Outright Odds

World Cup outright odds: Post-draw favourites and dark horses for Qatar 2022

By Andrew Francis

Published: 22:30, 14 June 2022 | Updated: 17:33, 15 August 2022

The World Cup begins in November, with 32 of the best national teams in the world meeting in Qatar to determine the winner of the 22nd winner of international football’s biggest competition.

France are the current World Cup holders, having beaten Croatia 4-2 in the 2018 final, held in Russia. That was their second World Cup final win, following their 3-0 victory over Brazil in 1998.

Below you will find the latest World Cup outright odds for 2022, as well as our top picks and dark horses for the trophy this year.

The latest World Cup outright odds for 2022

Nation Sky Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport   Nation Sky  Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport
Brazil 9/2 5/1 5/1   Poland 150/1 100/1 100/1
France 5/1 11/2 11/2   Serbia 100/1 100/1 100/1
England 13/2 13/2 13/2   USA 150/1 100/1 100/1
Argentina 7/1 13/2 13/2   Australia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Spain 8/1 15/2 15/2   Ecuador 150/1 125/1 125/1
Germany 9/1 9/1 9/1   Cameroon 250/1 250/1 250/1
Belgium 14/1 11/1 11/1   Japan 250/1 250/1 250/1
Netherlands 12/1 12/1 12/1   South Korea 250/1 250/1 250/1
Portugal 14/1 12/1 12/1   Tunisia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Denmark 28/1 30/1 30/1   Ghana 500/1 250/1 250/1
Croatia 50/1 45/1 45/1   Morocco 250/1 200/1 200/1
Uruguay 40/1 45/1 45/1   Canada 500/1 200/1 200/1
Senegal 80/1 90/1 90/1   Iran 500/1 500/1 500/1
Switzerland 66/1 80/1 80/1   Qatar 500/1 250/1 250/1
Wales 100/1 150/1 150/1   Saudi Arabia 750/1 500/1 500/1
Mexico 80/1 100/1 100/1   Costa Rica 750/1 500/1 500/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (08:00, 27/09/2022).BeGambleAware.

Who are the favourites for the World Cup?


Paddy Power 888 Sport
5/1 5/1
5/1 5/1
  • Group G opponents: Serbia, Switzerland, Cameroon

Brazil are favourites to lift the World Cup at present and the world No.1 by Fifa rankings. There can be no disputing the talent at their disposal, with the likes of Neymar, Alisson and Casemiro being the star players in the squad.

They’ve led the way in Conmebol qualifying, topping the group and avoiding defeat in all of their games. In fact, they’ve lost just one of their last 15 competitive games, with their sole loss coming against Argentina in the Copa America final.

The country, of course, has pedigree at the World Cup, too. They’ve hosted the competition twice and lifted the trophy fives times, more than any other nation and would love to add another to their tally.

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Paddy Power 888 Sport
11/2 11/2
  • Group D opponents: Australia, Denmark, Tunisia

France are the current holders of the World Cup, winning the trophy for the second time by beating Croatia 4-2 in 2018. Their qualifying campaign for the 2022 World Cup saw them go unbeaten, as they topped Group D ahead of Ukraine.

Les Bleus could have the most talented squad coming into the competition with Mbappe, Pogba, Griezmann and Benzema all expected to star in Qatar. There have been prolonged rumours of discontent within Didier Deschamps squad and improving the squad harmony could be vital to France’s success in November.


Paddy Power 888 Sport
13/2 13/2
  • Group B opponents: Iran, USA, Wales

England always seem to be mentioned among the favourites before major tournaments before flattering to deceive but in recent years, The Three Lions have got a lot closer to ending their trophy drought.

They reached the semi-final stage of the World Cup in 2018, before going one step further and losing in the final of Euro 2021 to Italy. There is something promising about Gareth Southgate’s side but it remains to be seen if they can turn that promise into success on the pitch.


Who are the World Cup dark horses?


Paddy Power 888 Sport
12/1 12/1
  • Group A opponents: Qatar, Ecuador, Senegal

Netherlands topped Group G in Uefa qualifying, losing just one game before going nine games unbeaten. Perhaps most impressively, though, were the 33 goals they scored in 10 games to secure top spot. They join hosts Qatar in Group A, along with reigning Afcon champions Senegal and Ecuador.

The nation have often failed to live up to their promise but the current crop of players seem understated but with bags of ability. If Netherlands find their rhythm early and build momentum, they could be a outside shout to win their first-ever World Cup.


Paddy Power 888 Sport
30/1 30/1
  • Group D opponents: France, Australia, Tunisia

Denmark looked impressive in their qualifying campaign, winning Group F with ease. They lost just one match, their final group game when qualification was already secured, and scored an average of three goals a game across their 10 matches.

They don’t have any true superstar players but, instead, a group that play for each other and could progress deep into the tournament, as shown by their run to the semi-finals of Euro 2021.


Paddy Power 888 Sport
50/1 50/1
  • Group H opponents: Portugal, Ghana, South Korea

Uruguay didn’t have the easiest qualifying campaign, struggling to keep pace with Brazil and Argentina at the top of the Conmebol group. They have been able to secure their path to Qatar, though, and have enough talent in their squad to really make an impact on the competition.

They might need a little bit of luck but with a squad boasting Luis Suarez, Edinson Cavani and Darwin Nunez in their front line, they certainly have the star power in attack to compete.

World Cup group stage predictions?

All odds and offers in this article are accurate at the time of publication. Prices/odds are subject to fluctuation. You must be 18+ to gamble. Please play responsibly. For more information, visit begambleaware.org

  • Predicted Group A winner: Netherlands have won all three of their group games in each of the last two World Cup finals they have qualified for in 2010 and 2014.
  • Predicted Group B winner: England scored more goals than any other European side in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup (39), whilst only Switzerland (2) conceded fewer goals than the Three Lions (3).
  • Predicted Group C winner: Argentina have now gone 33 games unbeaten since losing to Brazil in July 2019 (22 wins, 11 draws).
  • Predicted Group D winner: To give you an idea of France’s firepower, take a look at the list of players with the most goals and assists combined in Europe’s top five leagues since the start of last season. Kylian Mbappe (45), Karim Benzema (39),Robert Lewandowski (38), Mohamed Salah (37), Christopher Nkunku (34), Erling Haaland (31).
  • Predicted Group E winner: Spain are unbeaten in their last four games against Group E rivals Germany, including a 6-0 win in the Nations League in November 2020 (and they’ve never lost to Japan or Costa Rica).
  • Predicted Group F winner: Belgium have lost just one of their 12 World Cup group games since 1998, a 2-0 defeat to eventual champions Brazil in 2002. They scored more goals than any other side during the group stages at the 2018 World Cup (9), winning all three of their matches, including a 2-0 win over England.
  • Predicted Group G winner: Brazil – Since the World Cup format changed in 1986, Brazil have only ever lost one of their 27 group stage games (a 2-1 defeat to Norway in 1998 after they had already qualified as group winners).
  • Predicted Group H winner: Portugal – Cristiano Ronaldo is looking to become the first ever player to score at five different World Cup tournaments and all seven of his World Cup goals have come in the group stages.



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