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Squawka / News / Burnley vs Derby predictions and betting tips: strugglers meet at Turf Moor

Burnley vs Derby predictions and betting tips: strugglers meet at Turf Moor

19 Sep · 15:00 Turf Moor · Championship
2
Goals
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
2
Yellow Cards
5
15
Corners Won
13
34
Shots
23
31
Tackles Won
36
Burnley Burnley
2 - 1
Derby County Derby County
League Cup · 26 Aug 2025
Derby County Derby County
0 - 0
Burnley Burnley
Championship · 08 Apr 2025
Burnley Burnley
0 - 0
Derby County Derby County
Championship · 10 Dec 2024
Goals
  • 1
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    2
  • 2
    Burnley
    Zian Flemming
    2
  • 3
    Derby County
    Sam Szmodics
    2
  • 4
    Derby County
    Carlton Morris
    1
  • 5
    Burnley
    Aaron Ramsey
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Burnley
    Aaron Ramsey
    19
  • 2
    Burnley
    Zeki Amdouni
    17
  • 3
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    14
  • 4
    Derby County
    Sam Szmodics
    14
  • 5
    Burnley
    Zian Flemming
    12
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Derby County
    Alex Mowatt
    10
  • 2
    Burnley
    Aaron Ramsey
    7
  • 3
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    7
  • 4
    Derby County
    Dion Sanderson
    6
  • 5
    Derby County
    Lewis Travis
    6
Assists
  • 1
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    2
  • 2
    Derby County
    Carlton Morris
    1
  • 3
    Burnley
    Max Alleyne
    1
  • 4
    Burnley
    Zeki Amdouni
    1
  • 5
    Derby County
    Oscar Fraulo
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Burnley
    Jacob Bruun Larsen
    12
  • 2
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    8
  • 3
    Derby County
    Alex Mowatt
    8
  • 4
    Derby County
    Joe Ward
    8
  • 5
    Burnley
    Marcus Edwards
    7
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Burnley
    Max Alleyne
    381
  • 2
    Burnley
    Kyle Walker
    328
  • 3
    Derby County
    Sondre Langås
    274
  • 4
    Derby County
    Alex Mowatt
    268
  • 5
    Derby County
    Charlie Taylor
    223
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    12
  • 2
    Burnley
    Ugo Raghouber
    8
  • 3
    Derby County
    Corey Blackett-Taylor
    6
  • 4
    Burnley
    Zeki Amdouni
    6
  • 5
    Derby County
    Joe Ward
    6
Interceptions
  • 1
    Derby County
    Alex Mowatt
    8
  • 2
    Derby County
    Charlie Taylor
    7
  • 3
    Burnley
    Oliver Sonne
    6
  • 4
    Burnley
    Max Alleyne
    5
  • 5
    Burnley
    Anel Ahmedhodzic
    5
Burnley Burnley
  • Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder · Hamstring
  • Dastan Satpaev Attacker · Hamstring
  • Bashir Humphreys Defender · Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Enock Agyei Attacker · Unknown · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Ashley Barnes Attacker · Unknown
  • Jaydon Banel Attacker · Unknown
  • Josh Cullen Midfielder · ACL Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Jordan Beyer Defender · Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
Derby County Derby County
  • Henrik Meister Attacker · Head Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Rhian Brewster Attacker · Head Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Filip Bilbija Midfielder · Back Injury
  • Craig Forsyth Defender · Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Lewis Travis Midfielder · Thigh Injury
  • Matt Clarke Defender · Calf Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Derry John Murkin Defender · Hamstring · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Patrick Agyemang Attacker · Achilles Tendon Rupture

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

01
Weiss
14
Roberts
44
Julio
02
Walker
22
Sonne
03
Alleyne
08
Raghouber
19
Ramazani
29
Laurent
21
Ramsey
11
Amdouni
09
Morris
33
Blackett-Taylor
08
Clark
26
Hedges
04
Ozoh
20
Mowatt
18
Taylor
44
Cashin
06
Langås
22
Johnston
01
Widell Zetterström

League Standings table is not available yet.

Two of the Championship‘s more familiar names find themselves in an early relegation scrap. Burnley sit bottom of the table without a win, while Derby County are only two places better off, and something has to give at Turf Moor on Saturday.

Anthony Eadson’s Burnley vs Derby predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson is all about goals between two leaky, out-of-form defences.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Over 2.5 goals10/11 (bet365)Forget Burnley’s favourite tag, because this game is all about two thoroughly porous defences. Burnley have the worst rearguard in the division, shipping sixteen goals in seven games, yet they have scored in every single match and hit both teams to score in all seven. Derby, meanwhile, have lost three on the bounce and leak goals just as freely. Whenever Burnley are involved this season the goals have flowed at both ends, so taking odds against on the over 2.5 is the obvious, data-driven play.
Sammie Szmodics to score anytime10/3 (bet365)In a game brimming with goals, Derby’s chief attacking threat is worth backing to find the net. Sammie Szmodics already has two goals and is the visitors’ most reliable source going forward, and he comes up against a Burnley defence that is the worst in the division, having shipped sixteen in seven. With both teams scoring in every Burnley game so far, the openings will be there for Derby, and at 10/3 Szmodics to add to his tally is a rewarding, data-backed anytime call.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Burnley go into the game

Burnley are rooted to the bottom after a 3-1 defeat at Swansea, and have conceded more than anyone. A win at Turf Moor is overdue.

Dangerous in flashes but fragile at the back, Burnley need to turn home games into points.

How Derby County go into the game

Derby were beaten 2-1 at home by Birmingham last time out and sit just above the drop zone. Confidence is low.

Capable of a threat but inconsistent, Derby face a tough trip to Turf Moor.

Burnley vs Derby County: 2025-26 by the numbers

Burnley vs Derby County head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
26/08/25Burnley2-1Derby
08/04/25Derby0-0Burnley
10/12/24Burnley0-0Derby

These sides have been closely matched in recent times, with two goalless Championship draws sandwiching a 2-1 Burnley win in the League Cup. Burnley are unbeaten across the last three meetings.

Burnley vs Derby County predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Over 2.5 goals10/11 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Burnley BTTS in all seven; worst defence in the league.
Sammie Szmodics to score anytime10/3 (bet365)⭐⭐Two goals for Derby’s main threat.
Both teams to score8/11 (Betway)⭐⭐⭐Burnley score every game but concede freely.
Burnley to win5/6 (William Hill)⭐⭐Favourites at home but still without a win.

Burnley vs Derby County score prediction

Both defences are leaking badly and Burnley cannot stop conceding, so a high-scoring game with goals at both ends looks likely. Score prediction: Burnley 2-2 Derby.

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