Our Jaguars vs Bengals prediction is the pick of the 6pm window, pairing the joint-stingiest defence in football with Joe Burrow. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have conceded three touchdowns in three games, level with Minnesota for the fewest. The Cincinnati Bengals have 10 sacks and Burrow at a 106.6 rating. Paycor Stadium hosts two 2-1 teams going the right way.
Jaguars vs Bengals: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Jaguars vs Bengals: 2026 form so far
Two of the three meanest red-zone defences in the league, and two offences in form. The table below measures each attack against what the opposite defence has conceded.
Jaguars attack against the Bengals defence
| Per game | Jaguars offence | Bengals allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 195.0 | 260.0 |
| Rushing yards | 119.3 | 95.7 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Passer rating | 107.8 | 88.3 |
| Touchdowns | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 52.9% | 43.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 88.9% | 27.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 3.3 |
Bengals attack against the Jaguars defence
| Per game | Bengals offence | Jaguars allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 232.0 | 235.7 |
| Rushing yards | 91.3 | 91.3 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 106.6 | 82.3 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 46.3% | 29.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 2.7 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Jacksonville convert 88.9% of their own red-zone trips and concede on 20%. That is why a 2-1 team has the second-best differential in the league.
Jaguars vs Bengals quarterback matchup
Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow have 13 touchdown passes and three interceptions between them, and both sit above a 106 rating.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | Trevor Lawrence | 19/29, 182 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 102.9 rtg | 54/81, 616 yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 107.8 rtg (3 games) |
| Bengals | Joe Burrow | 28/37, 282 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 123.9 rtg | 73/103, 743 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT, 106.6 rtg (3 games) |
Jaguars vs Bengals injury report and team news
Trevor Lawrence threw three touchdowns in a 35-6 win over New England, his second three-touchdown game of the season.
Joe Burrow completed 28 of 37 for 282 yards and three touchdowns at Pittsburgh and Cincinnati still lost 30-27.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Jaguars vs Bengals is decided
Three touchdowns conceded in three games is the number. Jacksonville hold opponents to 20% in the red zone and have taken four interceptions.
Cincinnati are not far behind, conceding on 27.3% of red-zone trips with 10 sacks. Their weakness is between the 20s, where they have given up 780 passing yards.
That points at a game settled in midfield rather than near the goal line, and Jacksonville have been turning drives into points all season.
Players to watch
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): Three touchdown passes against New England, seven in three games.
- Jakobi Meyers (JAC, WR): Seven catches for 64 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
- Joe Burrow (CIN, QB): 282 yards and three touchdowns at Pittsburgh.
- Ja’Marr Chase (CIN, WR): Nine catches for 98 yards and a score in Week 3.
How to watch Jaguars vs Bengals
Kickoff is 6.00pm BST on Sunday 4 October at Paycor Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Jaguars vs Bengals |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm BST / 1:00 PM ET, Sunday 4 October |
| Venue | Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
| TV | DAZN / NFL Game Pass |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Jaguars vs Bengals prediction and score projection
Our Jaguars vs Bengals prediction is a Jacksonville win, 24-20. Three touchdowns conceded all season is a record that travels.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:30 PM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Jaguars vs Bengals FAQ
6.00pm BST on Sunday 4 October at Paycor Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Three touchdowns conceded in three games, level with Minnesota for the fewest, with four interceptions and 20% allowed in the red zone.
Jacksonville, narrowly, despite playing away. Both teams are 2-1.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change