Our Falcons vs Packers prediction opens Week 3 in the small hours, and it is a grim watch for anyone staying up on Atlanta’s behalf. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Atlanta Falcons have not reached the red zone once this season and were beaten 34-3 at home by Carolina. The Green Bay Packers have taken 26 penalties for 231 yards and sit at 1-1. Lambeau Field on a Thursday is not where a broken offence recovers.
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
Atlanta FalconsWin prob27%
Green Bay PackersWin prob73%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Falcons vs Packers: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Falcons vs Packers: 2026 form so far
One side cannot score and the other cannot stop giving yards away. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has actually allowed.
Falcons attack against the Packers defence
| Per game | Falcons offence | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 123.5 | 175.0 |
| Rushing yards | 138.5 | 87.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| Passer rating | 38.2 | 95.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 24.0% | 47.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 0 trips | 85.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 3.5 |
Packers attack against the Falcons defence
| Per game | Packers offence | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.5 | 239.0 |
| Rushing yards | 64.5 | 63.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Passer rating | 89.6 | 97.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 19.0% | 33.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 37.5% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.5 | 2.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Atlanta’s 38.2 passer rating and zero red-zone trips are the numbers that settle this. Green Bay’s 26 penalties for 231 yards are why it might stay closer than it should.
Falcons vs Packers injury report and team news
Cooper Rush and Jack Strand split Atlanta’s throws against Carolina, combining for 145 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions at a 28.8 rating.
Micah Parsons remains on the physically unable to perform list for Green Bay, so the Packers are still without the defender who managed 12.5 sacks last season.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Atlanta FalconsGreen Bay PackersThe matchup that settles it: an Atlanta offence that has not reached the red zone
Atlanta have not had a red-zone snap all season. Not in 57 plays at Pittsburgh, not in 67 at home to Carolina, and their only touchdown came on a 90-yard receiving afternoon from Bijan Robinson.
Green Bay won at the Jets with 199 total yards and one third down from nine. Jordan Love threw for 145 and two scores, and it was enough.
Discipline is the one route back for Atlanta. Fourteen penalties for 133 yards in New York, 26 for 231 across the season, and the Falcons are not equipped to punish anyone playing cleanly.
Players to watch
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): 16 carries for 72 yards against Carolina.
- Drake London (ATL, WR): Four catches for 51 yards in a three-point afternoon.
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): Two touchdown passes at the Jets from 29 attempts.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): Four catches and a score in Week 2, after 147 yards in the opener.
How to watch Falcons vs Packers
Kickoff is 1.15am BST in the early hours of Friday, September 25, which is 8:15 PM ET on the Thursday evening at Lambeau Field. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries it live. Thursday night games are never subject to the UK blackout, so there is nothing to work around. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Falcons vs Packers |
|---|---|
| Date | Thursday, September 24, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1.15am BST Friday / 8:15 PM ET Thursday |
| Venue | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Falcons vs Packers prediction and score projection
Our Falcons vs Packers prediction is a Green Bay win, 23-10. The Packers are unconvincing but Atlanta have not scored a touchdown since the opening week.
The live win probability updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Falcons vs Packers FAQ
Green Bay, at home on Thursday night. The Packers are 1-1; Atlanta are 0-2 with one touchdown all season.
1.15am BST in the early hours of Friday, September 25, which is 8:15 PM ET on the Thursday.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN streams it live. Night games are never blacked out.
No. Parsons is on the physically unable to perform list and has not featured this season.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change