Buffalo concedes on 76.2% of opponent red-zone trips. Las Vegas concedes on 77.8%. Our Bills vs Raiders prediction pairs two of the three worst red-zone defences in football.
The Buffalo Bills lead the NFL with 164 points, level with Detroit, and have scored 20 touchdowns. The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-2 and have conceded 17 touchdowns, so this should not be quiet.
Bills vs Raiders: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Bills vs Raiders: 2026 form so far
Two defences that cannot finish a stop. The columns put each team’s output next to what the other has conceded to date.
Bills attack against the Raiders defence
| Per game | Bills offence | Raiders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 238.2 | 236.4 |
| Rushing yards | 158.0 | 140.6 |
| Yards per carry | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Passer rating | 99.6 | 99.6 |
| Touchdowns | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 50.0% | 42.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 71.4% | 77.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.6 |
Raiders attack against the Bills defence
| Per game | Raiders offence | Bills allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 253.6 | 280.4 |
| Rushing yards | 82.0 | 108.2 |
| Yards per carry | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 100.2 | 105.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.4% | 42.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.6% | 76.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.6 | 2.2 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Seven hundred and three rushing yards have gone through the Las Vegas front in five games, at 5.21 a carry.
Bills vs Raiders quarterback matchup
Kirk Cousins has 12 touchdown passes for Las Vegas, which is why this reads as a shootout rather than a procession.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Josh Allen | 16/26, 204 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 54.0 rtg | 79/119, 1039 yds, 6 TD, 3 INT, 100.1 rtg (4 games) |
| Raiders | Kirk Cousins | 22/33, 248 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 119.3 rtg | 93/144, 1026 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT, 99.5 rtg (4 games) |
Bills vs Raiders injury report and team news
Buffalo has scored 164 points, level with Detroit for the most in the NFL.
James Cook III has 532 rushing yards, third in the league, and Buffalo has 13 rushing touchdowns.
Greg Rousseau has six sacks for Buffalo, second in the NFL behind Will Anderson Jr.
Neither of these defences finishes a stop
Buffalo has scored 164 points and 20 touchdowns, 13 of them on the ground. James Cook III’s 532 rushing yards are third in the league and the team runs for 5.37 a carry.
Las Vegas concedes 5.21 a carry, which is the second-worst figure in football, and 703 rushing yards have gone through that front in five games.
The Raiders can score too. Kirk Cousins has 12 touchdown passes, Brock Bowers has 312 receiving yards, and Buffalo concedes on 76.2% of red-zone trips.
Players to watch
- James Cook III (BUF, RB): 532 on the ground, third in the league, at 5.37 a carry.
- Greg Rousseau (BUF, OLB): Six sacks, second in the NFL.
- Brock Bowers (LV, TE): 312 receiving yards for an attack rating 100.2.
- Ashton Jeanty (LV, RB): 291 rushing yards into a defence giving up 3.92 a carry.
How to watch Bills vs Raiders in Canada
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Bills vs Raiders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, NV |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Bills vs Raiders prediction and score projection
Our Bills vs Raiders prediction is Buffalo by 30-27. Both red-zone defences leak and both attacks are capable, but the Bills have scored 32 more points.
Signal’s projected margin for this game updates through the week.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 6 game on the same model. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.
Bills vs Raiders FAQ
Buffalo. The Bills lead the NFL in points scored; Las Vegas is 3-2 and has conceded 17 touchdowns.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT, at Allegiant Stadium.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Buffalo, with 164, level with Detroit.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change