Our Chiefs vs Dolphins prediction backs the visitors heavily, and Miami’s missing pass rush is why. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 2-0 after 523 yards against Indianapolis. The Miami Dolphins are 0-2 and have yet to sack a quarterback this season. Few Week 3 fixtures start from positions this far apart.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins
Kansas City ChiefsWin prob69%
Miami DolphinsWin prob31%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Chiefs vs Dolphins: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Chiefs vs Dolphins: 2026 form so far
Two games apiece and almost nothing in common. Each attack is set against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Chiefs attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 271.5 | 223.5 |
| Rushing yards | 186.0 | 112.5 |
| Yards per carry | 5.6 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 103.8 | 118.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 46.7% | 50.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 88.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Dolphins attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 183.5 | 162.5 |
| Rushing yards | 88.0 | 90.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 83.5 | 78.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.0% | 29.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 4.5 | 2.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Kansas City are converting 46.7% on third down and holding the ball. Miami have scored two touchdowns all season and are 20% in the red zone.
Chiefs vs Dolphins injury report and team news
Patrick Mahomes completed 32 of 47 for 382 yards and three touchdowns against Indianapolis, with Travis Kelce catching nine for 101.
Kenneth Walker III carried 24 times for 117 yards and added 61 through the air.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Kansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsThe matchup that settles it: Mahomes against a defence with no pressure
Miami’s zero sacks is the number that decides how competitive this is. Mahomes has been sacked twice all season and Miami have conceded a 118.5 passer rating.
De’Von Achane’s 20 carries at San Francisco suggest Miami want to shorten games, but 74 yards from them is not enough to do it.
Kansas City are not flawless: they scored 33 against Indianapolis but conceded 30, and their own defence recorded no sacks in the same game.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 32 of 47 for 382 yards and three touchdowns against Indianapolis.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): 117 rushing yards and 61 receiving in Week 2.
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): 20 carries for 74 yards at San Francisco.
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): 197 yards and a touchdown, sacked four times.
How to watch Chiefs vs Dolphins
The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French-language call, and DAZN carries every game of the season. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Dolphins |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Dolphins prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Dolphins prediction is a Kansas City win, 31-17. The Chiefs control games and Miami cannot make anyone uncomfortable.
Signal’s live number updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 3 game the same way. Compare the AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds as the season develops, and our guide to watching the NFL in Canada covers every window.
Chiefs vs Dolphins FAQ
Kansas City, on the road. The Chiefs are 2-0 and Miami have conceded eight touchdowns in two games.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French. DAZN streams it too.
Kansas City beat Indianapolis 33-30. Miami lost 35-13 at San Francisco.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change