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Squawka / News / Previews / Monza vs Atalanta predictions and betting tips: Back Serie A’s top scorer Varela at 7/4

Monza vs Atalanta predictions and betting tips: Back Serie A’s top scorer Varela at 7/4

Sun 8 November, 14:00 U-Power Stadium

Predictions are not available for this match yet.

Monza
0 Monza Wins
0 Draws
5 Atalanta Wins
Atalanta
Head to head stats
5 Goals 21
21 Goals Conceded 5
14 Yellow Cards 8
11 Corners Won 37
59 Shots 101
69 Tackles Won 41
Monza
0 - 4
Atalanta
Serie A · 04 May 2025
Atalanta
2 - 0
Monza
Serie A · 30 Oct 2024
Monza
1 - 2
Atalanta
Serie A · 21 Apr 2024
Atalanta
3 - 0
Monza
Serie A · 02 Sep 2023
Atalanta
5 - 2
Monza
Serie A · 04 Jun 2023
Monza Monza
Serie A 2026/2027
Atalanta Atalanta
Season Stats
10 Matches played 10
17 Goals 16
24 Goals Conceded 20
126 Shots 145
55 Shots On Target 52
43.5% Possession 48.6%
96 Chances Created 112
122 Fouls 100
67 Take-Ons Completed 65
166 Tackles Made 149
17 Yellow Cards 9
1 Red Cards 2
38 Corners Won 42
Take Ons Completed
Monza Monza
Atalanta Atalanta

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03
Lucchesi
07
Mangas
08
Foe Ondoa
47
Mota
09
Varela

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Serie A’s leading scorer Gustavo Varela leads the Monza line against Atalanta at the U-Power Stadium on Sunday, with kick-off at 2pm UK time. Anthony Eadson’s Monza vs Atalanta predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.

Premium Tips

Monza’s red-hot striker, plus goals at both ends with an Atalanta win.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Gustavo Varela to score anytime7/4 (Ladbrokes)Gustavo Varela tops the Serie A scoring charts with nine goals in nine appearances. He has scored in seven of those games, and he has found the net in each of Monza’s last four matches. Moreover, he takes penalties, converting from the spot against Sassuolo and Bologna. Atalanta have conceded in nine of their 10 league games and kept just one clean sheet. Varela is named in Monza’s predicted XI, and he has 12 shots on target from 23 attempts. Ladbrokes’ 7/4 underrates a striker in this sort of form.
Atalanta to win and both teams to score5/2 (Paddy Power)Atalanta are winless in four, but this fixture has been one-way traffic. They have won the last six meetings with Monza, scoring 18 goals. Meanwhile, Monza have lost their last three league games and conceded in nine of 10. Yet the hosts have scored in every league match this season, so a home goal looks likely too. Atalanta have also scored in eight of their 10 games, with Nikola Krstovic on six goals. Paddy Power’s 5/2 covers an away win in an open game.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Monza go into the game

Stuck in 18th on seven points, Monza are in real trouble near the foot of the table. They have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their 10 Serie A games. Last time out, they lost 2-1 at Bologna on 31 October, with Gustavo Varela scoring from the penalty spot.

That was a third straight defeat, after a 3-2 loss at Torino and a 4-1 home thrashing by Napoli. Before that run, Monza had beaten Cagliari 4-0 at the U-Power Stadium. Their home record shows two wins and two defeats, and they have conceded 24 league goals overall.

Goals have not been the problem, though. Monza have scored in all 10 league matches, and Varela has nine of their 17 goals. Jay Robinson is next with two, while Samuele Birindelli has started every game and has 14 shots. Michael Folorunsho is listed among the absentees for this one.

How Atalanta go into the game

Atalanta sit 13th on 11 points, a poor return from three wins, two draws and five defeats. They are winless in four league games, losing 3-2 at Milan and drawing 4-4 with Frosinone and 2-2 at Fiorentina. Last time out, they were beaten 3-0 at home by Parma on 2 November.

Away from home, the picture is worse. Atalanta have yet to win on the road this season, with three defeats and one draw from four trips. They have conceded 20 league goals and kept only one clean sheet, against Bologna in August. Still, they have scored in eight of their 10 league matches.

In attack, Nikola Krstovic leads the way with six league goals from just six starts. Charles De Ketelaere has three assists. However, Raspadori and Gaetano are both listed as absent, while Franck Kessie is a doubt.

Monza vs Atalanta head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
04/05/25Monza0-4Atalanta
30/10/24Atalanta2-0Monza
21/04/24Monza1-2Atalanta
02/09/23Atalanta3-0Monza
04/06/23Atalanta5-2Monza

This fixture has been one-sided. Atalanta have won the last six meetings, scoring 18 goals and conceding just three. The last meeting at this ground ended in a 4-0 away win in May 2025. Even so, Monza have scored in every league game this season.

Monza vs Atalanta predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Gustavo Varela to score anytime7/4 (Ladbrokes)⭐⭐⭐Scored in each of Monza’s last four games.
Atalanta to win and both teams to score5/2 (Paddy Power)⭐⭐Atalanta have won all six meetings.
Both teams to score1/2 (William Hill)⭐⭐Landed in nine of Monza’s 10 league games.
Correct score: Monza 1-2 Atalanta8/1 (bet365)⭐Fits Varela’s form and the head-to-head.

Monza vs Atalanta score prediction

Varela should add to his tally, but Atalanta’s record in this fixture is hard to ignore. The visitors have enough firepower to edge a lively game. Score prediction: Monza 1-2 Atalanta.

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