Portugal host Denmark at the Estadio Municipal de Braga on Saturday 14 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with Jorge Jesus’s runaway League A Group 4 leaders looking to tighten their grip on top spot in the Nations League.
Portugal have made light work of this section so far and sit well clear at the summit, while Denmark travel knowing a positive result would keep them in the hunt for a top-two finish. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and we expect the hosts to have a little too much in front of their own supporters.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Portugal vs Denmark, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal to win and both teams to score | 15/8 (bet365) | Portugal have been the group’s standout side and are strong favourites at home, but this is no soft touch to keep quiet. Denmark found the net twice when the sides met in Copenhagen last month and carry a genuine threat through Rasmus Hojlund, so we are not banking on a clean sheet for the hosts. With Jorge Jesus’s forward line expected to carry the greater threat in Braga, a home win in which Denmark also score looks the shrewd way in at 15/8. |
| Portugal to win 2-1 | 15/2 (bet365) | This fits our reading of the game neatly. Portugal have the firepower to break Denmark down on home soil, yet the visitors have shown enough going forward to grab one of their own. A 2-1 home win is our headline score prediction, and at 15/2 with bet365 it offers plenty of value for anyone happy to back the exact outcome rather than just the result. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Portugal go into the game
Portugal go into this round top of League A Group 4 on 12 points from their four matches, having won the lot to open up a healthy cushion at the summit. Jorge Jesus took charge of the national team after the World Cup and has made a flying start, with the hosts closing in on a place in the last eight.
Their most eye-catching result was a 4-2 win away to Denmark in Copenhagen last month, a performance that showed off the attacking depth Jesus has at his disposal. This is also a new era up front: Cristiano Ronaldo announced his retirement from international football earlier this month, and Goncalo Ramos is among those expected to lead the line, with Bruno Fernandes still pulling the strings.
Jesus named his squad on 6 November for the final two group games, and with top spot there for the taking in front of their own fans, the hosts will be in no mood to let their grip slip here.
How Denmark go into the game
Denmark travel to Braga sitting second in the group on six points, still very much in the mix for a top-two finish and the quarter-finals that come with it. Brian Riemer‘s side have shown they can mix it with the best, but they know they let themselves down in the reverse fixture.
That meeting ended in a 4-2 defeat at home to Portugal, a result that exposed some soft edges at the back even as the Danes twice found a way through. Riemer will want a tighter, more disciplined display on the road, with Rasmus Hojlund leading the line and carrying the main goal threat.
Keeping a free-scoring Portugal side quiet in Braga is a tall order, and Denmark will likely need their attacking players at their sharpest to take anything from this one.
Portugal vs Denmark head-to-head
There is little between these sides on recent evidence, with the pair having met only last month in Copenhagen, where Portugal ran out 4-2 winners in a lively contest. Denmark will take heart from the two goals they managed in that game, but the hosts will point to that result and their own commanding group form as reasons for confidence here.
Portugal vs Denmark predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal to win | 1/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Portugal have won all four group games and are well clear at the top of the section. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 4/6 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Denmark found the net twice in Copenhagen last month and carry a threat through Hojlund. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8/15 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture produced six goals and both sides like to play on the front foot. |
| Portugal 2-1 Denmark | 15/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The hosts should have enough quality, but Denmark look capable of a consolation. |
Portugal vs Denmark score prediction
This should be a lively night in Braga. Portugal are the stronger side on paper, unbeaten in the group and backed by a lively home crowd, and we expect Jorge Jesus’s men to control large spells. Denmark, though, showed in Copenhagen that they can hurt this Portugal back line, and we do not see the hosts keeping them out entirely. We think the leaders will have enough to edge it while Denmark grab one of their own, and Anthony Eadson is backing a 2-1 home win. Score prediction: Portugal 2-1 Denmark.
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