Our Vikings vs Buccaneers prediction follows a Minnesota side winning ugly and a Tampa Bay side losing tidily. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Minnesota Vikings have conceded 25 points in two games and beat Chicago 9-3 without scoring a touchdown. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost both games by four points or fewer. Neither has found much in the opposition half.
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota VikingsWin prob61%
Tampa Bay BuccaneersWin prob39%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Vikings vs Buccaneers: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Vikings vs Buccaneers: 2026 form so far
Two sides defined by their defences and let down by their finishing. The table sets each attack against what the other defence has allowed.
Vikings attack against the Buccaneers defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Buccaneers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 129.5 | 234.0 |
| Rushing yards | 113.0 | 75.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Passer rating | 92.4 | 105.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.3% | 48.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 37.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Buccaneers attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Buccaneers offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 184.5 | 258.0 |
| Rushing yards | 113.0 | 100.0 |
| Yards per carry | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 86.6 | 75.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 46.2% | 29.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 37.5% | 14.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.5 | 4.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Minnesota have conceded 25 points in two games, the fourth-fewest in the league. Tampa Bay convert 37.5% of their red-zone trips, which is why two narrow defeats rather than two narrow wins.
Vikings vs Buccaneers injury report and team news
Minnesota beat Chicago 9-3 without scoring a touchdown, having gone four from four in the red zone against Green Bay a week earlier.
Baker Mayfield completed 21 of 34 for 182 yards with a touchdown and an interception against Cleveland, and Tampa Bay were one from four in the red zone.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Minnesota VikingsTampa Bay BuccaneersThe matchup that settles it: two sides who cannot finish
Minnesota’s defence travels: 25 points conceded in two games, a 75.6 passer rating allowed and eight sacks, which is why a nine-point afternoon was still a win.
Tampa Bay run the ball better than they are given credit for, at 5.0 a carry, and Minnesota have conceded 3.8.
Both sides sit below 40% on their own red-zone trips, so whoever converts first is likely to stay in front.
Players to watch
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): Minnesota’s primary target in a passing game averaging 129.5 yards.
- Minnesota pass rush (MIN, DEF): Eight sacks in two games, with 15 quarterback hits against Green Bay.
- Bucky Irving (TB, RB): 17 carries for 89 yards against Cleveland.
- Baker Mayfield (TB, QB): 182 yards, a touchdown and an interception in Week 2.
How to watch Vikings vs Buccaneers
Kickoff is 9.05pm BST on Sunday, September 27, which is 4:05 PM ET in Tampa. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Vikings vs Buccaneers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.05pm BST / Sunday 27 Sep |
| Venue | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Vikings vs Buccaneers prediction and score projection
Our Vikings vs Buccaneers prediction is a Minnesota win, 20-17. The Vikings defence is the best thing in the game and Tampa Bay keep losing these by a score.
The live win probability updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | You are here |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Vikings vs Buccaneers FAQ
Minnesota, despite playing away. The Vikings are 2-0 and have conceded 25 points; Tampa Bay are 0-2.
9.05pm BST on Sunday, September 27, which is 4:05 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show two games free-to-air every Sunday, and those are not blacked out.
Yes. They beat Chicago 9-3 on field goals alone in Week 2.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change