Our Dolphins vs Vikings prediction opens the late window with a defence that has no sacks at all visiting the one with the most. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Miami Dolphins have not sacked a quarterback in three games and have scored three touchdowns. The Minnesota Vikings lead the league with 14 sacks, and they concede a 67.7 opponent passer rating. U.S. Bank Stadium is the wrong stop for an 0-3 team.
Dolphins vs Vikings: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Dolphins vs Vikings: 2026 form so far
A winless offence against the most disruptive defence in the league. The table sets each attack against what the opposite side has allowed.
Dolphins attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 192.3 | 234.0 |
| Rushing yards | 98.3 | 85.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 74.1 | 67.7 |
| Touchdowns | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.5% | 22.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 28.6% | 11.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 4.7 |
Vikings attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 137.0 | 231.0 |
| Rushing yards | 101.3 | 104.3 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 82.1 | 118.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 30.2% | 48.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 78.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Minnesota hold opponents to 11.1% in the red zone and 22.7% on third down, both the best marks in football. Only the margin is really in question.
Dolphins vs Vikings quarterback matchup
Neither quarterback is the reason his team sits where it does, though only one has a defence keeping him there.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 20/36, 210 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 61.1 rtg | 49/86, 627 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 74.1 rtg (3 games) |
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 15/29, 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 66.5 rtg | 18/34, 186 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 54.3 rtg (2 games) |
Dolphins vs Vikings injury report and team news
Miami have recorded no sacks in three games, the only team in the league yet to bring a quarterback down.
Kyler Murray threw for 168 yards at Tampa Bay in his second appearance since joining Minnesota from Arizona.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Dolphins vs Vikings is decided
Fourteen sacks in three games is two more than any other team, and Minnesota pair it with a 67.7 opponent rating and 11.1% allowed in the red zone.
Miami are the mirror image: no sacks, three touchdowns, 36 points and a 28.6% red-zone conversion rate across three defeats.
Minnesota are not an offensive force. Four hundred and eleven passing yards is modest and Murray sits at 54.3 for the season, but they will not need much.
Players to watch
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): 210 yards and an interception against Kansas City.
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): Three carries for 17 yards in Week 3, a much reduced workload.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): 168 yards and a touchdown at Tampa Bay.
- Jordan Addison (MIN, WR): Five catches for 90 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
How to watch Dolphins vs Vikings
Kickoff is 9.05pm BST on Sunday 4 October at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 4:05 PM ET. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.05pm BST / 4:05 PM ET, Sunday 4 October |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | DAZN / NFL Game Pass |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Vikings prediction is a Minnesota win, 24-13. The Vikings defence is the best unit on this week’s card.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | You are here |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Dolphins vs Vikings FAQ
9.05pm BST on Sunday 4 October at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 4:05 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
No sacks in three games, against Las Vegas, San Francisco and Kansas City. They are the only team in the league yet to record one.
Minnesota, comfortably, at home. The Vikings are 3-0; Miami are 0-3 with the worst point differential in the league.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change