Belgium will look to improve against Iran after only picking up a point in the opening match at the 2026 World Cup. Read on for our 25/1 Bet Builder tip for this Group G clash at SoFi Stadium.
Belgium were held to a 1-1 draw with Egypt on Matchday One and need to find a result here to take control of Group G. Iran were also locked in a stalemate in their first match, drawing 2-2 with New Zealand.
Our Belgium vs Iran bet builder is available at around 25/1 with Sky Bet. Read on as we break down each selection and explain why it stands out ahead of this Group G showdown.
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Belgium vs Iran Bet Builder
Belgium to win
Both sides opened with draws – Egypt held Belgium 1-1, New Zealand held Iran 2-2 – leaving all four Group G teams level on a single point. That context makes this effectively a must-win match for both sides.
Belgium carry far superior squad quality – De Bruyne, Lukaku and Doku against a squad drawn almost entirely from domestic Iranian clubs. The Opta supercomputer gives Garcia’s side a 90.3% chance of progressing from Group G. This reflects the genuine gap in class between these two nations.
Belgium dominated Egypt for long periods and should deliver a more clinical performance at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. Iran have never collected points from both of their first two World Cup matches. It’s a historical pattern that strongly supports Belgium taking all three points here.
Under 2.5 Goals
Iran’s tactical identity makes this selection compelling. Ghalenoei deploys a deep, organised defensive structure built on compactness and counter-attacking threat. They have a game plan that actively suppresses goal output at both ends.
Belgium drew 0-0 with North Macedonia at home in qualifying. It’s evidence they can struggle to break down organised, low-block defences even with superior quality. Not including own goals, Belgium have not scored a World Cup goal since Michy Batshuayi’s group-stage strike against Canada in 2022. They have failed to score from their last 46 shots at the tournament despite those attempts totalling 5.66 expected goals.
That finishing concern is significant. Iran conceded twice against New Zealand but both goals came from a specific counter-pressing vulnerability rather than systemic defensive collapse. A tight, controlled Belgian win with one or two goals looks the most probable outcome on Sunday evening.
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Jeremy Doku anytime scorer
Doku arrives at this fixture as Belgium’s most dangerous and unpredictable attacking weapon.
Against Egypt on Matchday One, Doku completed three of his ten attempted dribbles, won possession six times and won five fouls. Only Vinícius Júnior against Switzerland in 2022 has previously recorded those numbers in such excess in a single World Cup match. That level of creative aggression against Egypt’s well-organised defence underlines his capability to change games entirely.
Iran will defend deep and surrender the flanks – precisely the conditions that suit Doku’s direct, high-speed attacking style. With Belgium needing goals and Garcia likely to push Doku into more advanced positions after the Egypt draw, his anytime scorer price carries genuine value at SoFi Stadium.
Mehdi Taremi 1+ shot on target
The case for this selection rests on Taremi’s extraordinary individual quality and his ability to generate chances even when his team struggles.
Taremi carries 105 caps and 60 international goals into this fixture. It’s a return that makes him one of the most prolific active international strikers in world football. He took 38 shots across ten starts for Olympiacos in the Greek Super League this season. That’s an average of just under four attempts per game.
Iran scored twice against New Zealand despite conceding twice themselves, showing they carry genuine attacking intent even when defensive pressure mounts. Belgium’s high defensive line leaves space in behind for Taremi’s movement, and Iran will look to spring him on the counter throughout the 90 minutes. One shot on target is a very conservative minimum for a striker of his quality and experience.
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