Using underlying data from this and previous seasons, we’ve tasked our advanced AI model with creating Premier League predictions with correct score picks on every match of the 2026/27 campaign.
Our AI predictor combines data from matches in this season, previous seasons, bookmakers and more to determine the most likely correct score outcome from the game.
As the tournament progresses, the model will focus more heavily on the games that have already taken place within the tournament and it will look beyond results to input shot, possession and general match momentum data to see where value may lie.
Arsenal vs Leeds United
AI Prediction: 2-0
Arsenal are second after five matches, with 12 points, while Leeds are fifth on nine. The league positions are close enough to make this a proper test, but Arsenal have offered the cleaner defensive base, conceding four goals and keeping three clean sheets. Leeds have also allowed only three, though their attacking output is more modest: seven goals from 60 shots, compared with Arsenal’s eight from 65. Arsenal’s 7.67 xG is a useful edge over Leeds’ 7.05, and the visitors have drawn three of their five games. That capacity to stay in contests matters, but the prediction leans to the home side controlling the bigger moments and finding a second goal late on.
Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion
AI Prediction: 1-2
Brighton arrive third with 10 points and the division’s strongest attacking return so far: 16 goals from 10.58 xG, 95 shots and 14 big chances created. Sunderland are 14th on four points, although their 9.21 xG suggests they have created more than their six goals indicate. The concern is at the other end. Sunderland have conceded 10 in five matches and kept one clean sheet, while Brighton have scored in every league outing. Brighton’s open approach can leave space, and Sunderland have 25 shots on target to show they can punish loose defending. Still, the visitors’ volume and chance quality make them the more convincing pick, with the home side likely to contribute rather than be overrun.
Ipswich Town vs Fulham
AI Prediction: 1-1
Ipswich are 11th with six points and have scored seven times, but their five matches have also produced 11 goals conceded and no clean sheet. Fulham sit 19th on two points, yet their underlying numbers are less bleak than that position suggests: 7.24 xG, 72 shots and 58 chances created. Ipswich have generated 5.89 xG and 23 shots on target, so there is enough attacking intent on both sides to make a goalless game unlikely. Neither defence has been reliable, with Fulham conceding eight and Ipswich 11. The prediction is a draw because Fulham’s chance creation should travel, while Ipswich’s finishing and home edge give them a route back into the match.
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Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth
AI Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea are 10th with seven points, a fair reflection of a side that has scored 10 but conceded 12 in five games. Bournemouth are 17th on three points and remain without a win, although their 7.25 xG and 68 shots show a team creating enough to be more competitive. Chelsea have the sharper scoring record and 12 big chances created, while Bournemouth have made nine. The issue for the visitors is game management: no clean sheets and eight conceded have made their good spells hard to convert into results. Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet either, so the prediction is not for a serene home afternoon. It is for the extra attacking quality of the hosts to make the difference in a match with chances at both ends.
Aston Villa vs Brentford
AI Prediction: 1-2
Aston Villa are 16th with four points and have found the net only four times in five matches. Their 4.55 xG and 12 shots on target point to a side still searching for fluency. Brentford are fourth on nine points, unbeaten, and their attacking numbers support that start: 10 goals, 9.23 xG and 81 shots. The visitors have conceded only four times and kept two clean sheets, a useful contrast with Villa’s nine conceded. Villa can take encouragement from playing at home and from Brentford’s three draws, but this prediction favours the team with the more repeatable attacking process. Brentford have created 54 chances to Villa’s 38, and should generate enough pressure to edge a tight contest.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur
AI Prediction: 2-1
Manchester United are 12th with five points, but their underlying attack is among the busier in the league: 9.56 xG, 113 shots and 81 chances created. The gap between that creation and eight goals leaves room for improvement rather than panic. Tottenham are bottom on two points and have scored only twice, despite 5.27 xG and 71 shots. They have been competitive in parts, but eight goals conceded and two clean sheets tell the story of a side struggling to turn spells of possession into points. United have conceded eight too, so a clean sheet would be an ambitious call. The prediction expects their shot volume and home setting to produce the clearer opportunities, with Spurs capable of one response.
Hull City vs Everton
AI Prediction: 1-1
Hull are eighth on eight points and have made a settled start, conceding four goals and keeping three clean sheets. Everton are seventh on nine points with the same three-clean-sheet total, so this is a meeting of two teams whose defensive work has carried them into the top half. Hull have scored six from 5.42 xG, while Everton have six from 6.51 xG and 80 shots. Everton create more frequently, with 60 chances to Hull’s 43, but Hull have shown they can keep games compact and force opponents into lower-value decisions. The prediction is a draw rather than an Everton win because Hull’s home record and defensive consistency are a meaningful counterweight. One goal each looks the sensible middle ground.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest
AI Prediction: 1-0
Crystal Palace are 15th on four points and have conceded 11 goals, which makes the 10 big chances they have created more relevant than their league position alone. Nottingham Forest are 13th on five points and have conceded only five, but their return of four goals from 7.54 xG hints at a finishing issue. Forest have produced 82 shots and 64 chances, more volume than Palace, so the visitors should not be dismissed. Palace, however, have the home setting and a slightly more direct route to a goal, with six scored from 53 shots. This prediction is deliberately narrow: neither team has a convincing results profile, but Forest’s goal return has not matched their build-up and Palace may exploit that in a low-scoring game.
Liverpool vs Manchester City
AI Prediction: 1-2
This is the standout fixture, with Manchester City first on 15 points and Liverpool sixth on nine. City have scored 13 goals, created 15 big chances and put 27 shots on target, while Liverpool have conceded only four and kept three clean sheets. That defensive record gives the hosts a serious platform, and Liverpool’s 7.67 xG matches Arsenal’s total across five matches. City’s attacking edge is still clear: 8.66 xG and five straight wins, even if their five goals conceded show there is a route into the game for Liverpool. The prediction gives City a narrow advantage because of the quality and frequency of their chances, not because a Liverpool response would be surprising.
Coventry City vs Newcastle United
AI Prediction: 0-2
Coventry are 18th with three points and have scored once in five league matches. Their 4.53 xG and 51 shots suggest some openings have been created, but the conversion has not followed, while 10 conceded leaves little margin for error. Newcastle are ninth on eight points and have scored nine, although their 4.86 xG is modest beside that return. The visitors have also conceded nine, so this is not a prediction built on an immaculate defensive record. It rests on Coventry’s lack of output and Newcastle’s greater match-winning potential in the final third. Newcastle have created eight big chances to Coventry’s four, and the expectation is that they convert that advantage into a controlled away win.
The stats so far
Of course, we wouldn’t keep you in the dark in terms of how our AI model is doing with its weekly predictions. Here’s the latest:
| Matches Predicted: | 50 |
| Correct Scores: | 4 |
| Correct Outcomes: | 22 |
| Correct Score hit-rate: | 8% |
| Correct Outcome hit-rate: | 44% |
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