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Squawka / News / Newcastle vs Bournemouth: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Newcastle vs Bournemouth: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Newcastle take on Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon. This will be the first game for The Cherries after the announcement that Andoni Iraola will leave at the end of the season, while Eddie Howe’s position as Magpies boss is also uncertain as we move towards the end of the campaign. Find our match preview and best bets below. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy I’m Backing It
Under 2.5 Goals13/8 @ Bet365
(38.1%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Neither side is clinical: Bournemouth convert 31.8% of shots on target, Newcastle 30.2%. Last three meetings: 0-0, 2-2, 2-0. With both averaging under 1.5 goals conceded per game, this screams cagey.
Tyler Adams to be Carded8/5 @ Bet365
(38.5%)
⭐⭐⭐Bournemouth’s midfield is aggressive—323 tackles in 32 games (10.1 per match). Adams is often at the heart of it and has been booked in seven of his 18 Premier League starts this season. 21/10 may not be the biggest of prices, but considering his record over the last cpouple of seasons, he looks worth a punt here.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

How both teams go into Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle’s struggles were on show again at Selhurst Park, where Jean Philippe Mateta scored twice late on to give Crystal Palace a 2-1 comeback win. It marked a third straight defeat in all competitions for the Magpies, who continue to slide down the table.

They have now lost seven league games after scoring first this season, a record in the Premier League, and sit in 14th place. Home form has also dipped, with six defeats at St James’ Park, although their matches remain open, with both teams scoring in each of their last seven games there.

Andoni Iraola is attracting growing interest, with several major clubs likely to be monitoring his situation closely. For now though, his focus remains on Bournemouth, after guiding them to a deserved 2-1 win over Arsenal that stretched their unbeaten league run to 12 matches, including six in a row away from home.

Bournemouth have also been solid defensively, conceding just three goals across that spell, and sit within three points of the top six. They have enjoyed this fixture too, going unbeaten in their last seven Premier League meetings with Newcastle and scoring in every visit to St James’ Park.

Newcastle team news

Newcastle will be without Joelinton after his 10th booking of the season earned him a two match suspension, with Fabian Schar and Emil Krafth also sidelined and Bruno Guimaraes not yet ready to return. Eddie Howe could turn to Joe Willock, Jacob Ramsey or Nick Woltemade to fill the gap in midfield, while William Osula is in line to continue up front after his goal against Crystal Palace.

Bournemouth team news

Bournemouth travel north without any new injury concerns from their win over Arsenal, and Andoni Iraola could even welcome Julio Soler back from a thigh issue, although Lewis Cook and Justin Kluivert are still sidelined. Tyler Adams is building fitness after his recent return, but Ryan Christie and Alex Scott are expected to keep their places in midfield after combining well last time out.

Season Form & Standings

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
AFC Bournemouth11th32101574849-145
Newcastle United14th32126144547-242

Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

These two have met three times in the last two seasons—two draws and a Bournemouth win. The last league meeting finished 0-0, and the FA Cup tie in January was another stalemate. History points to a tight, low-scoring affair.

DateScoreCompetition
10/01/26Newcastle United 2-2 AFC BournemouthFA Cup
21/09/25AFC Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle UnitedPremier League
18/01/25Newcastle United 1-4 AFC BournemouthPremier League
25/08/24AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle UnitedPremier League
17/02/24Newcastle United 2-2 AFC BournemouthPremier League
11/11/23AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Newcastle UnitedPremier League

Can Bournemouth and Newcastle Break the Deadlock? Final Thoughts

This has all the hallmarks of another low-key draw—two mid-table sides, both with leaky defences but not enough cutting edge to take full advantage. The xG numbers say Newcastle should be scoring more, but they’re not. Bournemouth’s attack is streaky and their midfield loves a tackle. I’m backing Under 2.5 Goals at 13/8 with Bet365 and a card for Tyler Adams at 21/10. Don’t expect a classic, but there’s always a way to beat the bookies if you know where to look.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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