Gibraltar host Malta at the Europa Sports Park on Monday 16 November as their Nations League group draws to a close, with a 7.45pm kick-off (UK time) and the hosts out to repeat the resilience that earned them a point in the reverse fixture.
Malta are the clear favourites and have been one of the stronger sides in the section, but Gibraltar held them to a draw last month and will fancy another stubborn display in front of their own supporters. We have been through the form, that recent meeting and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Gibraltar vs Malta, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers, with both selections leaning on the resilience Gibraltar showed when the sides met last month.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar double chance (Gibraltar or draw) | 13/8 (Sky Bet) | Gibraltar may be big outsiders on the win market, but they travelled to Malta last month and came away with a 1-1 draw, showing they can live with Emilio De Leo’s side. Scott Wiseman’s team are well organised and hard to break down, and with home advantage at Europa Sports Park they will relish the chance of another awkward night for the favourites. At 13/8, backing Gibraltar to avoid defeat looks a tidy play against a Malta side that could not beat them first time around. |
| Gibraltar 1-1 Malta | 7/1 (bet365) | When these two met in Malta the game finished 1-1, and there is every chance of a repeat with Gibraltar harder to beat on their own patch. Malta carry the greater attacking threat through the likes of Irvin Cardona, but Gibraltar have shown they can find a goal against this opponent. The 1-1 correct-score line, available at a tempting 7/1, fits perfectly with a tight game we expect to be settled by the odd goal, or not at all. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Gibraltar go into the game
Gibraltar go into the final round under Scott Wiseman, who has overseen the side through this cycle and knows exactly what to expect at this level. The highlight of their campaign was the 1-1 draw away to Malta, a result that showed real resilience against one of the group’s stronger sides.
Elsewhere it has been a familiar struggle for goals and results, with a goalless draw against Andorra in September among their better days before a 2-0 loss to the same opponents last time out, and a heavy 6-0 defeat to the Czech Republic in World Cup qualifying a reminder of the gap to the bigger nations. Home advantage at Europa Sports Park is their best hope here, and after keeping Malta at bay once already they will travel into this one believing another point is on the cards.
How Malta go into the game
Malta arrive as favourites under Emilio De Leo, who took charge of the national side in early 2025 and has had them among the more competitive teams in the section. They beat Andorra home and away across the campaign and will feel they should have had more than a point to show from the meeting with Gibraltar.
That 1-1 draw in Malta is the blot on their copybook, a game in which they were pegged back by a Gibraltar side they were expected to see off. De Leo can look to Irvin Cardona and captain Teddy Teuma for the quality to make the difference, and Malta will travel to Europa Sports Park determined to put that dropped point right and finish the campaign with a win.
Gibraltar vs Malta head-to-head
The pair met in Malta last month in this same Nations League group, with the game finishing 1-1 as Gibraltar dug in for a creditable point. With that the only recent competitive fixture between the two, we have gone with a short write-up rather than a full head-to-head table, and Gibraltar will take heart from that result heading into the return at Europa Sports Park.
Gibraltar vs Malta predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture finished 1-1 and Gibraltar are typically awkward to break down on their own patch. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 13/8 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐ | Both sides found the net in the 1-1 meeting last month, and Gibraltar carry just enough to trouble Malta again. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4/7 (BoyleSports) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Goals are usually at a premium whenever these two play, and the reverse produced just the two. |
| Gibraltar 1-1 Malta | 7/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | A straight repeat of the scoreline from the reverse fixture looks a real possibility in a cagey contest. |
Gibraltar vs Malta score prediction
Malta are rightly favourites and carry the greater threat, but they could not beat Gibraltar first time around and will find Europa Sports Park an awkward place to put that right. Gibraltar have shown throughout the campaign that they are hard to break down, and with home advantage and the memory of that 1-1 draw fresh in the mind, we lean towards another tight, low-scoring affair. We are going for the sides to share the points again in a 1-1 draw. Score prediction: Gibraltar 1-1 Malta.
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