The first Premier League game of the weekend sees Chelsea travel to the North East to take on Newcastle. The game kicks off at 12:30pm on Saturday, with viewers able to catch the action live on TNT Sports. Below you can find our match preview and best bets for the occasion.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Neto to Score or Assist | 19/10 @ BetMGM (34.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Pedro Neto has been involved in more Premier League goals than any other Chelsea player this season (8 – 5 goals, 3 assists), with four of his five goals scored coming away from home. Indeed, his five goals is already his joint-most in a single campaign (also 5 in 2020-21). Neto also found the net when coming off the bench in the 3-1 win over Cardiff in the League Cup quarter-final on Tuesday. |
| Bruno Guimaraes Anytime Goalscorer | 11/2 @ BetMGM (15.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Newcastle’s joint-top scorer in the Premier League this season is Bruno Guimaraes, who, along with Nick Woltemade, has five goals to his name. Surprisingly, all five of the Brazilian league goals have arrived in home matches. In total, he’s scored in five of his eight outings at St James’ Park, including against Spurs and Liverpool. At 11/2, he looks a generous price to make it five in his last six. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing.
How both teams go into Newcastle vs Chelsea
Newcastle United sit in 12th place on 22 points after 16 matches. Eddie Howe’s men lost their last Premier League match 1-0 at Stadium of Light against Sunderland, thanks to a humiliating own-goal from Nick Woltemade. Things must improve in the league if they are to qualify for the Champions League. Still, Newcastle did manage a 2-1 win in the League Cup quarter-final on Wednesday, thanks to a late Lewis Miley winner over Fulham.
Chelsea defeated Everton 2-0 at home in their last league match, putting them in fourth spot on 28 points through 16 matches. Enzo Maresca’s side sit eight points off the summit, and five behind Aston Villa in third. No side has kept more clean sheets than Chelsea in the Premier League this season (8, level with Arsenal), with the Blues keeping a shutout in five of their last seven league games.
Newcastle team news
Newcastle have a long list of absentees, including Dan Burn, Kieran Trippier, Emil Krafth, Sven Botman, Valentino Livramento, Lewis Hall and William Osula. Nick Pope and Jamaal Lascelles will be assessed before kick-off.
Chelsea team news
Levi Colwill, Liam Delap, Romeo Lavia are all out for the visitors. Estevao is unlikely to feature due to a muscular issue.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 28 |
| Newcastle United | 12 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent meetings have trended Chelsea’s way, with the Blues winning 11 of the last 19, but Newcastle have asserted themselves at home. The most recent clashes have seen both sides find the net, supporting the BTTS value play.
Last 6 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 11/05/25 | Newcastle United 2-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| 30/10/24 | Newcastle United 2-0 Chelsea | League Cup |
| 27/10/24 | Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 11/03/24 | Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 19/12/23 | Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle United | League Cup |
| 25/11/23 | Newcastle United 4-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
Conclusion
The result looks a little tricky to predict here on Saturday lunchtime. Instead, we like the look of two player-prop bets, starting off with Pedro Neto to score or assist at 19/10. If looking for something a little bigger, we wouldn’t put anyone off the 11/2 on show for Newcastle’s joint-top scorer, Bruno Guimaraes, to make it five goals in his last six home matches.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
