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Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction, picks and odds for Week 6 of the 2026 NFL season

Los Angeles is 0-5 with the lowest passer rating in the NFL. Kansas City is 4-0 and rested. Our Chargers vs Chiefs prediction is the most one-sided matchup of the week.

The Kansas City Chiefs come off their bye having conceded seven touchdowns in four games, level with Jacksonville for the fewest among teams playing. The Los Angeles Chargers have scored 84 points and thrown seven interceptions.

Week 6 · Editorial pick

Chargers vs Chiefs: our editor’s props

Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.

Chargers AT Chiefs

Our props

TotalUnder 44.5 pointsLos Angeles rates 69.7 passing, the lowest figure going, and has 84 points. Kansas City allows a 76.8 opponent rating and 44.4% in the red zone.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propKenneth Walker III 75+ rushing yardsWalker is second in the NFL on 537 rushing yards and Kansas City runs at 5.5 a carry. The Chargers give up 3.75, but they will be chasing this all afternoon.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Chargers vs Chiefs: 2026 form so far

A rested unbeaten team against a winless one. Read the table across rather than down: every figure sits next to what has to stop it.

Chargers attack against the Chiefs defence

Per gameChargers offenceChiefs allow
Passing yards164.6225.0
Rushing yards128.292.8
Yards per carry4.43.6
Passer rating69.776.8
Touchdowns1.81.8
Third-down conversion34.8%37.0%
Red-zone conversion61.5%44.4%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.41.0

Chiefs attack against the Chargers defence

Per gameChiefs offenceChargers allow
Passing yards249.8193.0
Rushing yards162.2118.6
Yards per carry5.53.8
Passer rating106.290.9
Touchdowns3.52.8
Third-down conversion44.0%31.2%
Red-zone conversion63.2%52.4%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.52.2

Figures are season to date, across 4 games.

Sixty-nine point seven is the Chargers’ team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, and nothing else in the profile offsets it.

Chargers vs Chiefs quarterback matchup

Kansas City rates 106.2 through the air to the Chargers’ 69.7. That gap is the largest in any game this week.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
ChargersJustin Herbert20/34, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 76.3 rtg71/119, 816 yds, 4 TD, 6 INT, 70.6 rtg (4 games)
ChiefsPatrick Mahomes20/24, 246 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 119.8 rtg82/128, 1037 yds, 9 TD, 2 INT, 106.2 rtg (4 games)
Last game is Week 3. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Chargers vs Chiefs injury report and team news

Kansas City is coming off its bye and has played four games to the Chargers’ five.

Kenneth Walker III has 537 rushing yards, second in the NFL behind Bijan Robinson.

Los Angeles rates 69.7 through the air, the lowest figure in the league.

Nothing in the numbers says this is close

Sixty-nine point seven. That is the Chargers’ team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, from a team that has thrown seven interceptions and scored 84 points in five games.

Kansas City has conceded seven touchdowns in four games and allows a 76.8 opponent rating. Only Minnesota, Seattle and Green Bay are better, and two of those are idle.

The Chargers do run it adequately, 641 yards at 4.36 a carry, and Omarion Hampton has 271 of them. That is the only part of this that reads evenly.

Players to watch

  • Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): 537 on the ground, second in the league.
  • Rashee Rice (KC, WR): A first read in an attack rating 106.2 through the air.
  • Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): 271 rushing yards in the Chargers’ one working phase.
  • Ladd McConkey (LAC, WR): A target in the lowest-rated passing game in football.

How to watch Chargers vs Chiefs in Canada

Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Which Sunday afternoon game CTV shows depends on where you are watching, so check locally. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailChargers vs Chiefs
DateSunday, October 18, 2026
Kickoff4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT
VenueGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 6, 2026 NFL season

Chargers vs Chiefs prediction and score projection

Our Chargers vs Chiefs prediction is Kansas City by 31-13. The Chiefs are rested and unbeaten, and the Chargers have not scored more than 23 all season.

Signal’s live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.

Every Week 6 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMSeahawks @ BroncosSeahawks 24-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMTexans @ JaguarsJaguars 27-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMRavens @ BrownsRavens 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ EaglesPanthers 24-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMBears @ FalconsBears 23-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMSaints @ GiantsGiants 26-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMJets @ PatriotsPatriots 24-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMSteelers @ BuccaneersSteelers 23-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMTitans @ ColtsColts 23-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMCardinals @ RamsRams 30-20Read
Sun 4:25 PMBills @ RaidersBills 30-27Read
Sun 4:25 PMChargers @ ChiefsChiefs 31-13You are here
Sun 8:20 PMCowboys @ PackersPackers 27-24Read
Mon 8:15 PMCommanders @ 49ers49ers 31-17Read

The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 6 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.

Chargers vs Chiefs FAQ

Who is favoured, the Chargers or the Chiefs?

Kansas City, heavily. The Chiefs are 4-0 and rested; Los Angeles is 0-5.

What time is Chargers vs Chiefs in Canada?

4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT, at Arrowhead Stadium.

How can I watch Chargers vs Chiefs in Canada?

CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Which team has the lowest passer rating?

Los Angeles, at 69.7.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change