Everton welcome Nottingham Forest to Hill Dickinson Stadium this Saturday, with both sides seeking a crucial three points as the Premier League campaign edges towards its busy winter stretch.
The Toffees currently enjoy a midtable cushion, while Forest hover closer to the relegation battle, making this 3:00 PM kick-off a high-stakes encounter. Everton’s recent defensive solidity contrasts with Forest’s struggles at the back, and the head-to-head record adds another layer of intrigue to an already pivotal clash.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in this being a stalemate, but several markets offer strong value based on the teams’ attacking and defensive patterns.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | A low-scoring affair is the statistical certainty, with a 57% probability of the match ending with under 2.5 goals. As of 04/12/25, Everton’s recent form strongly supports this, with four of their last five league matches finishing under the 2.5 goal line. Furthermore, Nottingham Forest’s last three away games have also seen under 2.5 goals. With both teams struggling for consistent attacking output, and a high probability of a tight, defensive contest, the total goals will remain low. |
| Correct Score: 1-1 | 11/2 @ Bet365 (15.4%) | ⭐⭐ | The statistical profile of both teams points to a 1-1 draw. As of 04/12/25, the probability of a draw is a significant 28%. Both sides average approximately 1.08 goals scored per match, indicating a low-scoring contest where a single goal from each team is the most likely scenario. Everton’s average of 1.08 goals conceded at home closely matches Forest’s scoring average, suggesting a balanced exchange of goals. This statistical equilibrium makes the 1-1 scoreline the most probable exact result. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Everton vs Nottingham Forest match odds
How both teams head into Everton vs Nottingham Forest
Everton have picked up some good form in recent weeks, winning three of their last four games to climb into the top half of the Premier League. They’ve beaten Fulham, Man Utd and Bournemouth in that stretch and haven’t conceded a goal in those matches. A 4-1 defeat to Newcastle sits in the midst of that run, restricting them from rising any higher but the Toffees will be hoping that result was just a blip. Everton games haven’t seen many goals this season, with the average being a league low 2.3 goals per game.
Nottingham Forest share an identical record to their opponents this weekend, with three wins, a draw and a loss in their last five games. It’s been a run that have lifted them out of the bottom three and they now sit four points above the drop zone. Their away form, in particular, has been a real highlight with Forest beating Liverpool and Wolves in their last two games and haven’t conceded a goal in either of those games. They could do with increasing their output in front of goal as they currently average just a goal a game but they are conceding less than the sides around them in the table, which is a good base to build on.
Everton team news
This game comes a little too soon for Jarrad Branthwaite, Merlin Rohl, Michael Keane and Nathan Patterson and all four will miss out again. Timothy Iroegbunam and Idrissa Gueye will also be sidelined through suspension while there is no return date set for Seamus Coleman.
Nottingham Forest team news
Nottingham Forest have a number of injury problems heading into the weekend, with Ola Aina, Dilane Bakwa, Chris Wood, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Taiwo Awoniyi, Angus Gunn and Douglas Luiz all sidelined. Murillo could be set to make his comeback, however.
Season Form & Standings
Everton have built a solid foundation, sitting 10th with 21 points from 14 matches. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, are 16th with 15 points, and a worrying -8 goal difference reflects their defensive issues. Everton’s win percentage is 43%, compared to Forest’s 29%.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 10 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| Nottingham Forest | 16 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Everton have enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last six encounters, with two draws and just one Forest victory. These games have largely been tight affairs, with both teams finding the net in four of the last six.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| 29/12/24 | Everton 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 21/04/24 | Everton 2-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 02/12/23 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| 05/03/23 | Nottingham Forest 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| 20/08/22 | Everton 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Everton’s defensive resilience and home form prevail against a Nottingham Forest side desperate for points? With the Toffees boasting more clean sheets and the H2H edge, we’re tipping Under 2.5 Goals at 8/11 with Bet365. This fixture has produced close contests before, but the stats suggest Everton’s balance will make the difference.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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