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Squawka / Features / Premier League Predictions Gameweek 17: Back Villa to keep the pressure on the top two

Premier League Predictions Gameweek 17: Back Villa to keep the pressure on the top two

Ten matches take place across gameweek 17 in the Premier League, with an old school schedule of eight on Saturday, one on Sunday and one on Monday. Aston Villa against Manchester United stands out as one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend, and below you can find out predictions for all ten matches.

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Newcastle vs Chelsea – Saturday 20 December, 12:30pm

No side have kept more clean sheets than Chelsea in the Premier League this season (8, level with Arsenal), with the Blues keeping a shutout in five of their last seven league games. Newcastle should never be underestimated at St James’ Park, but Chelsea can come out on top here and pile the pressure on Eddie Howe.

Prediction: Newcastle 0-2 Chelsea (10/1 with BetMGM)

Wolves vs Brentford – Saturday 20 December, 3:00pm

Brentford is favoured due to a significant defensive disparity. Wolves have conceded a league-high 35 goals with a poor Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 25.65 . Brentford’s attack, generating 1.42 Expected Goals (xG) per match, is perfectly positioned to exploit this vulnerability. Furthermore, Brentford’s own defence is far more robust, having conceded only 25 goals , providing a solid foundation for a comfortable victory.

Prediction: Wolves 1-2 Brentford (7/1 with BetMGM)

Man City vs West Ham – Saturday 20 December, 3:00pm

Since the start of April, Manchester City have won the most home games (12) and home points (36) in the Premier League, failing to win just once in that sequence, a 2-0 defeat to Spurs. City have won all seven at the Etihad since that loss, last winning more in a row on home soil between January and November 2023 (15 in a row). Another routine victory looks likely here.

Prediction: Man City 3-0 West Ham (8/1 with BetMGM)

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Brighton vs Sunderland – Saturday 20 December, 3:00pm

Sunderland’s 26 Premier League points this season is the best return by a promoted side after 16 games since Hull City in 2008-09 (also 26). Meanwhile this is the latest into a season that a promoted side has the same or more points than the reigning champions since 2016-17, when after 28 games promoted Burnley had 31 points compared to champions Leicester on 30. Spirits are high in the Black Cats camp and they can take a point on the road on Saturday.

Prediction: Brighton 1-1 Sunderland (11/2 with BetMGM)

Bournemouth vs Burnley – Saturday 20 December, 3:00pm

Bournemouth are priced at just 4/9 to win the game in the match result market, but backing them to win and both teams to score looks a much more palatable option at 21/10. The Cherries shipped four goals against Manchester United on Monday, and have only kept one defeat in their last seven. However, the hosts have the quality to win here and face a Burnley side that has lost seven consecutive league matches. The Clarets have faced more shots (247), more shots on target (88) and have a higher expected goals against tally (33.4) than any other side in the Premier League this season.

Prediction: Bournemouth 3-1 Burnley (10/1 with BetMGM)

Tottenham vs Liverpool – Saturday 20 December, 5:30pm

Both teams possess strong attacks but leaky defences, making BTTS highly probable. Liverpool has scored 26 goals with a high 26.29 xG , but has conceded 24 goals . Tottenham has scored 25 goals but conceded 21 . Both sides average over 1.3 goals conceded per match, while both also average over 1.5 goals scored per match. This offensive firepower against defensive fragility strongly supports goals at both ends.

Prediction: Spurs 2-2 Liverpool (9/1 with BetMGM)

Everton vs Arsenal – Saturday 20 December – 8:00pm

Arsenal’s statistical dominance makes them clear favourites. They sit 1st with a 2.25 points per game average, driven by a league-leading defence that concedes only 0.86 Expected Goals Against (xGA) per match. Conversely, Everton’s attack generates a modest 20.13 Expected Goals (xG) , while their defence has an xGA of 22.90 . Arsenal’s superior defensive solidity and attacking output, generating 27.81 xG , will overwhelm Everton’s mid-table metrics.

Prediction: Everton 0-1 Arsenal (7/1 with BetMGM)

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Leeds vs Crystal Palace – Saturday 20 December – 8:00pm

Palace games average just 2.2 goals; 7 clean sheets in 16. Leeds struggle for cutting edge.The low-scoring nature of this fixture is statistically supported. Crystal Palace has the third-most clean sheets (7) in the league and concedes only 0.9 goals per match . While Leeds concedes 1.9 goals per match , the average total goals per match for this fixture is a moderate 2.50 . With Palace’s strong defense and both teams averaging low goals per game (1.33 and 1.27 respectively) , the probability for Under 2.5 goals is high.

Prediction: Leeds 1-1 Crystal Palace (11/2 with BetMGM)

Aston Villa vs Man Utd – Sunday 21 December – 4:30pm

Aston Villa have won their last six Premier League games, and their last nine in all competitions. Unai Emery’s side are proving they can keep pace with City and Arsenal, and with Man Utd having conceded four goals against Bournemouth on Monday, it could spell trouble for Amorim’s men. 

Prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Manchester United (9/1 with BetMGM)

Fulham vs Nott’m Forest – Monday 22 December – 8:00pm

A draw between Fulham and Nottingham Forest appears likely given their current Premier League standings and form. As of December 19, 2025, Fulham sits 14th with 20 points, while Forest is just behind in 16th with 18 points. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Fulham losing three of their last six matches and Forest losing 50% of their away games this season. Although Fulham has a strong head-to-head record, Forest’s recent road form has been promising.

Prediction: Fulham 2-2 Nott’m Forest (14/1 with BetMGM)