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Squawka / Outright markets / Man City odds to win the Premier League: Outright odds and predictions

Man City odds to win the Premier League: Outright odds and predictions

Manchester City are right on the heels of Premier League leaders Arsenal as they look to pile on the pressure and haul in the Gunners as the gripping title race approaches its finale.

Read on to see their outright odds for the 2025-26 Premier League season.

Man City odds to win the 2025-26 Premier League: Outright odds and predictions

Man City have been up and down for large parts of this season but now find themselves right on the coattails of Arsenal with the season moving towards the run-in.

Their dramatic win at Anfield was a decisive moment in the title race and has given them both the fuel and belief to charge down the Gunners, who remain the narrow favourites in the betting in what is now very much a two-horse race for the title.

Man City odds to finish in the 2025-26 Premier League top four: Outright odds and predictions

Man City haven’t finished outside of the top four since the 2009-10 season, which was just the second under the controversial ownership of the Abu Dhabi United Group.

That run doesn’t look like ending anytime soon with Pep Guardiola’s side looking up rather than down as the season approaches crunch time.

TeamBetMGM oddsImplied probability
Man City1/5098%
Manchester United11/2064.5%
Aston Villa11/2064.5%
Liverpool7/1058.8%
Chelsea9/430.8%

Man City odds to finish in the 2025-26 Premier League top six: Outright odds and predictions

Following on from their brilliant run of top four finishes, Man City haven’t finished outside the top six since the very first year of Sheikh Mansour’s reign.

Just to crystallise how much the takeover changed both the club and English football as a whole, City had previously not finished in the top six in the post-1992 Premier League era.

Bookmakers aren’t even offering odds on a Man City top six finish anymore, with the Cityzens expected to comfortably finish in this bracket.

TeamBetMGM oddsImplied probability
Man CityN/A
Manchester United1/5098%
Aston Villa1/4097.5%
Liverpool1/1894.7%

Man City Golden Boot odds: Outright odds and predictions

Erling Haaland remains the man to beat in the Premier League Golden Boot race after missing out last year to Mohamed Salah. The Norwegian has been in excellent form in front of goal throughout the campaign to date and is the red-hot favourite in the betting, although he’ll need to keep an eye out for Brentford’s Igor Thiago, who is also enjoying a superb season. However, it would be a major surprise if the Man City man didn’t win his third award in four seasons.

Man City PFA Player of the Year odds: Outright odds and predictions

A Man City player has been named the PFA Player of the Year in four of the past six seasons. Kevin De Bruyne won back-to-back awards in the 2019/20 and 2020/21 seasons despite Liverpool romping to the title in that first campaign.

Erling Haaland won the award in his brilliant first season while Phil Foden – whose form has since dipped – picked up the gong in the 2022/23 season.

Haaland is once again Man City’s best bet this term at odds of 13/8, just behind the current leading contender Declan Rice at 4/5. Haaland’s teammate Antoine Semenyo is another name to consider at 20/1, with Marc Guehi at 50/1.

PlayerBetMGM oddsImplied probability
Declan Rice4/555.5%
Erling Haaland13/838.1%
Gabriel7/112.5%
Bruno Fernandes8/111.1%
Antoine Semenyo20/14.8%
Macr Guehi50/12%
Martin Zubimendi50/12%
Bukayo Saka66/11.4%
William Saliba66/11.4%
Morgan Rogers66/11.4%

Man City ins and outs

Man City had a big summer, spending just under £175million on the likes of Tijjani Reijnders, Rayan Cherki, Rayan Ait-Nouri, Gianluigi Donnarumma, and James Trafford. City continued their rebuild in January with two big signings in Antoine Semenyo and Marc Guehi.

The Bournemouth winger signed for £62.5m, while the England centre-back was picked up for a cut-price transfer fee of £20m as his Crystal Palace contract up at the end of the season. Both players have gotten off to excellent starts and could prove decisive as Guardiola chases trophies on four fronts.

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