve for Seattle, leaving the backfield to Emanuel Wilson and George Holani.

Seattle have conceded 579 passing yards, the fewest of any team in the NFL.

Zero sacks against eleven

Start with the protection. San Francisco have given up nothing in 113 attempts, which is why Brock Purdy has eleven touchdown passes and a 126.2 rating, both at or near the top of the league. Clean pockets have produced the best offense in football.

Seattle are the first side equipped to break it. Eleven sacks, a 72.1 opponent passer rating that only Minnesota better, and 28.6% allowed on third down. Lumen Field has historically been worth a false start or two as well.

The 49ers have one genuine vulnerability and it is personnel. With Pearsall and Kirk on injured reserve, the receiving group leans on Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks and Kittle. Against a secondary this good, that is a narrower set of answers than San Francisco have needed so far.

Players to watch

  • George Kittle (SF, TE): 244 receiving yards, and the most reliable target in a thinned receiving group.
  • Christian McCaffrey (SF, RB): 218 rushing yards behind a line that has conceded no sacks.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): 481 receiving yards from 32 catches, third in the NFL.
  • Cooper Kupp (SEA, WR): A second target in a passing game rating 112.1.

How to watch 49ers vs Seahawks

Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 11 at Lumen Field, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. FOX has the national broadcast.

Detail49ers vs Seahawks
DateSunday, October 11, 2026
Kickoff4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT
VenueLumen Field, Seattle, WA
TVFOX
Live streamNFL+ / Fubo
WeekWeek 5, 2026 NFL season

49ers vs Seahawks prediction and score projection

Seattle win 24-21. This is the upset call of the week: the Seahawks have the pass defense to make San Francisco uncomfortable for the first time, and Lumen Field does the rest.

The model’s number and the live market price for this game both update through the week.

Every Week 5 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMBuccaneers @ CowboysCowboys 27-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMEagles @ JaguarsJaguars 24-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMBears @ PackersBears 24-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMBengals @ DolphinsBengals 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMBrowns @ JetsBrowns 20-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ TitansTexans 19-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMColts @ SteelersSteelers 21-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMRaiders @ PatriotsRaiders 23-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMVikings @ SaintsVikings 26-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMGiants @ CommandersGiants 24-17Read
Sun 4:05 PMBroncos @ ChargersBroncos 23-17Read
Sun 4:25 PMLions @ CardinalsLions 27-20Read
Sun 4:25 PM49ers @ SeahawksSeahawks 24-21You are here
Sun 8:20 PMRavens @ FalconsRavens 26-20Read
Mon 8:15 PMBills @ RamsBills 27-23Read

NFL predictions for the round and our NFL betting coverage carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in the NFC board. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.

49ers vs Seahawks FAQ

Who is favored, the 49ers or the Seahawks?

San Francisco on form, at 4-0 with the best point differential in the NFL. Seattle are 3-1 and at home.

What time is 49ers vs Seahawks?

4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 11, at Lumen Field.

Have San Francisco really not conceded a sack?

No sacks in four games and 113 pass attempts. They are the only team in the NFL yet to allow one.

How good is Seattle’s pass defense?

They have conceded 579 passing yards, the fewest in the league, at a 72.1 opponent rating.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change