Leeds United welcome Liverpool to Elland Road for a high-stakes clash on Saturday evening.
The hosts find themselves just above the relegation zone, while Liverpool look to bounce back after a frustrating draw last time out. With kick-off set for 5:30 PM, this encounter offers plenty of intrigue—Liverpool have dominated recent meetings, but Leeds’ recent win over Chelsea suggests they could spring a surprise.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Liverpool’s prolific attack and Leeds’ defensive frailties, our top betting recommendations focus on goals and the away win. We’re particularly confident in the Liverpool victory, given their head-to-head dominance and superior attacking stats.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to Win | 5/6 @ Bet365 (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool’s statistical dominance makes their victory the most probable outcome. The head-to-head record heavily favors Liverpool, who have secured six wins in the last eight meetings. Furthermore, Liverpool’s superior attacking output and overall squad quality will be too much for a Leeds side that has struggled for consistency. Liverpool’s historical dominance and statistical edge ensure they will secure the three points at Elland Road. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The match is statistically highly likely to finish with Over 2.5 Goals, with a 60% probability. Both teams have a high Over 2.5 goals rate, with Liverpool at 57% and Leeds at 57%. Crucially, Leeds have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last eight Premier League matches. Liverpool’s attack, averaging 1.54 goals per game, will exploit this defensive frailty, ensuring a high-scoring contest that easily surpasses the 2.5 goal line. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Leeds vs Liverpool match odds
How both teams head into Leeds vs Liverpool
Things are looking significantly better for Leeds following their 3-1 win over Chelsea in midweek. It was a result that that ended a run of four straight defeats for Daniel Farke’s side, relieving some of the pressure on the head coach. Leeds have struggled in front of goal this season, finding the net just 15 times in 14 matches and things aren’t any better at the other end of the pitch, where they have conceded 26 times. Leeds have won two of their last three games at Elland Road and will hope to continue their good home form this weekend.
Liverpool are still trying to find their feet following a truly disastrous run of form and they enter this game with two wins in their last five games. Their away form has suffered, with four losses in their last five games away from Anfield, although they did win their last match on the road, beating West Ham 2-0. There is real pressure growing on Arne Slot, especially with Liverpool sitting 11 points off the top of the league and much of that comes from their poor defensive form, which has seen them concede 21 times, more than any other side in the top 12.
Leeds team news
Daniel James and Sean Longstaff are the only absentees for Daniel Farke’s side although both are long term absentees and aren’t likely to feature again in 2025.
Liverpool team news
Liverpool will be hoping for some good news when it comes to their right back position this weekend, with both Conor Bradley and Jeremie Frimpong nearing returns from injury. Geovanni Leoni won’t feature again this season after suffering an ACL injury.
Season Form & Standings
Leeds United are struggling, sitting 17th with just 4 wins from 14 matches and a worrying -10 goal difference. Liverpool, while inconsistent, hold 8th place and boast the division’s most prolific attack, but have also shown defensive vulnerabilities. Recent form suggests Liverpool’s attacking edge could be decisive, while Leeds must tighten up at the back to get anything from this game.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 8 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| Leeds United | 17 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last six, including a 6-1 thrashing of Leeds at Elland Road in April 2023. Leeds did grab a memorable away win at Anfield in 2022, but overall, Liverpool have scored 21 goals to Leeds’ 7 in these contests.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17/04/23 | Leeds United 1-6 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 29/10/22 | Liverpool 1-2 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 23/02/22 | Liverpool 6-0 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 12/09/21 | Leeds United 0-3 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 19/04/21 | Leeds United 1-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 12/09/20 | Liverpool 4-3 Leeds United | Premier League |
Conclusion: Can Leeds Defy the Odds?
Liverpool’s attacking quality and historical dominance make them clear favourites, but Leeds’ recent win over Chelsea and their ability to strike from set-pieces means they cannot be written off. Will Liverpool’s firepower prove too much for a Leeds side desperate for points, or can the underdogs spring another surprise? Our top pick remains the away win at 5/6 with Bet365 (54.5%), but goals look likely and both teams should have their moments.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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