Dallas concede a 120.5 opponent passer rating, the worst figure in the NFL. Green Bay cannot run the ball at all. Our Cowboys vs Packers prediction covers the Sunday night game those two facts shape.
The Dallas Cowboys are 2-3 despite converting 83.3% of their red-zone trips, the second-best rate in the league. The Green Bay Packers are 3-2 and have run for 302 yards all season, fewer than any team in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
Dallas CowboysSquawka35%Market48%▼ Overpriced
Green Bay PackersSquawka65%Market52%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Cowboys vs Packers: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
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Cowboys vs Packers: 2026 form so far
The league’s most generous secondary against a team that cannot run. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually conceded.
Cowboys attack against the Packers defense
| Per game | Cowboys offense | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 269.6 | 181.0 |
| Rushing yards | 81.6 | 127.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 97.2 | 76.8 |
| Touchdowns | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 49.2% | 44.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 83.3% | 81.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 2.8 |
Packers attack against the Cowboys defense
| Per game | Packers offense | Cowboys allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 271.0 | 227.0 |
| Rushing yards | 60.4 | 168.4 |
| Yards per carry | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| Passer rating | 95.5 | 120.5 |
| Touchdowns | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 27.6% | 52.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 70.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Green Bay have 302 rushing yards in five games, the fewest in the NFL and barely a third of Chicago’s total. At 3.05 a carry it is not a threat.
Cowboys vs Packers quarterback matchup
Dallas rate 97.2 through the air and Green Bay 95.5, two of the closer figures on the card. Both lean on the pass because neither runs it well.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | Dak Prescott | 25/40, 276 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 91.3 rtg | 105/150, 1065 yds, 8 TD, 1 INT, 105.0 rtg (4 games) |
| Packers | Jordan Love | 28/53, 312 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 75.4 rtg | 87/154, 1041 yds, 8 TD, 3 INT, 86.5 rtg (4 games) |
Cowboys vs Packers injury report and team news
Green Bay have run for 302 yards in five games, the fewest of any team in the league.
Dallas concede a 120.5 opponent passer rating, the worst figure in the NFL.
Christian Watson has 474 receiving yards and Matthew Golden 397 for the Packers.
Dallas CowboysGreen Bay PackersA bad secondary and a non-existent run game
One hundred and twenty point five. That is the opponent passer rating Dallas concede, the worst in the NFL, with ten touchdown passes allowed and no interceptions taken.
Green Bay should feast on it. Christian Watson has 474 receiving yards and Matthew Golden 397, and the Packers rate 95.5 through the air with no ground game to speak of.
Dallas convert 83.3% in the red zone, second only to San Francisco, so they will score. The question is whether a defense with five sacks in five games can ever get a stop at Lambeau on a Sunday night.
Players to watch
- CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): 507 receiving yards, third in the NFL.
- George Pickens (DAL, WR): 355 receiving yards in an offense converting 83.3% in the red zone.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): 474 receiving yards, fifth in the league.
- Matthew Golden (GB, WR): 397 receiving yards in his second season.
How to watch Cowboys vs Packers
Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Lambeau Field, which is 7:20 PM CT and 5:20 PM PT. NBC has the Sunday night broadcast, with streaming on Peacock.
| Detail | Cowboys vs Packers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 PM ET / 7:20 PM CT / 5:20 PM PT |
| Venue | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Peacock |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Cowboys vs Packers prediction and score projection
Green Bay win 27-24. Dallas will score, but a secondary this generous at Lambeau on a Sunday night is the harder thing to overcome.
Signal carries the live line for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | You are here |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
You can find the full NFL picks page alongside our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in the NFC board. For the player side of this game, see prop markets for this game.
Cowboys vs Packers FAQ
Green Bay, at home on Sunday night. The Packers are 3-2; Dallas are 2-3.
8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, at Lambeau Field. This is the Sunday night game.
Dallas, conceding a 120.5 opponent passer rating, the worst figure in the NFL.
Green Bay, with 302 rushing yards in five games, the fewest in the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change