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Squawka / News / World Cup / England vs Argentina: predictions, best bets and latest odds

England vs Argentina: predictions, best bets and latest odds

15 Jul · 20:00 Mercedes-Benz Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    8
  • 2
    England
    Harry Kane
    6
  • 3
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    6
  • 4
    Argentina
    Lautaro Martínez
    2
  • 5
    Argentina
    Enzo Fernández
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    33
  • 2
    England
    Harry Kane
    22
  • 3
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    17
  • 4
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    10
  • 5
    England
    Marcus Rashford
    9
Tackles Won
  • 1
    England
    Elliot Anderson
    14
  • 2
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    10
  • 3
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    9
  • 4
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    8
  • 5
    Argentina
    Cristian Romero
    7
Assists
  • 1
    England
    Anthony Gordon
    3
  • 2
    England
    Bukayo Saka
    3
  • 3
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    2
  • 4
    Argentina
    Gonzalo Montiel
    1
  • 5
    Argentina
    Rodrigo De Paul
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    21
  • 2
    England
    Declan Rice
    13
  • 3
    England
    Noni Madueke
    9
  • 4
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    8
  • 5
    England
    Anthony Gordon
    6
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Argentina
    Leandro Paredes
    427
  • 2
    England
    Ezri Konsa
    404
  • 3
    England
    Marc Guéhi
    387
  • 4
    Argentina
    Enzo Fernández
    365
  • 5
    Argentina
    Lisandro Martínez
    365
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    15
  • 2
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    12
  • 3
    England
    Anthony Gordon
    8
  • 4
    Argentina
    Enzo Fernández
    6
  • 5
    England
    Bukayo Saka
    6
Interceptions
  • 1
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    9
  • 2
    Argentina
    Cristian Romero
    8
  • 3
    England
    Elliot Anderson
    7
  • 4
    Argentina
    Rodrigo De Paul
    6
  • 5
    Argentina
    Exequiel Palacios
    5
England England
  • Jordan Henderson Midfielder · Broken Arm · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Bukayo Saka Attacker · Achilles Strain · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Jarell Quansah Defender · Red card suspension · 2 matches
Argentina Argentina
  • Nico Paz Attacker · Knee Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Lionel Messi Attacker · Hamstring · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Gonzalo Montiel Defender · Thigh Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Thiago Almada Midfielder · Muscle Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

01
Pickford
03
O'Reilly
06
Guéhi
02
Konsa
24
James
04
Rice
08
Anderson
18
Gordon
10
Bellingham
20
Madueke
09
Kane
22
Martínez
10
Messi
11
Lo Celso
24
Fernández
20
Mac Allister
07
De Paul
25
Medina
06
Martínez
13
Romero
26
Molina
23
Martínez

League Standings table is not available yet.

England vs Argentina predictions for this highly-anticipated World Cup 2026 semi-final showdown point to an entertaining and competitive contest at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Wednesday 15th July (8pm UK time).

England are just one win away from reaching their first World Cup final since their famous triumph in 1966, having overcome DR Congo, co-hosts Mexico, and Norway so far in the knockout stages.

The Three Lions now face their toughest test yet against defending champions Argentina, who are targeting their sixth World Cup final, and third in the last four editions of the tournament, as the three-time winners seek to become the first country to successfully defend the coveted trophy since their rivals Brazil achieved this rare feat in 1958 and 1962.

Bet365 UK England VS Argentina
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England vs Argentina predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Jude Bellingham to score16/5 @ AK Bets (23.8%)⭐⭐⭐Jude Bellingham has been the driving force behind England’s run to the World Cup semi-finals, winning four Player of the Match awards while registering six goals and one assist, which has fired him into the mix for the Golden Ball award. The Real Madrid star heads into Wednesday’s semi-final in red-hot form after scoring back-to-back braces against both Mexico and Norway, making the 16/5 on offer for him to score anytime look particularly tempting.
Score draw18/5 @ BetAhoy (21.7%)⭐⭐⭐There is little to separate the two rivals in their first meeting since 2005, with England installed as slight favourites ahead of what promises to be a tightly contested semi-final. Argentina needed extra-time in two of their three knockout matches, while England were also pushed beyond 90 minutes by Norway, which suggests that another long night could await us all in Atlanta. With goals on the cards, the value play here could be backing a score draw at 90 minutes.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into England vs Argentina

England

England have navigated their way to the semi-finals with five wins and a draw from their six games to date. The Three Lions opened their campaign with a thrilling 4-2 victory over Croatia, only then to be frustrated by Ghana in a goalless draw, before eventually unlocking Panama in a 2-0 victory, which secured top spot in Group L.

England’s knockout journey has been far from straightforward. Thomas Tuchel’s side appeared to be heading towards a shock last-32 exit against DR Congo after falling behind in the seventh minute, but Harry Kane rescued his country with a dramatic late brace.

