Germany host the Netherlands at the Olympiastadion in Berlin on Monday 16 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with a Nations League quarter-final place still up for grabs for the hosts on the final matchday of Group A2.
The Netherlands have already sealed top spot and a place in the last eight, but Germany go into this one third and needing a win to have any chance of pipping Greece to the runners-up berth. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and we are expecting a tight night in Berlin.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Germany vs Netherlands, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Germany to win | 10/11 (Betfred) | Germany warmed up for this with a 3-1 win away in Serbia and have been the group’s meanest defence, conceding just three goals in five matches. They sit level on points with second-placed Greece and know only a win keeps alive their slim hopes of a quarter-final place, so Jurgen Klopp’s side have every incentive to go for it in front of their own fans. At 10/11 with Betfred, the hosts look the likelier winners against a Dutch team with nothing left to play for. |
| Germany to win 2-1 | 8/1 (bet365) | The Netherlands arrive as the group’s top scorers with 14 goals, including a 7-0 rout of Greece last time out, so a clean sheet looks unlikely even for a tidy German defence. We expect the hosts to carry enough quality to come out on top while the visitors’ attack grabs one of their own, making a 2-1 Germany win our headline score prediction. At 8/1 with bet365 it is a tempting price on an outcome that fits the way we see the game unfolding. |
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How Germany go into the game
Germany go into the final round third in League A Group 2, level on points with second-placed Greece but behind on the head-to-head, so Jurgen Klopp’s side must beat the Netherlands and hope Greece slip up against Serbia to snatch a quarter-final place.
They warmed up with a 3-1 win away in Serbia and have been the group’s meanest defence, conceding just three goals in five matches. The 1-1 draw with the Dutch in Amsterdam back in September was a reminder of how little separates the pair when they meet.
At home in Berlin for their final match of the year, Germany will back their quality and organisation to deliver a win, even if the permutations that follow are largely out of their hands.
How Netherlands go into the game
The Netherlands have already wrapped up top spot and a quarter-final berth, going through the group unbeaten and in scintillating form. Xavi Hernandez’s side signed off the Amsterdam leg of their campaign in style with a 7-0 demolition of Greece last time out.
That result took them to 14 goals for the group, comfortably the most of any side in the section, and underlined the threat carried by the likes of Cody Gakpo in the final third.
With nothing left to play for in terms of qualification, the question is whether the Dutch keep their foot down or ease off in Berlin, though their form suggests they will not want to end a perfect group campaign with a defeat.
Germany vs Netherlands head-to-head
Germany and the Netherlands share one of international football’s great rivalries, and the latest instalment, in Amsterdam in September, ended 1-1. The sides have been hard to split over the longer run too, so another tight contest between these neighbours would be no surprise, even with Germany holding home advantage this time.
Germany vs Netherlands predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany to win | 10/11 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Klopp’s side beat Serbia 3-1 last time out and sit level on points with second-placed Greece. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 2/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The Netherlands have found the net in every group game on their way to a section-high 14 goals. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Germany have scored at least twice in each of their two group wins and need goals here. |
| Germany 2-1 Netherlands | 8/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture in Amsterdam finished 1-1, and little tends to separate these neighbours. |
Germany vs Netherlands score prediction
This has the feel of a proper occasion even with the Dutch already home and hosed at the top. The Netherlands are the form team, unbeaten and brimming with goals after that 7-0 rout of Greece, but they have nothing riding on the result. Germany, by contrast, still have a quarter-final place to chase and will throw everything at it in front of their own supporters, backed by the best defensive record in the group. We expect a tight, open game that the hosts just about edge, with the visitors good enough to grab one, so Anthony Eadson is going for a narrow home win. Score prediction: Germany 2-1 Netherlands.
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