Texans vs Jaguars Prediction & Tips: Week 6

The NFL is at Wembley, and Jacksonville are in London for the second week running. Our Texans vs Jaguars prediction covers the 2.30pm BST kickoff.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-1 with a +53 point differential, second only to San Francisco. The Houston Texans are 1-4 despite being outscored by two points across five games, and Marvin Harrison Jr. arrived from Arizona on Sunday.

Week 6 · Editorial pick

Texans vs Jaguars: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

AT

Our props

TotalUnder 41.5 pointsJacksonville concede 2.93 yards a carry, the best run defence in the league, and allow a 33.3% red-zone conversion. Houston have scored 110 points in five games.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

Player propNico Collins 65+ receiving yardsHouston have thrown for 1,309 yards. Jacksonville have conceded 1,331 passing yards, more than any team playing this week, even while allowing only seven touchdowns.

★★☆☆☆2/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Texans vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far

A 4-1 team against a 1-4 team whose point differential is almost level. Each attack in the table is measured against what it is about to face, not against the league.

Texans attack against the Jaguars defence

Jaguars attack against the Texans defence

Figures are season to date, across 5 games.

Jacksonville have allowed 1,331 passing yards and seven touchdowns. They concede ground between the 20s and almost nothing once the field shortens.

Texans vs Jaguars quarterback matchup

Jacksonville rate 106.8 through the air to Houston’s 97.6, and the Jaguars have thrown ten touchdown passes to the Texans’ six.

Texans vs Jaguars injury report and team news

Marvin Harrison Jr. joined Houston from Arizona on 11 October and is available for his first game with the Texans.

Will Anderson Jr. has seven sacks, the most of any player in the NFL.

This is Jacksonville’s second straight home game in London, at Wembley rather than Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The best run defence in football, at Wembley

Jacksonville concede 2.93 yards a carry and no team in the NFL is lower. Houston average 3.38 on the ground, so this is not where the Texans will find anything.

Houston’s case is the pass rush. Eighteen sacks as a team, seven of them Will Anderson Jr.’s, against a Jacksonville line that has conceded ten.

For a British audience this is the pick of the week: a 2.30pm kickoff at Wembley with the second-best team in the league on show.

Players to watch

• Will Anderson Jr. (HOU, DE): Seven sacks, the most of any player in the NFL.
• Nico Collins (HOU, WR): The main target in a passing game worth 1,309 yards.
• Bhayshul Tuten (JAC, RB): 349 rushing yards behind the league’s best run defence.
• Parker Washington (JAC, WR): 352 receiving yards in an offence scoring 24.6 a game.

How to watch Texans vs Jaguars

Kickoff is 2.30pm BST on Sunday 18 October at Wembley Stadium, which is 9:30 AM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the Sunday 6pm and 9pm windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

Texans vs Jaguars prediction and score projection

Our Texans vs Jaguars prediction is Jacksonville by 27-17. The Jaguars have the record, the differential and a run defence Houston cannot get past.

Our projected margin for this game moves alongside the live market price.

Every Week 6 game, previewed

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Texans vs Jaguars FAQ

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change