Ten matches take place across Saturday, Sunday and Monday for gameweek 15 in the Premier League. It’s third vs first as Aston Villa host Arsenal on Saturday lunchtime, while Bournemouth take on Chelsea at 3pm. Find below are our predictions for all 10 matches.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal – 12:30pm Saturday 6 December
A statistical deadlock is highly probable. Villa have already recorded three draws this season, while Arsenal’s 17% draw rate (two in twelve matches) shows their propensity for stalemates in close contests. Villa’s formidable home record (5W, 1D, 1L) is set to neutralise Arsenal’s strong away form (4W, 2D, 1L). Furthermore, the last five head-to-head fixtures are perfectly balanced with two wins each and one draw, making a statistically probable draw the most logical outcome.
Prediction: Aston Villa 1-1 Arsenal (11/2 with BOYLESports)
Everton vs Nott’m Forest – 3:00pm Saturday 6 December
The statistical profile of both teams points to a 1-1 draw. As of 04/12/25, the probability of a draw is a significant 28%. Both sides average approximately 1.08 goals scored per match, indicating a low-scoring contest where a single goal from each team is the most likely scenario. Everton’s average of 1.08 goals conceded at home closely matches Forest’s scoring average, suggesting a balanced exchange of goals. This statistical equilibrium makes the 1-1 scoreline the most probable exact result.
Prediction: Everton 1-1 Nott’m Forest (6/1 with BOYLESports)
Newcastle vs Burnley – 3:00pm Saturday 6 December
Newcastle can get the better of a Burnley side that has recorded five consecutive defeats. Scott Parker’s men may prove a bit stubborn to break down, but we are predicting a solid 2-0 win for the hosts as they look to move into the top half of the table.
Prediction: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley (7/1 with BOYLESports)
Man City vs Sunderland – 3:00pm Saturday 6 December
Manchester City’s overwhelming offensive power makes a comfortable victory statistically sound. As of 04/12/25, City averages a league-leading 2.29 goals scored per match and boasts a dominant home record of six wins in seven games. Sunderland, despite a decent league position, has conceded 14 goals this season. City’s high-scoring trend, evidenced by 64% of their games finishing over 2.5 goals,
Prediction: Man City 3-0 Sunderland (11/1 with BOYLESports)
Spurs vs Brentford – 3:00pm Saturday 6 December
The match is statistically favoured to see Both Teams to Score, with a high 62% BTTS rate in Tottenham’s matches this season. Tottenham’s recent form shows five of their last seven games have seen both sides find the net. While Tottenham’s attack is potent, Brentford’s away scoring average of 1.0 goal per game is sufficient to breach a Tottenham defence that has conceded in five of their last seven matches. This pattern of leaky defence and consistent scoring confirms the BTTS prediction.
Prediction: Spurs 2-2 Brentford – (16/1 with BOYLESports)
Bournemouth vs Chelsea – 3:00pm Saturday 6 December
Chelsea’s superior form and historical dominance make a victory statistically probable. As of 04/12/25, Chelsea boasts a 60% win rate compared to Bournemouth’s 30%. The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Chelsea’s favour, with 11 wins in 18 meetings. Furthermore, Chelsea’s defence concedes only 0.80 goals per game, significantly lower than Bournemouth’s 1.90. With a 53.05% statistical chance of victory, Chelsea’s quality and defensive solidity will secure the three points.
Prediction: Bournemouth 1-3 Chelsea (18/1 with BOYLESports)
Leeds vs Liverpool – 5:30pm Saturday 6 December
Liverpool’s statistical dominance makes their victory the most probable outcome. The head-to-head record heavily favors Liverpool, who have secured six wins in the last eight meetings. Furthermore, Liverpool’s superior attacking output and overall squad quality will be too much for a Leeds side that has struggled for consistency. Liverpool’s historical dominance and statistical edge ensure they will secure the three points at Elland Road.
Prediction: Leeds 1-2 Liverpool (9/1 with BOYLESports)
Brighton vs West Ham – 2:00pm Sunday 7 December
Brighton’s formidable home record and historical dominance over West Ham provide the statistical edge. The Seagulls have been defeated just once at the Amex this season (4W, 2D. 1L), a stark contrast to West Ham’s poor form, which sees them sitting 18th in the table as of December 5th. Furthermore, Brighton has lost only once in 16 Premier League meetings against the Hammers (W7, D8, L1). This combination of current home strength and overwhelming head-to-head superiority makes a Brighton victory highly probable.
Prediction: Brighton 3-1 West Ham (14/1 with BOYLESports)
Fulham vs Crystal Palace – 4:30pm Sunday 7 December
Only Arsenal have kept more clean sheets (8) and conceded fewer goals (7) in the Premier League this season than Crystal Palace (7 clean sheets, 11 goals conceded), with the Eagles keeping a shutout in four of their last five games. The data points to a closely-fought encounter and Palace can just edge this game with a 1-0 win.
Prediction: Fulham 0-1 Crystal Palace (8/1 with BOYLESports)
Wolves vs Man Utd – 8:00pm Monday 8 December
Manchester United’s superior away form and Wolves’ historically poor start to the season provide the data-driven case for a United victory. Wolves sit last in the table with a mere two points, having lost six of their seven home games. Conversely, Manchester United has secured nine points from their seven away fixtures. While United’s recent form is mixed, their historical dominance (17 wins to Wolves’ 7 in 29 meetings) and the host’s current crisis of eight successive defeats make an away win the statistical certainty.
Prediction: Wolves 0-2 Man Utd (9/1 with BOYLESports)
