Greece host Serbia at the Panthessaliko Stadium in Volos on Monday 16 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with a Nations League quarter-final place on the line for Ivan Jovanovic‘s side.
Greece sit second in League A Group 2 on eight points, level with Germany and knowing a win here would send them through to the last eight, while Serbia have lost all five of their games and are already relegated. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and the smart money is firmly with the hosts.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Greece vs Serbia, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Greece to win to nil | 6/4 (William Hill) | Greece are as short as 4/9 just to win, which holds little appeal, so we would rather take them to win to nil at a far bigger price. Ivan Jovanovic’s side kept two clean sheets in the group phase and now face a Serbia team that has lost all five of its games and already been relegated. With Greece needing the three points to reach the quarter-finals, we expect a focused display, and at 6/4 with William Hill the win-to-nil is where the value lies against such a short outright. |
| Greece to win 2-0 | 13/2 (Betfred) | Greece won the reverse fixture 2-1 in Belgrade thanks to late goals from Christos Tzolis and Anastasios Douvikas, and they should have far more control on home soil in Volos. Serbia have been beaten in every group game and arrive low on confidence, so a comfortable and clean home win is our headline call. At 13/2 with Betfred, a 2-0 Greece victory is a tempting price. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Greece go into the game
Greece have enjoyed a fine first campaign in League A, climbing to second in Group 2 on eight points, level with Germany and three behind leaders the Netherlands going into the final round. Crucially, they hold the head-to-head edge over Germany after beating them 1-0 in Augsburg and drawing 0-0 at home, so a win over Serbia here would be enough to book a quarter-final place.
Their form read well until the final round, with a 2-1 opening win in Belgrade, that victory in Germany and a 2-2 draw with the Netherlands, but last time out they were hammered 7-0 away to the Dutch. That result dented their goal difference and means there is no room for slip-ups against the group’s bottom side.
Ivan Jovanovic, the Serbian-born coach who has overseen back-to-back promotions to get Greece into League A, will demand a reaction in front of a passionate crowd in Volos, with the carrot of the last eight there for the taking.
How Serbia go into the game
Serbia have endured a campaign to forget, propping up League A Group 2 without a single point and already confirmed for relegation. Veljko Paunovic‘s side have lost all five of their fixtures and have struggled for results throughout a difficult 2026.
They were beaten 2-1 by Greece in the reverse fixture, lost home and away to the Netherlands and were seen off by Germany, home and away, as the goals dried up and the defeats mounted. The gulf between them and the top three in this group has been clear all campaign.
With nothing left to play for but pride, Paunovic will want a performance to take into the next cycle, but the task of going to Greece and ending a long losing run looks a tall order for a team short on confidence.
Greece vs Serbia head-to-head
Greece got the better of Serbia 2-1 when the pair met in Belgrade in September, Christos Tzolis and a late Anastasios Douvikas strike completing a comeback win. Meetings between the two have been relatively rare down the years, but that result sums up the current balance of power, with Greece arriving as strong favourites to complete the double.
Greece vs Serbia predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greece to win | 4/9 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Serbia have lost every group game and are already relegated, while Greece need the win to reach the last eight. |
| Both teams to score – No | 10/11 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Greece kept two clean sheets in the group and Serbia’s attack has looked shot away from home. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 6/5 (Paddy Power) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Several of Serbia’s defeats have come by a single goal, pointing to a controlled rather than high-scoring night. |
| Greece 2-0 Serbia | 13/2 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐ | The reverse finished 2-1 to Greece and the hosts should be more comfortable at home in Volos. |
Greece vs Serbia score prediction
There is a clear gulf in both form and motivation here. Greece are chasing a place in the Nations League quarter-finals and simply have to win, while Serbia are bottom of the group, pointless and already relegated after losing all five of their games. We expect Jovanovic’s side to control possession in Volos, keep things tidy at the back and get the job done without over-extending, so a clean home win is our call, with Anthony Eadson backing a 2-0 Greece victory. Score prediction: Greece 2-0 Serbia.
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