Our Jets vs Bears prediction covers the league’s most productive run game against one of five offences yet to throw an interception. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Chicago Bears have run for 553 yards at 5.3 a carry and beaten Philadelphia 27-7. The New York Jets sit on a 110.0 passer rating with four touchdowns and no picks. Soldier Field hosts a genuine contrast in method.
Jets vs Bears: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Jets vs Bears: 2026 form so far
One side runs, the other throws. The table puts each attack against what the opposite defence allows.
Jets attack against the Bears defence
| Per game | Jets offence | Bears allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 236.7 | 207.0 |
| Rushing yards | 92.3 | 117.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.3 | 5.1 |
| Passer rating | 110.0 | 81.3 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.2% | 29.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 71.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Bears attack against the Jets defence
| Per game | Bears offence | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 223.7 | 171.0 |
| Rushing yards | 184.3 | 87.3 |
| Yards per carry | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 96.8 | 98.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 47.6% | 32.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 70.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.7 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Chicago have conceded only six touchdowns and hold opponents to 29% on third down, a rate bettered by just Minnesota and Seattle.
Jets vs Bears quarterback matchup
Case Keenum has started once and posted a 110.8 rating. Geno Smith has started three times without an interception.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | Geno Smith | 31/37, 321 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 129.8 rtg | 77/102, 783 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 110.0 rtg (3 games) |
| Bears | Case Keenum | 24/34, 247 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 110.8 rtg | 24/34, 247 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 110.8 rtg (1 game) |
Jets vs Bears injury report and team news
D’Andre Swift carried 20 times for 84 yards against Philadelphia as part of a 553-yard team rushing total across three games.
Garrett Wilson caught 10 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown at Detroit.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Jets vs Bears is decided
Chicago hold opponents to 29% on third down, level with Jacksonville and behind only Minnesota and Seattle, and have conceded six touchdowns.
The Jets cannot run: 277 yards at 3.3 a carry across three games, which puts every drive on Geno Smith’s arm.
Case Keenum’s single start is the uncertainty. He was excellent against Philadelphia, but one game is one game.
Players to watch
- Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): 31 of 37 for 321 yards and three touchdowns at Detroit.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): 10 catches for 107 yards and a score in Week 3.
- Case Keenum (CHI, QB): 247 yards and two touchdowns against Philadelphia.
- D’Andre Swift (CHI, RB): 20 carries for 84 yards in Week 3.
How to watch Jets vs Bears
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday 4 October at Soldier Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Jets vs Bears |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Jets vs Bears prediction and score projection
Our Jets vs Bears prediction is a Chicago win, 27-24, rated 3/5. The Bears control the clock in a way the Jets cannot.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 4 game the same way. This one crosses the conferences, so the AFC Championship odds and the NFC Championship odds are both worth a look as the season develops.
Jets vs Bears FAQ
Chicago, at home. The Bears are 2-1 with a plus-36 point differential; the Jets are 1-2.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday 4 October, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
CTV coverage is regional, so the fixture on your local CTV station depends where you are, with TSN alongside it and RDS in French. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada.
Case Keenum, who started Week 3 and threw two touchdown passes at a 110.8 rating.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change