Bournemouth are ticking along in mid-table but face a tough test this weekend against an in-form West Ham side that are looking to haul themselves out of the Premier League relegation zone. This game kicks off at 17:30 GMT on Saturday at the London Stadium.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why I’m Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 6/4 @ Sky Bet (40%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The market expects goals, but both sides are underperforming their xG (Bournemouth +5.38, West Ham +3.92). Five of the last six head-to-heads have gone under. The 6/4 implies 40% — I make it closer to 45% given West Ham’s lack of attacking spark. |
| Alex Scott to be Carded | 6/4 @ Bet365 (40%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Bournemouth average 2.42 cards per game and Scott’s in the thick of it — 26 appearances, plenty of tackles. West Ham’s midfield isn’t shy either. At 6/4, the implied probability is 40%, but given the card averages, I reckon it’s nearer 50%. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
West Ham vs Bournemouth odds
How both teams go into West Ham vs Bournemouth
West Ham had been enduring a torrid season and while they still find themselves mired in relegation trouble, recent form has seen their chances of remaining in the top tier increase dramatically as things finally seem to have clicked into gear for Nuno Espirito Santo at the London Stadium.
Last weekend’s FA Cup victory at Burton Albion means they’ve now lost just one of their last seven games in all competitions, racking up five wins in the process and cutting the gap to 17th placed Nottingham Forest to just three points. This Saturday feels like an opportunity to really pile the pressure on the Tricky Trees who play Liverpool at home on Sunday afternoon.
It shouldn’t be underestimated just how good a job Andoni Iraola has been doing at Bournemouth. Despite consistently losing key players in the transfer market, the Basque boss has been able to consistently reimagine his team and even the January sale of Antoine Semenyo to Manchester City doesn’t seem to have derailed another solid campaign.
The Cherries are unbeaten in six Premier League games now, a run that started with Semenyo’s last gasp-winner against Tottenham Hotspur in his final game for the club. Having enjoyed a rest on FA Cup weekend, they can make the trip to the capital in good spirits and hoping to put a dent in West Ham’s survival hopes.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | 9th | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 37 |
| West Ham | 18th | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 24 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Meetings
It’s been tight between these two. Eight draws have been played out in the last fifteen meetings, including the last three league games. The last match finished 2-2 at the Vitality, and goals are usually on the menu.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 | AFC Bournemouth 2-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| 05/04/25 | West Ham 2-2 AFC Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 16/12/24 | AFC Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| 28/08/24 | West Ham 1-0 AFC Bournemouth | League Cup |
| 01/02/24 | West Ham 1-1 AFC Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 12/08/23 | AFC Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham | Premier League |
Conclusion
Bournemouth have the firepower and the form, West Ham have the pressure and the leaky back line. The Cherries are hardly watertight, but they’re at home, and West Ham’s away record is nothing to write home about. I’m taking Under 2.5 Goals at 6/4 with Sky Bet as my main angle — the value is there, and the recent head-to-heads back it up. For a player prop, Alex Scott to be Carded at 6/4 with Bet365 is a proper price given the midfield battle. If you’re after a goalscorer, Semenyo’s numbers are hard to ignore, but the price is about right. Don’t be surprised if this is tighter than the market expects.
