North Macedonia host Slovenia at the Tose Proeski Arena in Skopje on Monday 16 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with the Nations League visitors chasing the win that would secure a promotion play-off place.
Slovenia sit second in League B Group 1 on eight points, needing a win to lock up the runners-up spot behind group winners Switzerland, while North Macedonia prop up the table without a point and are heading for a relegation play-off. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and the smart money is with the visitors.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for North Macedonia vs Slovenia, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Slovenia to win to nil | 11/8 (William Hill) | Slovenia are as short as 8/15 just to win, which offers little value, so we would rather take them to win to nil at a bigger price. Slovenia have kept three clean sheets in the group, including a goalless draw with Switzerland last time out, and face a North Macedonia team that has lost all five of its games and is bound for a relegation play-off. At 11/8 with William Hill, the win-to-nil looks the smart way into a game Slovenia need to control. |
| Slovenia to win 1-0 | 9/2 (bet365) | Slovenia have been built on defensive solidity, keeping three clean sheets and playing out two goalless draws, and they beat North Macedonia 2-0 in the reverse fixture. With a play-off spot to protect, we expect a measured, low-scoring away win rather than a goal glut, so a 1-0 Slovenia victory is our headline call. At 9/2 with bet365 that is a tempting price. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How North Macedonia go into the game
North Macedonia have had a torrid campaign, sitting bottom of League B Group 1 without a point and heading for a relegation play-off. Goce Sedloski, who took charge at the end of 2025, has been unable to arrest the slide in a tough group.
They were beaten 2-0 by Slovenia in the reverse fixture in Ljubljana and have lost to Switzerland and Scotland home and away, though they did at least find the net in a 2-1 defeat at Scotland last time out, their first goal of the group stage.
With survival already out of reach, Sedloski will want a committed performance in front of a home crowd in Skopje, but stopping a well-organised Slovenia is a demanding way to sign off.
How Slovenia go into the game
Slovenia have been the group’s second-best side, sitting second on eight points and in the promotion play-off places with one round to play. A win in Skopje would make the runners-up spot safe regardless of what Scotland do away to Switzerland.
Slovenia have leaned on a solid defence, keeping three clean sheets that include goalless draws with Scotland and Switzerland, the latter coming last time out. They also beat North Macedonia 2-0 and edged Scotland 2-1, with Aljosa Matko and Danijel Sturm among the scorers in that win.
The visitors will want to finish the job professionally, and with their defensive record they look well equipped to see off a struggling North Macedonia.
North Macedonia vs Slovenia head-to-head
Slovenia won the reverse fixture 2-0 in Ljubljana in September, Sandi Lovric and Aljosa Matko on target in the second half. The visitors have had the better of recent meetings and arrive as clear favourites to complete the double in Skopje.
North Macedonia vs Slovenia predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia to win | 8/15 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | North Macedonia have lost all five group games and are bound for a relegation play-off, while Slovenia are chasing promotion. |
| Both teams to score – No | 8/13 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Slovenia have kept three clean sheets in the group, including a goalless draw with Switzerland last time out. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4/6 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of Slovenia’s five group games have featured two goals or fewer, pointing to another tight contest. |
| North Macedonia 0-1 Slovenia | 9/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The visitors won the reverse 2-0 and should edge a cagey game with their play-off place to protect. |
North Macedonia vs Slovenia score prediction
This is a game Slovenia need to win to be sure of the runners-up spot and a promotion play-off, and they have the quality and defensive organisation to get it. North Macedonia are bottom of the group, pointless and facing a relegation play-off after losing all five of their matches. We expect Slovenia to keep things tight, manage the game and take their chance to edge it, so a controlled away win is our call, with Anthony Eadson backing a 1-0 Slovenia victory. Score prediction: North Macedonia 0-1 Slovenia.
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