Forty-nine penalties in five games. Cleveland are the least disciplined team in the NFL, and our Ravens vs Browns prediction has them hosting the league’s second-best passing offense.
The Baltimore Ravens are 4-1 and rate 116.8 through the air, behind only San Francisco. The Cleveland Browns are 3-2 but have been outscored by 19, and they have conceded 19 sacks, more than any team in the league.
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
Baltimore RavensSquawka76%Market68%▲ Value
Cleveland BrownsSquawka24%Market32%▼ Slight laySquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Ravens vs Browns: our editor’s props
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Ravens vs Browns: 2026 form so far
The second-best passing offense in football against a defense that bends less than its record suggests. The table sets each attack against what the other allows.
Ravens attack against the Browns defense
| Per game | Ravens offense | Browns allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 229.8 | 216.6 |
| Rushing yards | 164.4 | 117.4 |
| Yards per carry | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Passer rating | 116.8 | 89.7 |
| Touchdowns | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.5% | 39.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 73.7% | 42.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.2 | 3.2 |
Browns attack against the Ravens defense
| Per game | Browns offense | Ravens allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 179.4 | 223.6 |
| Rushing yards | 94.2 | 102.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 94.1 | 88.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 30.6% | 41.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 45.5% | 58.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.8 | 2.0 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Cleveland’s 42.9% red-zone defense is second only to Minnesota, who are on bye. The problem is at the other end: 93 points and 19 sacks conceded.
Ravens vs Browns quarterback matchup
Baltimore rate 116.8 through the air to Cleveland’s 94.1. Only San Francisco better the Ravens’ figure.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | Lamar Jackson | 15/20, 186 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 136.7 rtg | 68/96, 967 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT, 119.6 rtg (4 games) |
| Browns | Deshaun Watson | 16/30, 144 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 88.8 rtg | 80/115, 855 yds, 6 TD, 2 INT, 101.2 rtg (4 games) |
Ravens vs Browns injury report and team news
Cleveland have taken 49 penalties, the most of any team in the NFL, and conceded 19 sacks, also the most.
Derrick Henry has 476 rushing yards and Baltimore average 5.07 a carry as a team.
Baltimore’s quarterback picture will be settled by Friday’s designations.
Baltimore RavensCleveland BrownsDiscipline, or the lack of it
Forty-nine penalties and 19 sacks conceded, both league highs, in five games. Cleveland are 3-2 in spite of that rather than because anything is working.
Baltimore are the wrong opponent for it. A 116.8 team passer rating is second in the NFL, they run for 5.07 a carry, and they convert 73.7% of red-zone trips.
Cleveland’s red-zone defense is the counterweight and it is real: 42.9% allowed, second-best in football. If they can keep Baltimore kicking, 93 points of offense might just be enough.
Players to watch
- Derrick Henry (BAL, RB): 476 rushing yards at 5.07 a carry as a team.
- Zay Flowers (BAL, WR): 405 receiving yards in a passing game rating 116.8.
- Denzel Boston (CLE, WR): 330 receiving yards, the most by any Cleveland receiver.
- Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Leads a ground game averaging 3.74 a carry.
How to watch Ravens vs Browns
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Huntington Bank Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Ravens vs Browns |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Ravens vs Browns prediction and score projection
Baltimore win 27-16. Cleveland’s red-zone defense keeps the score down, but 49 penalties and 19 sacks conceded is not a profile that beats this team.
Our model’s number and the live market price both update through the week.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see NFL predictions for the round and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in Super Bowl LXI odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.
Ravens vs Browns FAQ
Baltimore. The Ravens are 4-1 at +27; Cleveland are 3-2 but -19 on differential.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, at Huntington Bank Field.
Cleveland, with 49 in five games, the most in the NFL.
Red-zone defense. They allow 42.9%, second only to Minnesota across the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change