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Squawka / News / Sunderland vs Leeds United predictions and betting tips: Will Leeds Grind Out A Low-Scoring Win

Sunderland vs Leeds United predictions and betting tips: Will Leeds Grind Out A Low-Scoring Win

Sun 25 October, 16:30 Stadium of Light

Predictions are not available for this match yet.

Sunderland
1 Sunderland Wins
3 Draws
1 Leeds United Wins
Leeds United
Head to head stats
5 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 5
17 Yellow Cards 8
15 Corners Won 42
37 Shots 83
53 Tackles Won 48
Leeds United
0 - 1
Sunderland
Premier League · 03 Mar 2026
Sunderland
1 - 1
Leeds United
Premier League · 28 Dec 2025
Leeds United
2 - 1
Sunderland
Championship · 17 Feb 2025
Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds United
Championship · 04 Oct 2024
Leeds United
0 - 0
Sunderland
Championship · 09 Apr 2024
Sunderland Sunderland
Premier League 2026/2027
Leeds United Leeds United
Season Stats
7 Matches played 7
6 Goals 9
14 Goals Conceded 6
81 Shots 83
28 Shots On Target 28
48.5% Possession 46.8%
60 Chances Created 49
80 Fouls 89
53 Take-Ons Completed 47
105 Tackles Made 111
12 Yellow Cards 13
2 Red Cards 0
30 Corners Won 28
Sunderland Sunderland
  • Kevin Danso Defender · Red card suspension · 1 match
Leeds United Leeds United

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No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

League Standings table is not available yet.

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Sunderland host Leeds United on Sunday with their Premier League survival already shaping up as a season-long grind, and we expect another tight, low-scoring afternoon on Wearside.

Anthony Eadson’s Sunderland vs Leeds United predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.

Premium Tips

Our two best bets lean into the shape of the game rather than chasing a goalscorer, and both read off the same low-scoring, physical template we expect at the Stadium of Light.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Under 9.5 total corners8/11 (Spreadex)Everything about this fixture points to a low-event afternoon, and the corner count should follow suit. Sunderland have scored just once in three home games and sit bottom with six goals all season, so sustained pressure has been rare in front of their own fans. Leeds, for their part, are a controlled, low-goal side who have kept two clean sheets and conceded only six times in seven matches. When two cautious teams meet, play tends to funnel through midfield rather than spill into wide areas, and the last two league meetings between these sides finished 0-1 and 1-1. We will take under 9.5 corners at 8/11.
Ethan Ampadu to be carded9/5 (Spreadex)Ethan Ampadu has played every minute of Leeds’ league season, and he has been booked in each of his last two games, against Arsenal and Manchester United. He has also committed at least one foul in five of his seven matches. Sunderland are fighting for their lives at the bottom and will throw bodies forward at home, which should leave Ampadu with plenty of attacks to break up. With Leeds more likely to protect a narrow lead than chase the game, the cynical fouls tend to come at their end of the pitch. At 9/5 with Spreadex, he looks a fair price in the cards market.

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How Sunderland go into the game

Sunderland go into this one bottom of the Premier League on four points, with just one win, one draw and five defeats from seven games. They have lost their last two, beaten 2-0 at Bournemouth last time out and 2-0 at home by Brighton before that, and have now failed to score in three of their last five outings.

Home form is the bigger worry. Sunderland have taken only three points at the Stadium of Light, winning once but losing twice in three games, and have managed just one goal in front of their own supporters all season. With a minus-eight goal difference and 14 already conceded, there is next to no margin for error against a side as miserly as Leeds.

How Leeds United go into the game

Leeds United have made a far steadier start, sitting seventh on 10 points with two wins, four draws and one defeat from their seven games. They drew 1-1 at home with Manchester United last time out, and before that ran Arsenal close in a 1-2 defeat, having earlier thumped Newcastle United 4-1 at Elland Road.

The pattern is a tight, low-scoring one. Leeds have scored nine and conceded only six, kept two clean sheets and stayed unbeaten at home, where they have drawn three of four. On the road they are harder to pin down, with a win, a draw and a defeat from three, but they travel as the more settled side here and will fancy nicking something on Wearside.

Sunderland vs Leeds United: form guide and current league standing

Sunderland vs Leeds United head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
03/03/26Leeds United0-1Sunderland
28/12/25Sunderland1-1Leeds United
17/02/25Leeds United2-1Sunderland
04/10/24Sunderland2-2Leeds United
09/04/24Leeds United0-0Sunderland

These sides have met plenty in recent years, mostly across the Championship, and the meetings tend to be close. The Black Cats won the most recent league encounter 1-0 at Elland Road, but three of the last five have been drawn.

Sunderland vs Leeds United predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Leeds United to win7/5 (Spreadex)⭐⭐⭐Leeds have lost only once in seven and arrive the more settled, higher-placed outfit.
Both teams to score – No1/1 (Spreadex)⭐⭐⭐Sunderland have one goal in three home games and Leeds own two clean sheets.
Under 2.5 goals8/11 (Spreadex)⭐⭐⭐The last two meetings finished 0-1 and 1-1, and neither side is scoring freely this term.
Sunderland 0-1 Leeds United7/1 (Spreadex)⭐⭐The visitors’ control and Sunderland’s blunt attack point to a slender away margin.

Sunderland vs Leeds United score prediction

The home side’s attacking struggles are hard to ignore, and Leeds carry just enough quality to exploit them without the game ever opening up. We expect a nervy, low-scoring contest settled by a single moment, and we are siding with the visitors to edge it on Wearside. Score prediction: Sunderland 0-1 Leeds United.

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