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Squawka / News / Previews / Lille vs Lens predictions and betting tips: Hosts to extend Nord derby dominance

Lille vs Lens predictions and betting tips: Hosts to extend Nord derby dominance

Fri 30 October, 20:05 Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Predictions are not available for this match yet.

Lille
4 Lille Wins
0 Draws
1 Lens Wins
Lens
Head to head stats
8 Goals 4
4 Goals Conceded 8
15 Yellow Cards 13
26 Corners Won 22
67 Shots 45
52 Tackles Won 59
Lille
3 - 0
Lens
Ligue 1 · 04 Apr 2026
Lens
3 - 0
Lille
Ligue 1 · 20 Sep 2025
Lille
1 - 0
Lens
Ligue 1 · 30 Mar 2025
Lens
0 - 2
Lille
Ligue 1 · 26 Oct 2024
Lille
2 - 1
Lens
Ligue 1 · 29 Mar 2024
Lille Lille
Ligue 1 2026/2027
Lens Lens
Season Stats
8 Matches played 8
11 Goals 16
6 Goals Conceded 12
90 Shots 111
40 Shots On Target 45
48.7% Possession 52.4%
69 Chances Created 88
95 Fouls 98
55 Take-Ons Completed 48
126 Tackles Made 135
13 Yellow Cards 15
1 Red Cards 2
24 Corners Won 52
Lille Lille
Lens Lens

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

The Nord derby lights up Ligue 1 on Friday night as Lille host fierce rivals Lens at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy (8.05pm UK time), with both sides chasing a place near the top of the table.

Our Lille vs Lens predictions and betting tips reflect a fixture Lille have owned of late, even though only two points separate the pair going into the weekend.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson leans on Lille’s derby dominance for two bets at the Pierre-Mauroy.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Ayase Ueda anytime scorer8/5 (bet365)Ayase Ueda has become Lille’s main man through the middle, with two league goals, and gets the nod to score at 8/5. The striker leads the line for a side that has won four of the last five Nord derbies, and he will fancy his chances against a Lens defence that has not kept a single clean sheet in eight games this season. Lens have shipped seven in four away trips, so the openings should be there, and with Lille unbeaten at home Ueda looks the likeliest man to settle a tight derby.
Lille to win to nil4/1 (bet365)The standout angle is Lille’s stranglehold on this fixture at the back. They have kept three clean sheets in the last five meetings with Lens, including a 3-0 win in the most recent derby in April, and this season only six goals conceded is a figure bettered by nobody in Ligue 1, with four shut-outs to boot. Lens, for all their 16 goals, have failed to keep a clean sheet all season and have won only one of their four away games. At 4/1, Lille to win to nil carries real appeal given how often they have shut Lens out in this fixture.

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How Lille go into the game

Lille sit third after eight games, their 15 points built on a mean defence that has conceded just six goals and kept four clean sheets. They are unbeaten at home, winning two and drawing two, though back-to-back 1-1 draws with Brest and then away at Monaco have taken a little gloss off a strong start.

Ayase Ueda has given them a focal point in attack, with Olivier Giroud‘s experience alongside, and the balance has made Lille hard to beat. Their only defeat all season came 2-1 at Nice, and at the Pierre-Mauroy they have yet to lose, making them awkward opponents even for an in-form Lens.

How Lens go into the game

Lens arrive seventh but just two points back, and they carry plenty of attacking threat with 16 goals already, a tally bettered by few. Florian Thauvin, with four goals and a league-high seven assists, has been to the fore in a side that has won its last three, beating Lyon 2-1, Troyes 3-1 and Paris FC 2-1.

The worry for Lens is at the back and on the road. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their eight games and have won just one of four away, conceding seven in the process. Their last outing was a 2-1 home win over Paris FC, but tightening up will be key against a Lille side that rarely wastes chances.

Lille vs Lens: form guide and current league standing

Lille vs Lens head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26Lille3-0Lens
20/09/25Lens3-0Lille
30/03/25Lille1-0Lens
26/10/24Lens0-2Lille
29/03/24Lille2-1Lens

Recent derbies have mostly gone one way. Lille have won four of the last five league meetings, scoring eight and conceding four, though Lens did win 3-0 at home in September 2025. The hosts won the most recent clash 3-0 at the Pierre-Mauroy in April.

Lille vs Lens predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Ayase Ueda anytime scorer8/5 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Ueda leads the line for Lille, and Lens have not kept a clean sheet in any of their eight games.
Lille to win to nil4/1 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Lille have conceded only six league goals and kept three clean sheets in the last five derbies.
Lille6/4 (Betfred)⭐⭐⭐⭐Lens have failed to keep a clean sheet all season and lost four of the last five meetings with Lille.
Both teams to score – No7/5 (Paddy Power)⭐⭐⭐Lille have four clean sheets, and Lens have been held scoreless in three of the last five derbies.
Under 2.5 goals23/20 (BoyleSports)⭐⭐⭐Lille have kept it tight at home, with each of their last three home games producing two goals or fewer.
Lille 2-0 Lens14/1 (Betfred)⭐⭐Lille won the last meeting 3-0 and have kept three clean sheets in five meetings with their rivals.

Lille vs Lens score prediction

Derbies can be scrappy, but the recent evidence is emphatic. Lens travel without a clean sheet to their name and run into a Lille side that has kept three clean sheets in the last five meetings. Expect the hosts to edge it with something to spare. Score prediction: Lille 2-0 Lens.

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