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    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds & Predictions

    NFCNFC SouthElo 1505.6 · #20 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Buccaneers game this season, plus NFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Buccaneers 2026 outlook

    38.6%Make playoffs
    31.9%Win NFC South
    1.4%No.1 seed
    2.0%Win NFC
    0.7%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Buccaneers Super Bowl odds0.7%1.4%1.0%-0.7Fair
    Buccaneers NFC Championship odds2.0%3.4%2.9%-1.4Fair
    Buccaneers NFC South odds31.9%Model read
    Next game · Week 1CINat Cincinnati BengalsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka45% (+122)
    Market35% (+186)
    Gap+9.4 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedTB +1.4
    MarketTB +3.5
    Total50.0

    Signal read

    Value
    Spread 
    Buccaneers
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    NFC South standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin NFC SouthPlayoffs
    TBTampa Bay Buccaneers–31.9%38.6%
    ATLAtlanta Falcons–30.8%36.8%
    NONew Orleans Saints–28.0%34.5%
    CARCarolina Panthers–9.3%11.8%
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    Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1@CINCincinnati BengalsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET45%win prob+1.4proj line+3.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2vsCLECleveland BrownsSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET63%win prob-3.4proj line-270market price
    WK 3vsMINMinnesota VikingsSun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET44%win prob+1.6proj line–market
    WK 4vsGBGreen Bay PackersSun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET47%win prob+0.9proj line–market
    WK 5@DALDallas CowboysThu Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET48%win prob+0.5proj line–market
    WK 6vsPITPittsburgh SteelersSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET48%win prob+0.6proj line–market
    WK 7@CARCarolina PanthersSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.4proj line–market
    WK 8vsATLAtlanta FalconsSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET56%win prob-1.6proj line–market
    WK 9@CHIChicago BearsSun Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET38%win prob+3.2proj line–market
    WK 10Bye week
    WK 11@DETDetroit LionsSun Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET34%win prob+4.3proj line–market
    WK 12vsCARCarolina PanthersMon Nov 30, 8:15 PM ET61%win prob-3.0proj line–market
    WK 13vsLACLos Angeles ChargersSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET46%win prob+1.0proj line–market
    WK 14@BALBaltimore RavensSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET36%win prob+3.7proj line–market
    WK 15vsNONew Orleans SaintsSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET61%win prob-2.8proj line–market
    WK 16@ATLAtlanta Falcons FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET46%win prob+1.0proj line–market
    WK 17vsLALos Angeles Rams FlexSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET38%win prob+3.2proj line–market
    WK 18@NONew Orleans Saints FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.2proj line–market

    Buccaneers injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Buccaneers coverage

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    Tampa Bay Buccaneers roster

    75 players · tap to open

    Offense 36

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    10Jalon DanielsQBKansas
    6Baker MayfieldQB9Oklahoma
    Easton StickQB7North Dakota State
    1Kenny GainwellRB6Memphis
    7Bucky IrvingRB3Oregon
    44Sean TuckerRB4Syracuse
    Josh WilliamsRB2LSU
    2Emeka EgbukaWR2Ohio State
    Garrett GreeneWR1West Virginia
    Dennis HoustonWR1Western Illinois
    17Ted Hurst IIIWRGeorgia State
    Dean Patterson IVWRGeorgia Tech
    19Kameron JohnsonWR3Barton
    15Tez JohnsonWR2Oregon
    14Chris Godwin Jr.WR10Penn State
    Eric Rivers Jr.WRGeorgia Tech
    11Jalen McMillanWR3Washington
    80David Sills VWR4West Virginia
    82CJ DippreTE2Alabama
    87Payne DurhamTE4Purdue
    41Ko KieftTE5Minnesota
    88Cade OttonTE5Washington
    84Bauer SharpTELSU
    62Graham BartonC3Duke
    68Ben BredesonG7Michigan
    65Dan FeeneyG10Indiana
    69Cody MauchG4North Dakota State
    75Billy SchrauthGNotre Dame
    Ben ScottG1Nebraska
    72Luke HaggardOG2Indiana
    Henry LutovskyOGNebraska
    70Benjamin ChukwumaOT2Georgia State
    67Luke GoedekeT5Central Michigan
    76Paul RubeltTUCF
    77Justin SkuleT7Vanderbilt
    78Tristan WirfsT7Iowa

    Defense 36

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    90DeMonte CapehartDTClemson
    Jayson JonesDT1Auburn
    91A'Shawn RobinsonDT11Alabama
    94Calijah KanceyDL4Pittsburgh
    73Deshawn McKnightDLArizona
    56Rakeem Nunez-RochesDL12Southern Miss
    95Elijah RobertsDL2SMU
    92Elijah SimmonsDL2Tennessee
    50Vita VeaNT9Washington
    34Alex AnzaloneLB10Florida
    8SirVocea DennisLB4Pittsburgh
    Caden FordhamLBNC State
    52Christian RozeboomLB6South Dakota State
    45Josiah TrotterLBMissouri
    Javin WrightLBNebraska
    0Yaya DiabyOLB4Louisville
    Yasir HolmesOLBTarleton State
    3Rueben Bain Jr.OLBMiami (FL)
    Mohamed KamaraOLB2Colorado State
    97Al-Quadin MuhammadOLB9Miami (FL)
    98Anthony NelsonOLB8Iowa
    51David WalkerOLB2Central Arkansas
    24Ayden GarnesCBArizona
    32Josh HayesCB4Kansas State
    Kevin KnowlesCB2Florida State
    27Zyon McCollumCB5Sam Houston
    21Benjamin MorrisonCB2Notre Dame
    26Sean Murphy-BuntingCB7Central Michigan
    25Jacob ParrishCB2Kansas State
    22Keionte ScottCBMiami (FL)
    31Antoine Winfield Jr.SAF7Minnesota
    29Miles KillebrewSAF11Southern Utah
    Ifeatu MelifonwuSAF6Syracuse
    JJ RobertsSAF2Marshall
    23Tykee SmithSAF3Georgia
    33Silas WaltersSAFMiami (OH)

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    4Chase McLaughlinK8Illinois
    9Riley DixonP11Syracuse
    86Evan DeckersLS3Duke