Jacksonville concede 3.23 yards a carry, the best run defence in the NFL, and have given up 11 touchdowns in six games. Our Colts vs Jaguars prediction sends a 69.4 passing game at them.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2 at +50 and back at EverBank after two home games in London. The Indianapolis Colts are 2-5.
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis ColtsWin prob20%
Jacksonville JaguarsWin prob80%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Colts vs Jaguars: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Colts vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far
A +50 team against a -26 team. Each attack in the table is measured against what it is about to face, not against the league.
Colts attack against the Jaguars defence
| Per game | Colts offence | Jaguars allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 180.4 | 273.8 |
| Rushing yards | 117.6 | 72.2 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Passer rating | 69.4 | 87.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.8% | 36.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.7 | 1.8 |
Jaguars attack against the Colts defence
| Per game | Jaguars offence | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 234.8 | 215.9 |
| Rushing yards | 112.8 | 124.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 106.2 | 97.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Third-down conversion | 47.9% | 30.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 60.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Jacksonville have conceded 11 touchdowns in six games, behind only Minnesota and Kansas City.
Colts vs Jaguars quarterback matchup
Trevor Lawrence has 14 touchdown passes to four interceptions at 106.2. Daniel Jones has four to seven at 69.4.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | Daniel Jones | 13/22, 108 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 52.8 rtg | 143/240, 1398 yds, 4 TD, 7 INT, 69.4 rtg (7 games) |
| Jaguars | Trevor Lawrence | 24/41, 306 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 104.3 rtg | 120/184, 1480 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT, 106.2 rtg (6 games) |
Colts vs Jaguars injury report and team news
Jacksonville concede 3.23 yards a carry, the lowest figure in the NFL.
Jacksonville are back at EverBank after consecutive home games in London.
Indianapolis rate 69.4 through the air, second-lowest in the league, and have conceded 19 sacks.
Indianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsThe best run defence nobody is talking about
Three point two three yards a carry conceded is the best mark in the NFL, with 11 touchdowns given up in six games.
Jacksonville score too: a 106.2 team rating and Lawrence on 14 touchdown passes to four interceptions.
Indianapolis are not equipped for it. Seven interceptions to four touchdowns, a 69.4 rating and 19 sacks conceded.
Players to watch
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): 1,480 passing yards and 14 touchdowns at 106.2.
- Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC, WR): The first read in an offence converting 47.9% on third down.
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): 823 rushing yards at 4.12 a carry.
- Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A central target in a passing game rating 69.4.
How to watch Colts vs Jaguars
Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 1 November at EverBank Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. This is not one of Channel 5 or 5ACTION’s free-to-air picks this week. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Colts vs Jaguars |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 1 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Colts vs Jaguars prediction and score projection
Our Colts vs Jaguars prediction is Jacksonville by 27-16. The best run defence in the league against the second-worst passer rating is a short route to a comfortable afternoon.
Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | You are here |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Colts vs Jaguars FAQ
6pm GMT on Sunday 1 November at EverBank Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. America goes back an hour that morning, so this is the familiar 6pm slot again.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Jacksonville, conceding 3.23 yards a carry.
Yes, after back-to-back home games in London.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change