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Squawka / Outright markets / France World Cup 2026 odds: Outright odds, top goalscorer and stage of elimination

France World Cup 2026 odds: Outright odds, top goalscorer and stage of elimination

France’s price to win the 2026 World Cup has shortened and they’re now favourites over Spain to lift the trophy this summer.

Managed by veteran World Cup winner Didier Deschamps, the French boast one of the best squads in international football, spearheaded by skipper Kylian Mbappe and Ballon d’Or winner Ousmane Dembele.

Expectations are high and the pressure is on, but despite a poor first half in their opener against Senegal, they sent out a real statement in the second half by sealing a 3-1 win in their opening game.

That was followed up by another dominant if rain-affected win over Iraq, and Les Bleus finished top of their group thanks to victory against Norway.

Read more: FIFA World Cup Draw: Find out who will play who in 2026

France odds to win the World Cup

France’s odds have shortened to 7/2 with the majority of bookmakers to lift the 2026 World Cup, following their three wins so far. This makes them outright favourites to be crowned champions.

Les Bleus have reached the last two World Cup finals, winning the tournament in 2018 before suffering a penalty shootout defeat to Argentina in 2022. France could become only the third country to reach three consecutive finals, while victory would secure a third World Cup title.

It is worth noting, however, that France’s two World Cup triumphs did come on European soil.

France stage of elimination odds

Given they are favourites, France are expected to reach the World Cup final and win it. But there are some interesting odds for them to fall along the way. If France don’t win the World Cup, their most-likely elimination per the odds is actually a last-16 exit. They could face Germany at that stage if both sides win their round-of-32 games.

Stage of eliminationOdds
Round-of-324/1
Round-of-165/2
Quarter-finals9/2
Semi-finals5/1
Runners-up7/1
Winners7/2

France World Cup top goalscorer odds

Kylian Mbappe has scored four goals at the World Cup so far and yet he still isn’t the outright favourite to finish as the top goalscorer this summer.

Lionel Messi at 7/4 has managed an incredible five goals from his first two games – but if France go a game or two further in the competition than Argentina, you’d expect Mbappe to pull clear. Interestingly, Erling Haaland is also on four so far, but he’s out at 16/1 while Mbappe is just 9/4.

There are a handful of other players in the running, including Les Bleus other two goalscorers so far in Bradley Barcola and Ousmane Dembele. Realistically, if a France player scoops the Golden Boot, it’s going to be Mbappe.

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