Our Chiefs vs Raiders prediction is the standout of the late window: the only game this week between two unbeaten teams. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-0 and have conceded a 71.9 opponent passer rating. The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-0 with nine passing touchdowns and 10 forced fumbles. Allegiant Stadium has the pick of the round.
Chiefs vs Raiders: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Chiefs vs Raiders: 2026 form so far
Two unbeaten teams with genuinely different strengths. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Chiefs attack against the Raiders defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Raiders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 263.0 | 200.3 |
| Rushing yards | 153.3 | 116.3 |
| Yards per carry | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Passer rating | 108.9 | 82.2 |
| Touchdowns | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 45.9% | 41.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 77.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 3.3 |
Raiders attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Raiders offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 211.7 | 178.3 |
| Rushing yards | 100.0 | 99.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 107.2 | 71.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.0% | 37.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 61.5% | 57.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Kansas City concede a 71.9 passer rating, second-lowest in the league. Las Vegas have forced 10 fumbles. Whichever holds up settles it.
Chiefs vs Raiders quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes and Kirk Cousins have 16 touchdown passes between them, the highest combined total of any pairing this week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 20/24, 246 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 119.8 rtg | 67/98, 812 yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 108.9 rtg (3 games) |
| Raiders | Kirk Cousins | 22/33, 248 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 119.3 rtg | 62/92, 661 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 107.2 rtg (3 games) |
Chiefs vs Raiders injury report and team news
Kirk Cousins has thrown nine touchdown passes in three games, level with Brock Purdy for the most in the league.
Patrick Mahomes completed 20 of 24 at Miami for 246 yards and two touchdowns, an 83.3% completion rate.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Chiefs vs Raiders is decided
Las Vegas have forced 10 fumbles in three games, four of them at New Orleans. With 10 sacks and four interceptions, this is a defence built on chaos.
Kansas City do the opposite, conceding a 71.9 rating and five touchdowns while running 92 times for 460 yards at 5.0 a carry.
That makes the turnover battle the game. The Chiefs have been careful and the Raiders have been opportunistic, and a divisional fixture rarely resolves more tidily.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 20 of 24 for 246 yards and two touchdowns at Miami.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): 360 rushing yards this season, more than any other player.
- Kirk Cousins (LV, QB): 248 yards and three touchdowns at New Orleans.
- Brock Bowers (LV, TE): 10 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
How to watch Chiefs vs Raiders
Kickoff is 9.25pm BST on Sunday 4 October at Allegiant Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Raiders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.25pm BST / 4:25 PM ET, Sunday 4 October |
| Venue | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV |
| TV | DAZN / NFL Game Pass |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Raiders prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Raiders prediction is a narrow Kansas City win, 27-24. Both are 3-0, but the Chiefs concede less and give it away less often.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | You are here |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Chiefs vs Raiders FAQ
9.25pm BST on Sunday 4 October at Allegiant Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Yes. Kansas City and Las Vegas are both 3-0, and this is the only Week 4 game between two undefeated teams.
Kansas City, narrowly, despite playing away.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change