England were then pushed to their limits by co-hosts Mexico in a dramatic last-16 clash at altitude at the Azteca. Despite being reduced to 10 men following Jarell Quansah’s 54th-minute red card, England dug deep to cling onto a memorable 3-2 victory.

The quarter-final was an all-European affair against Norway, which saw Jude Bellingham bag a brace as England fought back from behind to win 2-1 in extra time to reach the World Cup semi-finals for just the fourth time in their history.

Bellingham and Kane have been the stars so far, with both players right in the mix for the Golden Boot – and the Golden Ball – with six goals apiece in six games to date.

Argentina

Argentina made the ideal start to their trophy defence after they cruised through the group stages with comfortable wins over Algeria (3-0), Austria (2-0), and Jordan (3-1). During that run, Lionel Messi became the all-time leading goalscorer in World Cup history, and he’s since extended his record tally to 21 goals en route to the semi-finals.

However, it’s been far from plain sailing for the holders in the knockout stages. Firstly, they were taken to extra-time in the round of 32 by Cape Verde, who they eventually defeated 3-2 to avoid a huge upset.

Then, in the last-16, the defending champions were on the verge of a shock 2-0 defeat to Egypt, only to score three goals in the final 11 minutes to claim a dramatic 3-2 victory, which set-up a quarter-final clash against Switzerland. The countries couldn’t be separated at 1-1 after 90 minutes, but Lionel Scaloni’s side took advantage of their extra-man advantage in extra-time to claim a 3-1 victory to record their 14th straight win in all competitions.

England team news

England will definitely be without defender Jarell Quansah, who will see out the second match of his suspension following his red card in the last-16 win over Mexico. Midfielder Jordan Henderson is also out with a broken arm which is sustained in the celebrations of that victory over El Tri.

Ezri Konsa could be set to continue at right-back after he played there against Norway, but Reece James could be brought back into the starting lineup for the first time since Ghana after he came off the bench against the Norwegians. Djed Spence is another option after he made an impact as a substitute in the quarter-finals.

John Stones and Marc Guehi are expected to start in the middle of defence, but Noni Madueke is likely to be replaced on the right-wing by his Arsenal teammate Bukayo Saka.

Argentina team news

Argentina have now played 120 minutes in two of their three knockout stages matches, but there are no fresh injury concerns, so Scaloni is likely to keep faith with the team that started against Switzerland.

This means that Julian Alvarez, who scored a stunning goal in extra-time against the Swiss, should start for the third game in a row up front alongside skipper Lionel Messi. However, Lautaro Martinez will be knocking at the door after he came off the bench to score his side’s third.

Enzo Fernandes, Alexis Mac Allister, and Rodrigo De Paul will operate in the midfield, just ahead of Leandro Paredes. The Premier League duo of Cristian Romero and Lisandro Martinez will be in the heart of the defence, flanked by Nahuel Molina on the right and Nicolas Tagliafico on the left.

Head-to-Head

England and Argentina will renew their famous rivalry for the 15th time, but this will be their first meeting in 21 years when England edged a thrilling friendly 3-2 after a dramatic late brace from Michael Owen.

The Three Lions hold the advantage in the overall head-to-head record, winning six of the 14 previous meetings, with just two Argentina wins. The last competitive clash came at the 2002 World Cup when, under immense pressure, David Beckham calmly converted a match-winning penalty in a 1-0 group-stage triumph.

Argentina, though, have enjoyed some memorable moments in this rivalry. They defeated England on penalties in the 1998 World Cup last-16, and prior to that won 2-1 in the 1986 quarter-finals. That match saw Diego Maradona score the infamous ‘Hand of God’ goal, before producing one of the greatest goals in history just minutes later. Argentina then went on to defeat Belgium and West Germany to lift the trophy.

Prior to that, England claimed victories in the 1962 group stage (3-1) and the 1966 quarter-final (1-0) en route to their first and, so far, only World Cup triumph.

Who will win the latest instalment of this riveting rivalry?

England vs Argentina always seems to be jam-packed with drama, fireworks, and controversial incidents. The latest instalment of this rivalry is unlikely to disappoint as both countries bid to reach the final.

Remarkably, this will be the first time Lionel Messi has faced England during his legendary career, and the World Cup’s all-time leading scorer will be eager to continue his incredible form after playing a key role in his country’s run to the semi-finals.

However, England have their own superstar in Jude Bellingham. The Real Madrid midfielder has been one of the standout players at the tournament, scoring six goals, including match-winning braces against Mexico and Norway. We’re backing Bellingham to continue his goalscoring form into the semi-finals, where he’s priced at 16/5 to score with AK Bets.

Goals could be on the cards in Atlanta, with the clash bringing together three of the leading contenders in the Golden Boot race: Messi, Bellingham, and England captain Harry Kane. With so little separating the two sides, a score draw after 90 minutes looks the value play at 18/5 with BetAhoy ahead of what should be another instant classic.

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