Kansas City run for 5.27 yards a carry, the best average in the NFL, and have conceded nine touchdowns in six games. Our Chiefs vs Broncos prediction takes them to altitude.
The Denver Broncos are 5-2 with 21 sacks and allow a 74.2 opponent passer rating. The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 at +40.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Kansas City ChiefsWin prob36%
Denver BroncosWin prob64%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Chiefs vs Broncos: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Chiefs vs Broncos: 2026 form so far
Two of the best defences in the league, and a 37-point gap in differential. The columns put each side’s output next to what the other has conceded so far.
Chiefs attack against the Broncos defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 239.0 | 215.7 |
| Rushing yards | 141.5 | 133.3 |
| Yards per carry | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Passer rating | 95.3 | 74.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.4% | 42.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 56.5% | 45.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 3.0 |
Broncos attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Broncos offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 175.1 | 223.8 |
| Rushing yards | 94.9 | 99.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 80.7 | 77.1 |
| Touchdowns | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 31.1% | 41.9% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 26.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Denver convert 31.1% on third down, second-lowest in the NFL. Their defence has carried a 5-2 record on a +3 differential.
Chiefs vs Broncos quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes has nine touchdown passes to four interceptions at 95.3. Bo Nix has seven to three at 80.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 19/33, 165 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 58.3 rtg | 124/191, 1474 yds, 9 TD, 4 INT, 95.3 rtg (6 games) |
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 15/29, 222 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 88.6 rtg | 129/218, 1271 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT, 80.7 rtg (7 games) |
Chiefs vs Broncos injury report and team news
Kansas City run for 5.27 yards a carry, the highest average in the NFL.
Kansas City have conceded nine touchdowns in six games, second only to Minnesota.
Denver have 21 sacks and allow a 74.2 opponent rating, third-best in the league.
Kansas City ChiefsDenver BroncosTwo defences, and only one offence
Kansas City have conceded nine touchdowns and hold opponents to 26.7% in the red zone. Only Minnesota are better on either.
Denver are close behind: a 74.2 opponent rating and 21 sacks.
The gap is at the other end. Kansas City have scored 143 points; Denver convert 31.1% on third down.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 1,474 passing yards and nine touchdowns at 95.3.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): Fronts the best rushing average in the NFL at 5.27.
- Bo Nix (DEN, QB): Seven touchdown passes at an 80.7 rating.
- RJ Harvey (DEN, RB): Shares a backfield averaging 3.84 a carry.
How to watch Chiefs vs Broncos
Kickoff is 9.25pm GMT on Sunday 1 November at Empower Field at Mile High, which is 4:25 PM ET. This one is free-to-air on Channel 5, and it also streams on Channel 5 Sport on YouTube. Free-to-air games are not affected by the Sky blackout. Sky Sports carries it too, and NFL Game Pass on DAZN has every game of the season, live or on demand. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Broncos |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.25pm GMT Sun 1 Nov / 4:25 PM ET |
| Venue | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| TV | Channel 5 |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Broncos prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Broncos prediction is Kansas City by 27-24. This is the one game this week where our call and the model part company.
The live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | You are here |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Chiefs vs Broncos FAQ
9.25pm GMT on Sunday 1 November at Empower Field at Mile High, which is 4:25 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Kansas City, at 5.27 yards a carry.
A defence with 21 sacks carrying an offence that converts 31.1% on third down.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change