Squawka’s soccer predictions for the week ahead — confidence-rated picks on the MLS and Liga MX fixtures our previews cover, refreshed as each matchday’s lines drop.
With the World Cup done, MLS and Liga MX are back in action and lead our coverage; Premier League and Champions League picks return when those seasons kick off. The picks below are pulled from our individual match previews, which work through form, head-to-head records, key player availability and the opening lines before settling on a confidence rating. Click any match name to read the full breakdown. Odds are bet365 prices at time of writing; before placing a wager, compare the top US sportsbooks for the best available numbers.
This week’s soccer predictions
| Date | Competition | Match | Pick | Squawka probabilitybet365 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 25 Jul | Liga MX | Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis | Tigres UANL to Win | 68%See bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | Liga MX | Chivas vs FC Juárez | Chivas to Win | 61%-159 @ bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Atlas FC | Santos Laguna to Win | 38%+120 @ bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | MLS | CF Montreal vs Inter Miami | Inter Miami to Win | 46%+101 @ bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | MLS | St. Louis City SC vs Colorado Rapids | St. Louis City to Win | 48%-123 @ bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | MLS | Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps | Vancouver Whitecaps to Win | 51%-123 @ bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | MLS | New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC | New York Red Bulls to Win | 45%See bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | MLS | LAFC vs Sporting KC | LAFC to Win | 80%-390 @ bet365 |
| Sat 25 Jul | MLS | Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC | Houston Dynamo to Win | 57%-202 @ bet365 |
| Sun 26 Jul | Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey | Monterrey to Win | 42%+140 @ bet365 |
| Sun 26 Jul | Liga MX | Pachuca vs Querétaro FC | Pachuca to Win | 61%-196 @ bet365 |
Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices. 21+. CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.
Odds correct at time of preview publication. 21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Predictions by bet type
Drill into the bet type you’re working with — same week, same matches, filtered to the picks that fit a specific market.
| Bet type | What we cover | Page |
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | This week’s BTTS picks across the leagues we cover, with confidence stars and odds. | View BTTS predictions |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals | Goals-line picks ranked by confidence, with the over/under read for each fixture. | View Over 2.5 predictions |
| Correct Score | Our cleanest big-price scorelines for the week, normalised to standard home-away order. | View Correct Score predictions |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Goalscorer picks with player stats, xG and the matchup angle that supports each tip. | View Anytime Goalscorer predictions |
Key stats behind our predictions
Before locking in any pick, our team runs a few Squawka stats reads. The table below collects the most useful ones across the four leagues we cover. Use it to sense-check our predictions against the underlying numbers.
| Competition | Top scorers | Clean sheets | Attacking stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | View | View | View |
| Champions League | View | View | View |
| MLS | View | View | View |
| Liga MX | View | View | View |
Prediction markets
If you prefer prediction-market prices over traditional sportsbooks, these longer-range futures are worth tracking:
- Premier League winner predictions (Polymarket)
- World Cup 2026 predictions
- Ballon d’Or 2026 predictions (Kalshi)
How we make our predictions
Every pick on this page starts with data. We pull recent form, head-to-head records, expected-goals numbers, and squad availability from our football database, then cross-reference the opening odds to find bets where the implied probability looks off. The confidence stars are not gut feel — they are derived directly from implied probability: a -285 favorite translates to roughly 74% implied, which earns five stars, while a +155 underdog sits around 39%, earning two. The scale runs from one star (below 33% implied) to five (70%+). Right now that covers MLS and Liga MX, with Premier League and Champions League picks returning when those seasons kick off. Each tip links to the full match preview so you can see the reasoning before you decide.
21+ only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.