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Squawka / NFL News / Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction & Tips: Rio

Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction & Tips: Rio

Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, picks and odds for Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season

Our Ravens vs Cowboys prediction comes from Rio de Janeiro, and it is free-to-air in the UK. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.

The NFL plays at the Maracana for the first time, with the Dallas Cowboys as designated home team 4,700 miles from Arlington. They convert 68.2% of their third downs and concede 68.0%. The Baltimore Ravens run for 5.3 a carry with five rushing touchdowns.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Baltimore Ravens favourites by about 3 points, a 61% win probability (neutral site).

BALBaltimore RavensWin prob61%
DALDallas CowboysWin prob39%
Projected lineBaltimore Ravens -3

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.

Week 3 · Editorial pick

Ravens vs Cowboys: our editor’s props

Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.

Ravens AT Cowboys

Our props

Player propDerrick Henry 80+ rushing yardsBaltimore average 5.3 a carry with five rushing touchdowns. Dallas have conceded 347 rushing yards at 5.0 a carry.
★★★★4/5 confidence
Player propDak Prescott 2+ passing touchdownsPrescott has six touchdown passes in two games at a 117.1 rating. Baltimore have conceded two and hold opponents to 91.7.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Ravens vs Cowboys: 2026 form so far

Two 1-1 sides who score freely and defend loosely, meeting on neutral ground. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has actually allowed.

Ravens attack against the Cowboys defence

Per gameRavens offenceCowboys allow
Passing yards254.0218.0
Rushing yards155.0173.5
Yards per carry5.35.0
Passer rating104.7116.5
Touchdowns3.53.0
Third-down conversion38.9%68.0%
Red-zone conversion66.7%71.4%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.51.0

Cowboys attack against the Ravens defence

Per gameCowboys offenceRavens allow
Passing yards220.5191.0
Rushing yards67.583.5
Yards per carry3.53.6
Passer rating117.191.7
Touchdowns3.52.5
Third-down conversion68.2%44.0%
Red-zone conversion85.7%80.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.02.5

Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.

Dallas convert 68.2% on third down and allow 68.0%, which is not a typing error. Baltimore’s ground game at 5.3 a carry is the most reliable thing in the fixture.

Ravens vs Cowboys injury report and team news

This game is at the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, not in Arlington. Dallas are the designated home team on a neutral field.

The league has acknowledged concerns about the Maracana playing surface and says a plan is in place to ensure a high-quality pitch for kickoff.

Baltimore lost 24-17 at home to New Orleans after opening with a 41-23 win over Indianapolis.

This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.

Injury report · Week 3Official game-status report — updates through the week
BALBaltimore Ravens
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Danny PinterCIR
Bilhal KoneCBIR
T.J. Tampa Jr.CBIR
Skylar ThompsonQBIR
Adam RandallRBIR
Jahquez RobinsonSAFIR
Ja’Kobi LaneWRIR
DALDallas Cowboys
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Devin MooreCBIR
Kelvin GilliamDTIR
Tyler SmithGIR
Matt HennessyOLIR
Marist LiufauOLBIR
Malik DavisRBIR
DJ RogersTEIR
Princeton FantTEIR

The matchup that settles it: Baltimore’s running game on an unfamiliar surface

The Ravens average 5.3 a carry with five rushing touchdowns; the Cowboys have conceded 347 rushing yards at 5.0 and have two sacks all season.

Dallas answer with the most efficient passing offence either side has faced: six touchdown passes, a 117.1 rating and 85.7% in the red zone.

A newly laid pitch hosting its first NFL game tends to favour the team less dependent on sharp footing, which here is Baltimore.

Players to watch

  • Derrick Henry (BAL, RB): Part of a ground game averaging 5.3 a carry with five rushing scores.
  • Lamar Jackson (BAL, QB): 508 passing yards and a 104.7 rating across two games.
  • Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): Six touchdown passes in two games at a 117.1 rating.
  • CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): Dallas’ primary target in an offence converting 85.7% in the red zone.

How to watch Ravens vs Cowboys

This one is free-to-air in the UK: Channel 5 has it from 9pm, with kickoff at 9.25pm BST, so no subscription is needed. Sky Sports and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carry it too, and a game shown free on Channel 5 is never one of Sky’s exclusive picks, so it is on Game Pass live. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailRavens vs Cowboys
DateSunday, September 27, 2026
Kickoff9.25pm BST / 4:25 PM ET, Sunday 27 Sep
VenueMaracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
TVChannel 5
Live streamNFL Game Pass (DAZN)
WeekWeek 2, 2026 NFL season

Ravens vs Cowboys prediction and score projection

Our Ravens vs Cowboys prediction is a Baltimore win, 30-24. The Ravens can run at a defence that has stopped nobody, and neutral ground removes what little home advantage Dallas would have had.

The live win probability updates on this page through the week.

Every Week 3 game, previewed

Kickoff (BST)GameOur predictionPreview
Fri 1:15 AMFalcons @ PackersPackers 23-10Read
Sun 6:00 PMPanthers @ BrownsPanthers 24-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMBengals @ SteelersBengals 20-13Read
Sun 6:00 PMTexans @ ColtsColts 26-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMChiefs @ DolphinsChiefs 31-17Read
Sun 6:00 PMChargers @ BillsBills 31-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMPatriots @ JaguarsPatriots 20-16Read
Sun 6:00 PMJets @ LionsLions 27-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMSeahawks @ CommandersSeahawks 27-17Read
Sun 6:00 PMTitans @ GiantsTitans 20-17Read
Sun 9:05 PMCardinals @ 49ers49ers 30-13Read
Sun 9:05 PMVikings @ BuccaneersVikings 20-17Read
Sun 9:25 PMRavens @ CowboysRavens 30-24You are here
Sun 9:25 PMRaiders @ SaintsRaiders 24-20Read
Mon 1:20 AMRams @ BroncosRams 26-17Read
Tue 1:15 AMEagles @ BearsEagles 24-20Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Ravens vs Cowboys FAQ

Who is favoured to win, the Ravens or the Cowboys?

Baltimore, narrowly. Both are 1-1, but the Ravens run for 5.3 a carry and Dallas have conceded 5.0.

Where is Ravens vs Cowboys being played?

At the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro. Dallas are the designated home team but the game is on neutral ground, not at AT&T Stadium.

Can I watch Ravens vs Cowboys for free in the UK?

Yes. Channel 5 shows it free-to-air from 9pm, one of the two games it puts out free every Sunday.

What time is Ravens vs Cowboys in the UK?

9.25pm BST on Sunday, September 27, with Channel 5 coverage from 9pm.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change