Nottingham Forest take on Burnley on Sunday afternoon at the City Ground, with kick-off set for 2:00pm for the Premier League clash. The Clarets are staring down the barrel. Nineteenth in the table, just four wins all season, and a defence leaking goals like a sieve. Forest, meanwhile sit three points above the relegation zone heading into the weekend. Find our match preview and best bets below.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why I’m Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1/1 @ Bet365 (50%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Burnley score 1.03 and concede 1.97 per game; Forest are at 1.00 and 1.38. Head-to-head is tight — four meetings, never over 3 goals. Both teams struggle to convert, and with nerves high, I’m expecting a cagey, low-scoring affair. 1/1 implies 50%, I make it closer to 55%. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing.
How both teams go into Nottingham Forest vs Burnley
Nottingham Forest are still riding high after reaching the Europa League semi final, but their focus quickly turns back to the Premier League and the fight for survival. With Burnley struggling for form and just one win since November, this looks like a key opportunity to pick up vital points.
Forest know results elsewhere could also swing in their favour, with Tottenham down in the bottom three adding extra pressure around the relegation battle. A win here would not just strengthen their position, it could prove decisive in pulling clear of danger.
Burnley’s relegation fears are edging closer to reality after a defeat to Brighton left them 12 points from safety with just six games remaining, putting them on the brink of dropping back to the Championship. Their form has left little room for optimism, with time quickly running out to turn things around.
There is at least some encouragement in this fixture, with the Clarets unbeaten on their last four visits to the City Ground in all competitions. That record offers a small boost, but they will need far more than history to change their fate.
Nottingham Forest team news
Forest are dealing with several injury concerns after the Europa League clash with Porto, with Murillo, Chris Wood and Callum Hudson Odoi all picking up issues, while Elliot Anderson also missed out due to a family bereavement. Jair Cunha could come into defence if needed, and Dan Ndoye is in line to replace Hudson Odoi on the right flank.
Burnley team news
Josh Laurent remains suspended as he serves the middle game of his three match ban following his red card against Fulham, leaving his side without an option in midfield. There could be a defensive change, with Kyle Walker in contention to return to the starting XI after being named on the bench against Brighton.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 16th | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 33 |
| Burnley | 19th | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 20 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Meetings
These two have met four times in the last three seasons — one win apiece and two draws. Tight contests, never more than three goals in a game. The last one finished 1-1 at Turf Moor back in September.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20/09/25 | Burnley 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 19/05/24 | Burnley 1-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 18/09/23 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| 30/08/23 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Burnley | League Cup |
Can Forest’s Attack Break Down Burnley’s Leaky Defence? Final Thoughts
This isn’t one for the purists. Burnley are desperate, Forest are blunt, and the head-to-heads are always tight. I’m not going near the odds-on about Forest, but Under 2.5 Goals at 1/1 with Bet365 is my main play — the numbers and the context both point that way.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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