Our Chiefs vs Dolphins prediction is the most lopsided of the 6pm window, and a defence that has not touched a quarterback is the reason. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Miami Dolphins have recorded zero sacks in two games. The Kansas City Chiefs put 523 yards on Indianapolis and held the ball for 37 minutes. Patrick Mahomes with time is not the visitor Miami needed.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins
Kansas City ChiefsWin prob69%
Miami DolphinsWin prob31%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Chiefs vs Dolphins: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Chiefs vs Dolphins: 2026 form so far
A two-game sample, but an unusually clear one. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has actually allowed.
Chiefs attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 271.5 | 223.5 |
| Rushing yards | 186.0 | 112.5 |
| Yards per carry | 5.6 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 103.8 | 118.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 46.7% | 50.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 88.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Dolphins attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 183.5 | 162.5 |
| Rushing yards | 88.0 | 90.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 83.5 | 78.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.0% | 29.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 4.5 | 2.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Zero sacks in two games shapes everything here. Miami have also conceded 88.9% in the red zone, so the trips Kansas City earn tend to finish as touchdowns.
Chiefs vs Dolphins injury report and team news
Malik Willis threw for 197 and a touchdown at San Francisco but was sacked four times, and 77 of those yards came on one throw to Ryan Miller.
De’Von Achane carried 20 times for 74 yards, his workload up sharply after 11 carries in the opener.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Kansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsThe matchup that settles it: a pass rush that does not exist
Miami have not sacked a quarterback this season, across two games. Kansas City conceded only two sacks to Indianapolis while running 78 plays.
The Chiefs are winning on possession rather than fireworks. Thirty-seven minutes of the ball, 29 carries, and Kenneth Walker III adding 61 receiving yards to 117 rushing.
Miami reached the red zone twice at San Francisco and scored from neither. Against a side converting 60% of its own trips, that gap is the game.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 32 of 47 for 382 yards and three touchdowns against Indianapolis.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): 117 rushing yards and 61 receiving in Week 2.
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): 20 carries for 74 yards at San Francisco.
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): 197 yards and a touchdown, sacked four times.
How to watch Chiefs vs Dolphins
Kickoff is 6pm BST on Sunday, September 27, which is 1:00 PM ET in Miami Gardens. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Dolphins |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6:00pm BST / 1:00 PM ET, Sunday 27 Sep |
| Venue | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Dolphins prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Dolphins prediction is a Kansas City win, 31-17. Mahomes against a front generating no pressure is the clearest edge of the afternoon.
The live win probability updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 1:15 AM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | You are here |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 6:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 9:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 9:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Mon 1:20 AM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Tue 1:15 AM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Chiefs vs Dolphins FAQ
Kansas City, comfortably, despite playing away. The Chiefs are 2-0; Miami are 0-2 and have not recorded a sack.
6pm BST on Sunday, September 27, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show two games free-to-air every Sunday, and those are not blacked out.
None in two games, against Las Vegas and San Francisco.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change