Outright Odds

World Cup 2022 outright odds: Favourites, group winners, finalist and winner odds

By Ben Green

Published: 18:23, 20 September 2022

The World Cup is right around the corner, but who will take home the Jules Rimet Trophy in football’s unprecedented winter showpiece?

Here are the latest World Cup winner odds for Qatar 2022:

The latest World Cup 2022 outright winner odds

Nation Sky Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport   Nation Sky  Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport
Brazil 9/2 5/1 5/1   Poland 100/1 100/1 100/1
France 11/2 11/2 11/2   Serbia 100/1 100/1 100/1
England 6/1 13/2 13/2   USA 100/1 100/1 100/1
Argentina 15/2 13/2 13/2   Australia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Spain 15/2 15/2 15/2   Ecuador 150/1 125/1 125/1
Germany 9/1 9/1 9/1   Cameroon 200/1 250/1 250/1
Belgium 14/1 11/1 11/1   Japan 250/1 250/1 250/1
Netherlands 12/1 12/1 12/1   South Korea 250/1 250/1 250/1
Portugal 14/1 12/1 12/1   Tunisia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Denmark 28/1 30/1 30/1   Ghana 250/1 250/1 250/1
Croatia 66/1 45/1 45/1   Morocco 250/1 200/1 200/1
Uruguay 40/1 45/1 45/1   Canada 250/1 200/1 200/1
Senegal 80/1 100/1 100/1   Iran 500/1 500/1 500/1
Switzerland 66/1 80/1 80/1   Qatar 500/1 250/1 250/1
Wales 100/1 150/1 150/1   Saudi Arabia 750/1 500/1 500/1
Mexico 100/1 100/1 100/1   Costa Rica 750/1 500/1 500/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (11:00, 15/09/2022).BeGambleAware.

Who are the World Cup 2022 favourites from each group?

Group A: The Netherlands (12/1)

The Netherlands are back in football’s most-cherished competition after missing out on the 2018 edition. Manager Louis van Gaal took charge in 2014 as Oranje finished with a Bronze medal by beating host nation Brazil in the third place play-off. He will be itching to make an impression in Qatar and enhance his already-legendary legacy.

They comfortably topped Group G in their European qualifying campaign and boast a cohort of elite names and established stars. The likes of Virgil van Dijk, Frenkie de Jong and Memphis Depay make up a formidable national spine, while there are plenty of up-and-comers ready to be unleashed in Qatar. Jurrien Timber, Tyrell Malacia, Ryan Gravenberch and Devyne Rensch form an exciting quartet of international legends in the making.

Van Gaal should feel confident of getting the job done against tournament hosts Qatar, current African champions Senegal and occasional appearance-makers Ecuador in Group A.

Group B: England (6/1)

The Three Lions have been on an upward trajectory since Gareth Southgate stepped into the national hot seat. He famously took England to the 2018 World Cup semi-finals, before reaching last summer’s European Championship final. The perennial underachievers failed to banish the demons of past tournament heartbreaks on both occasions, but the building blocks have been carefully assembled by Southgate.

With a new wave of precocious Three Lions emerging since 2018, and even last year, Southgate will be hoping he can build on England’s recent latter-stage form. Jude Bellingham continues to thrive at Borussia Dortmund while Phil Foden and Bukayo Saka give the nation a fresh attacking perspective to the one that came up short to Croatia four years ago.

Wales, the United States and Iran all pose their own threats and make up a potentially awkward group for England. But, the quality is there to avoid any drama, if they can maximise it.

Latest odds for current uncapped players to make England's World Cup squad:

Player Sky Bet
Ivan Toney 6/4
Harvey Elliott 2/1
Anthony Gordon 4/1
Ryan Sessegnon 4/1
Jack Harrison 6/1
Eberechi Eze 8/1
Max Kilman 10/1
Jacob Ramsey 16/1
Morgan Gibbs-White 20/1
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 20/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (13:45, 05/09/2022). BeGambleAware.

Sky Bet New Customer Offer: Bet £5, get £20 in free bets

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NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. ODDS OF 1/1 OR GREATER. 4 X £5 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS EXCLUDE VIRTUALS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS. FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Group C: Argentina (15/2)

Unless he plans on playing into his 40s (or thereabouts), this could be Lionel Messi’s final shot at World Cup glory. International silverware has often eluded the Ballon d’Or collector’s career, who finally ended his wait on that front last summer as Argentina won the Copa America. He will be desperate to avoid wasting his (potentially) final shot at copping the Jules Rimet Trophy.

As always, write Argentina off at your peril. The South American national team are royalty at the quadrennial tournament, winning the competition on two occasions: 1978 and 1986. They don’t have peak Diego Maradona to produce moments of jaw-dropping inspiration and mercurial magic, but in Messi they have a totemic forward, a once-in-a-lifetime jewel to galvanise a nation.

