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Squawka / News / Previews / Iceland vs Luxembourg predictions and betting tips: leaders to seal promotion in style

Iceland vs Luxembourg predictions and betting tips: leaders to seal promotion in style

Iceland host Luxembourg at Laugardalsvollur in Reykjavik on Monday 16 November, 5pm (UK time), knowing a win or a draw will seal top spot in their Nations League group and promotion to League B.

Arnar Gunnlaugsson‘s Iceland have been the runaway side in League C, Group 4, racking up 12 goals and conceding just one on their way to the summit, and they thrashed Luxembourg 3-0 in the reverse fixture back in September. Jeff Strasser‘s Luxembourg prop up the group after four defeats in five, so we have gone through the Iceland vs Luxembourg odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson has gone through the Iceland vs Luxembourg odds and landed on two picks that back the rampant hosts to finish the job in front of their own fans, taken at the best prices across our featured bookmakers.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Orri Steinn Oskarsson to score anytime13/10 (William Hill)Orri Steinn Oskarsson has been the standout marksman in the group and is comfortably Iceland’s biggest goal threat. The Real Sociedad striker scored twice when these sides’ group-mates were beaten and has led the line throughout a campaign in which Iceland have hit 12 goals. He faces a Luxembourg defence that has shipped eight in five games, including three in the reverse fixture, and with Iceland set to dominate the ball at home their main man at 13/10 to score anytime looks a sensible way into the game.
Iceland to win 3-013/2 (bet365)Iceland ran out comfortable 3-0 winners when these sides met in Luxembourg in September, and they go into this one in rampant form having put five past Bulgaria last time out. Luxembourg have lost four of five and leaked goals throughout, so with the hosts needing only a point to seal promotion but in the mood to go through the gears, a repeat 3-0 scoreline at 13/2 appeals as the value correct-score play.

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How Iceland go into the game

Iceland have been in a class of their own in Group 4, leading the way on 11 points from five games and unbeaten under Arnar Gunnlaugsson. With 12 goals scored and just one conceded, they boast comfortably the best attack and defence in the group.

A 5-0 rout of Bulgaria on matchday five was their most emphatic result yet, following the 3-0 win over Luxembourg and further victories built on a ruthless front line and a mean back line. Orri Steinn Oskarsson has led the scoring charts, with Andri Gudjohnsen offering further support in attack.

A point against bottom side Luxembourg would be enough to confirm top spot and promotion to League B, but on this form Gunnlaugsson’s side will be targeting a win to finish the campaign unbeaten and in style on home soil.

How Luxembourg go into the game

Luxembourg go into the final matchday under Jeff Strasser having endured a chastening campaign, propping up the group on three points after losing four of their five games. A 1-0 defeat at home to Estonia last time out summed up their struggles in front of goal.

Their lone bright spot came in a 2-1 win away at Bulgaria on the opening matchday, but it has been downhill since, with heavy losses mixed in among a run that has yielded just two goals scored all campaign. They were beaten 3-0 by Iceland in September and face an even tougher task on the road here.

Strasser’s side will simply hope to keep the scoreline respectable against a buoyant Iceland team with everything to play for. On recent evidence, containing the group’s most prolific attack in Reykjavik looks a tall order.

Iceland vs Luxembourg head-to-head

The sides met in this same Nations League group in September, when Iceland ran out 3-0 winners in Luxembourg, a result in keeping with the gulf between the two this campaign. That remains the key recent meeting between the pair, so we have gone with a short write-up here rather than a full head-to-head table.

Iceland vs Luxembourg predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Iceland to win3/10 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Iceland are unbeaten group leaders and hammered Luxembourg 3-0 in the reverse fixture.
Both teams to score – No8/13 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐Iceland have conceded just once all campaign and Luxembourg have managed only two goals in five games.
Over 2.5 goals4/6 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Iceland have scored 12 goals in the group and ran up a 5-0 win last time out against Bulgaria.
Iceland 3-0 Luxembourg13/2 (bet365)⭐⭐A 3-0 scoreline matches the reverse fixture and fits Iceland’s ruthless home form.

Iceland vs Luxembourg score prediction

Iceland have been the dominant force in this group from start to finish, blending the best attack with the meanest defence, and they come into this knowing a win seals promotion to League B. Luxembourg have been well off the pace all campaign and were comfortably beaten in the reverse fixture, so with the hosts in rampant form after a five-goal haul last time out, we expect a comfortable home win that mirrors that earlier meeting. Score prediction: Iceland 3-0 Luxembourg.

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