Our Texans vs Colts prediction pairs an offence that cannot finish with a defence that cannot stop anything. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Houston Texans threw 56 times against Cincinnati, gained 374 yards and scored six points, going nought from four in the red zone. The Indianapolis Colts have conceded a 118.2 passer rating and 5.4 yards a carry.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Houston TexansWin prob60%
Indianapolis ColtsWin prob40%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Texans vs Colts: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Texans vs Colts: 2026 form so far
Houston move the ball and do not score. Indianapolis score and stop nobody. The table sets each attack against what the other defence has actually allowed.
Texans attack against the Colts defence
| Per game | Texans offence | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 285.5 | 337.5 |
| Rushing yards | 92.0 | 177.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| Passer rating | 86.6 | 118.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.4% | 36.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 44.4% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.5 | 2.0 |
Colts attack against the Texans defence
| Per game | Colts offence | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 179.5 | 252.5 |
| Rushing yards | 110.5 | 85.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 79.8 | 117.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.4% | 33.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 83.3% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.0 | 3.5 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Four touchdowns from 94 passing attempts is Houston’s season in a line. Indianapolis have allowed eight touchdowns and 354 rushing yards at 5.4 a carry.
Texans vs Colts injury report and team news
C.J. Stroud completed 30 of 55 for 353 yards against Cincinnati without a touchdown or an interception, and Houston were nought from four in the red zone.
Jonathan Taylor carried 24 times for 92 yards and two touchdowns at Kansas City, taking him to four rushing scores in two games.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Houston TexansIndianapolis ColtsThe matchup that settles it: Houston’s red zone
Nought from four against Cincinnati, 44.4% across the season and four touchdowns from 94 passing attempts. That is not a rate that wins games however many yards it produces.
Indianapolis are the opposite: 83% of their own red-zone trips have ended in a score, and Jonathan Taylor has four rushing touchdowns already.
The Colts have conceded 675 passing yards and a 118.2 rating, though. Houston will get chances; the question is whether they take any.
Players to watch
- C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): 353 yards from 55 attempts against Cincinnati, without a touchdown.
- Dalton Schultz (HOU, TE): Twelve catches for 140 yards in Week 2.
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): Four rushing touchdowns in two games.
- Josh Downs (IND, WR): Seven catches for 72 yards at Kansas City.
How to watch Texans vs Colts
Kickoff is 6pm BST on Sunday, September 27, which is 1:00 PM ET in Indianapolis. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Texans vs Colts |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6:00pm BST / 1:00 PM ET, Sunday 27 Sep |
| Venue | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Colts prediction and score projection
Our Texans vs Colts prediction is an Indianapolis win, 26-20. The Colts finish drives and Houston, so far, do not.
The live win probability updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Texans vs Colts FAQ
Indianapolis, at home. Both are 1-1, but the Colts convert 83% of their red-zone trips to Houston’s 44%.
6pm BST on Sunday, September 27, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show two games free-to-air every Sunday, and those are not blacked out.
They cannot finish. Nought from four in the red zone against Cincinnati, and four touchdowns from 94 passing attempts.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change