Poland and Mexico are always tricky customers and have one or two standout names who could inspire potential giant-killings, while Saudi Arabia are always unpredictable and tricky in this tournament.

Group D: France (11/2)

As the current world champions, France are naturally one of the favourites. Didier Deschamps followed up his own success as a player by winning the World Cup as a manager. And as always, France’s squad is bursting at the seams with generational talent, not least future Ballon d’Or winner Kylian Mbappe, 2022 Ballon d’Or-elect Karim Benzema, and Galactico duo Aurelien Tchouameni and Eduardo Camavinga.

It was a straightforward qualifying campaign for Les Bleus, who topped Group D without defeat and boasted a positive 15 goal difference. Australia, Denmark and Tunisia seems pretty comfortable to navigate for the reigning champions. But at the World Cup, form and status often go out of the window. Indeed, complacency will always be a heavyweight’s Achilles heel. But, France should have more than enough talent to get through Group D without any hiccups.

Group E: Spain (15/2)

If there is a ‘Group of Death’ at the 2022 World Cup, it is Group E. Spain and Germany have both been drawn into the same four-nation set, including Japan and Costa Rica, adding huge jeopardy to this group. Luis Enrique is a Champions League-winning manager so certainly knows what is required to tackle these early rounds. La Roja avoided drama in their qualifiers, topping Group B in Europe’s ‘Road to Qatar’, and Enrique will be aiming to take that form into November’s starting pistol. Spain have crashed out in the last-16 and group stages across the previous two tournaments, so will be looking to make up for those premature exits here.

Group F: Belgium (14/1)

Under Roberto Martinez, Belgium achieved their best-ever finish at a World Cup as they claimed third place in 2018, beating England for the consolation prize. Often considered the nation’s ‘Golden Generation’, Martinez knows that by the time 2026 rolls around, the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Eden Hazard and Romelu Lukaku will be well into their twilight years, so this may be his last shot at glory with that nation-defining trident still in its peak years.

Group G: Brazil (9/2)

Brazil are the tournament favourites among many bookmakers, and with good reason. Football’s pre-eminent production line, the nation continues to churn out world-class superstars like Chelsea send prospects out on loan. However, they haven’t progressed past the quarter-finals since winning the competition in 2002, so will certainly be harbouring a deep-seated aspiration to bring home the trophy to Brazil, the World Cup’s most successful nation.

Group H: Portugal (14/1)

As with Messi, this may be Cristiano Ronaldo’s last chance to win the World Cup. But, certainly don’t rule out the footballing Adonis rocking up stateside in four years from now. The 2016 European champions needed the play-offs to book their ticket to Qatar, beating Italy’s scalp-claimers North Macedonia in late March. However, Fernando Santos is a man who knows how to win a tournament, and he boasts a squad replete with some of the game’s finest talent, including Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Ruben Dias and Joao Cancelo.

Other World Cup outright markets

You can bet on many more outright markets than just the World Cup winner. As well as backing a nation to lift the famous trophy, many bookmakers offer markets such as To Reach The Final, To Reach The Semi-Final, To Win All Group Games, Tournament Runner-Up and even more player specific markets such as the Golden Boot winner.

Previous World Cup 2022 winners

Year Nation
2018 France
2014 Gremany
2010 Spain
2006 Italy
2002 Brazil
1998 France
1994 Brazil
1990 West Germany
1986 Argentina
1982 Italy

World Cup outright odds FAQs

Who are the favourites for the World Cup 2022?

As things currently stand, Brazil are the favourites to end their two-decade wait to hold the Jules Rimet Trophy. Sky Bet are currently backing them at 9/2 to win the World Cup. Paddy Power and 888Sport both have Brazil at 5/1 to lift the silverware aloft come December.

Can you bet on the Golden Boot winner?

Sky Bet are offering a market on who will scoop the Golden Boot at this year’s World Cup. Harry Kane is currently their favourite to win it at 7/1, while Kylian Mbappe (8/1), Cristiano Ronaldo (12/1), Karim Benzema (14/1) and Lionel Messi (14/1) make up the top five.

How often has the betting favourite won the World Cup?

Interestingly, only nine of the pre-tournament favourites have gone on to win the World Cup during the competition’s existence. There have been 21 World Cups in total, so that’s fewer than half of the favourites going on to win the competition.

Who are the current holders of the World Cup?

France won their second World Cup in 2018, beating Croatia 4-2 in the final. You would have to go back to 1962 for the last time a nation retained their World Cup crown, with Brazil winning successive tournaments after triumphing at Sweden 1958. Sky Bet offer a France-specific market for the 2022 World Cup, including their exact group points:

Which bookmakers offer odds on the World Cup winner?

Plenty of bookmakers are offering odds on the World Cup winner. Sky Bet, 888Sport and Paddy Power all have markets for specific nations to win the competition outright.

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