Premier League winner odds for 2026/27 make Arsenal the 8/11 favourites to retain their crown, ahead of Man City, Chelsea and Liverpool.
The champions ended a 22-year wait for the Premier League title in 2025/26. They began the defence at home to newly promoted Coventry City on Friday 21st August, and the market has hardened in their favour since.
Mikel Arteta’s side finished on 85 points, seven clear of Manchester City, to land a first league title since 2003/04. After three straight runner-up finishes, Arsenal got over the line at last.
Premier League title odds represent the likelihood of each team winning the Premier League, as estimated by sportsbooks. They are part of the outright betting market, where you wager on season-long outcomes rather than individual matches.
Bookmakers use data models, expert judgement and market forces to set these odds, with each price carrying an implied probability. Title odds, both fractional and decimal, are dynamic. They change as new information shifts the perceived probability of outcomes. Bookmakers adjust their Premier League outright odds regularly based on results, injuries and transfers. Understanding these shifts helps bettors spot early value.
Premier League winner odds: the 2026/27 favourites
Arsenal head the market ahead of Man City, with Chelsea now third in the betting. The opening weeks have already reshaped the market: Arsenal have shortened from 6/4 to 8/11, while Liverpool and Manchester United have drifted a long way.
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Arsenal – 8/11
Arsenal broke their duck in style. They led the way for most of 2025/26 and held off Man City’s late charge to win the league by seven points. Their 26 wins and +44 goal difference were both the best in the division.
The summer signings of 2025 proved decisive. Martin Zubimendi added control in midfield, freeing Declan Rice to push forward. Viktor Gyokeres chipped in with 14 league goals in his debut season, while Noni Madueke gave Arteta extra depth in the wide areas.
The question now changes. Arsenal no longer have to prove they will win a title. They have to prove they will defend one, something no side outside Man City have managed since 2008/09. Our dedicated Arsenal outright odds page tracks their title defence in detail.
Man City – 11/4
Man City pushed the champions all the way, finishing second on 78 points after another strong run-in. Their 77 goals made them the division’s top scorers, with Erling Haaland claiming a third Golden Boot on 27 goals.
With Pep Guardiola departing, Enzo Maresca now has the task of restoring Man City back to the summit of the Premier League. Having won six titles between 2017/18 and 2023/24, Man City have now gone two years without lifting the trophy and Maresca will be expected to end that barren run this season.
Liverpool – 14/1
Liverpool finished fifth in 2025/26 after an inconsistent campaign, and the market has since lost patience, pushing them out from 11/2 to 14/1. That price now rates them behind Chelsea, and reflects last season’s form. A big response is expected at Anfield after a season of decline since their 2024/25 title. You can follow their price on our Liverpool outright odds page.
Man Utd – 25/1
Manchester United were the surprise package of 2025/26, finishing third on 71 points to secure a return to the top four. A drift from 7/1 to 25/1 shows how quickly the market has cooled on that revival, and the gap to Arsenal and Man City was already a sizeable 14 points.
Chelsea – 8/1
Chelsea are third favourites at 8/1. Enzo Maresca left Stamford Bridge midway through last season before resurfacing at Man City, so a new era is only just beginning. Even so, the market rates them the best of the chasing pack, with Tottenham out at 150/1.
What do the odds mean? Title chances as percentages
Premier League winner odds translate directly into implied probability. Convert each price into a percentage and you can see how likely the bookmakers rate each contender.
| Team | Odds | Implied chance |
| Arsenal | 8/11 | 58% |
| Man City | 11/4 | 27% |
| Chelsea | 8/1 | 11% |
| Liverpool | 14/1 | 7% |
| Man Utd | 25/1 | 4% |
In short, the market gives Arsenal a shade under a three-in-five chance of retaining the title. The percentages add up to more than 100 because of the bookmaker margin, known as the overround.
Premier League relegation odds
In simple terms, the relegation market covers which teams will finish in the bottom three at the end of the Premier League season, or conversely, which clubs survive.
Bookmakers set these odds using historical and underlying performance metrics, season-progress indicators and market behaviour. The odds move throughout the campaign as results, injuries, fixtures and transfer activity shift the perceived risk.
As is usually the case, the three promoted clubs start as favourites for the drop. Coventry City, Ipswich Town and Hull City replace West Ham, Burnley and Wolves, who all went down in 2025/26.
| Team | Odds (bet365) |
|---|---|
| Coventry | 4/9 |
| Hull City | 8/15 |
| Ipswich | 1/1 |
| Fulham | 7/4 |
| Sunderland | 11/4 |
| Crystal Palace | 10/3 |
| Leeds | 12/1 |
Coventry, back in the top flight as Championship champions, are now the shortest price to go straight back down, just ahead of play-off winners Hull. Coventry went up after a 95-point, 97-goal season, Hull came through the play-offs with a 1-0 win over Middlesbrough at Wembley, and Ipswich bounced back at the first attempt.
For team-by-team prices and analysis, see our full Premier League relegation odds page.
Premier League Golden Boot odds
The Golden Boot market allows bettors to wager on which player will finish as the top goalscorer in the competition. Erling Haaland claimed the 2025/26 award with 27 goals, five clear of Brentford’s Igor Thiago, to win the prize for a third time.
Erling Haaland is the 4/7 favourite to make it back-to-back Golden Boots. Alexander Isak is next at 7/1, with last season’s runner-up Igor Thiago out at 25/1. Joao Pedro has been the big mover, in to 8/1, while Kai Havertz and Cole Palmer are 20/1.
For the full market and player-by-player analysis, see our Premier League Golden Boot odds page, our Erling Haaland goals specials and the latest anytime goalscorer tips.
Other Premier League outright markets
- To Finish Top Four. This market predicts which teams will end the season in the positions that usually qualify for the Champions League. Odds are based on form, squad strength, fixture difficulty and projected points totals.
- To Finish Top Six. Similar to the Top Four market, but covering the six highest positions and the European qualification spots below them.
- To Finish in Top Half. Bets on a team finishing 10th or higher, a market that typically appeals for mid-table or promoted sides.
- Without the Big Six. A market that removes Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man Utd and Tottenham. Bettors back which of the remaining clubs finishes highest, effectively a mini-league among the rest.
- Player awards (PFA Player of the Year). This market predicts the winner of the award voted for by fellow players, factoring in form, goal contributions and team success.
- Manager of the Year. Bets on the season’s outstanding manager, rewarding both title winners and surprise overperformers.
Beyond the winner market, bookmakers price dozens of season-long Premier League markets. These tend to fluctuate more than title odds because the competition is tighter. Popular options include top four odds, season handicap odds and most assists odds. In addition, there are team specials such as Arsenal’s title defence and Brentford to finish in the top six.
Premier League winner odds FAQ
Arsenal are the 8/11 favourites after winning their first title in 22 years. Man City are next at 11/4, followed by Chelsea at 8/1.
Odds of 8/11 give Arsenal an implied probability of around 58 per cent. In other words, the market rates their title defence as a shade under a three-in-five chance.
The season started on Friday 21st August 2026, when champions Arsenal hosted newly promoted Coventry City. It was a later start than usual after the 2026 World Cup summer.
Man City won four in a row between 2020/21 and 2023/24. Outside City, no club has retained the title since Manchester United in 2008/09.
Read more:
Premier League predictions & tips
Football Accumulator tips
Latest live streaming fixtures
Premier League relegation odds
Premier League Golden Boot odds
Premier League top four odds