Denmark host Norway at Parken in Copenhagen on Tuesday 17 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with second place in League A Group 4 on the line as the Nations League campaign reaches its final round.
With Portugal long since confirmed as group winners, this is a shootout for second: Denmark go in three points clear of Norway, but because Norway won the reverse 3-2, a Norway victory here would edge them above the hosts on the head-to-head. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and we expect Brian Riemer‘s side to gain a measure of revenge for that opening-night defeat in Oslo and make the runners-up spot safe.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Denmark vs Norway, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Denmark to win | 6/4 (bet365) | This is a genuinely tight contest between two evenly matched sides, but Denmark have home advantage at a raucous Parken and know a win all but guarantees them second place. They were beaten 3-2 by Norway when the sides met in Oslo earlier in the group and will be desperate to put that right, with Rasmus Hojlund leading a Danish attack that carries real menace. In a game they simply have to win, we fancy Riemer’s men to get the job done at 6/4. |
| Denmark to win and both teams to score | 3/1 (bet365) | The first meeting between these sides was a five-goal thriller, and with Erling Haaland leading the Norway line we are not banking on Denmark keeping a clean sheet here. We do, though, expect the hosts to carry the greater threat on their own patch and edge a high-scoring night. A Denmark win in which Norway also find the net looks the shrewd way in at 3/1, and it fits our score prediction neatly. |
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How Denmark go into the game
Denmark go into the final round second in League A Group 4 and in control of the race for the runners-up spot behind runaway leaders Portugal, three points clear of Norway. Brian Riemer’s side have shown they can mix it with the best and arrive in good heart after a strong recent run.
Their opening-night 3-2 defeat away to Norway is the result that still rankles, but Denmark have hit form since, taking care of Wales home and away and then thrashing group winners Portugal 4-1 last time out. Riemer will want that same ruthlessness here, with Rasmus Hojlund leading the line and carrying the main goal threat.
A win at Parken would make second place safe regardless of other results, and with the runners-up spot there for the taking in front of their own supporters, Denmark will fancy their chances of finishing the job.
How Norway go into the game
Norway arrive in Copenhagen three points behind Denmark but knowing a win of their own would still see them pip the hosts to second on the head-to-head, a fine return for a side competing in the top tier of the Nations League for the first time in their history. Stale Solbakken’s men opened the campaign with that memorable 3-2 win over these very opponents in Oslo and go into this one off the back of a 3-1 win over Wales.
The headline man remains Erling Haaland, who has been in prolific form at international level and gives Norway a goal threat that few can match. Around him Solbakken has plenty of attacking quality, and on their day they can trouble anyone, as Portugal found when the sides met.
The note of caution is at the other end, where Norway have leaked goals throughout the campaign. Tightening up on the road will be key if they are to take the point or win they need, but with Haaland leading the line they will always carry a threat in Copenhagen.
Denmark vs Norway head-to-head
There is little to separate these sides on recent evidence, with the pair having met only last month in Oslo, where Norway edged a thrilling 3-2 win. Denmark will point to home advantage and the two goals they managed in that game as reasons for optimism, but Norway showed they can go toe to toe with their neighbours and will fancy their chances of a repeat.
Denmark vs Norway predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark to win | 6/4 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Denmark are at home at Parken and out for revenge after losing the reverse fixture 3-2 in Oslo. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 1/2 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | The first meeting between these sides produced five goals, with both teams finding the net. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8/15 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Erling Haaland and Rasmus Hojlund lead two attacks that have traded goals freely all campaign. |
| Denmark 2-1 Norway | 9/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The hosts should have the edge on home soil, but Norway carry a constant threat through Haaland. |
Denmark vs Norway score prediction
This should be a lively night in Copenhagen with so much at stake. Denmark are the stronger side on home soil and will be driven on by the chance to both avenge that opening defeat and lock up second place, and we expect Riemer’s men to shade the game. Norway, though, showed in Oslo that they can hurt this Danish back line, and with Erling Haaland leading the line we do not see the hosts keeping them out entirely. We think Denmark will have just enough to edge it while Norway grab one of their own, and Anthony Eadson is backing a 2-1 home win. Score prediction: Denmark 2-1 Norway.
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