The first-ever Merseyside derby at the Hill Dickinson Stadium takes place on Sunday afternoon as Everton host Liverpool. The Premier League game can be seen live on Sky Sports and below you can find our match preview and best bets.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why I’m Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton Double Chance | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool have hit a rough patch with four defeats in their last five matches, a sharp drop in form at a crucial stage of the season. Their record away at Goodison Park in recent Merseyside derbies is also underwhelming, with just one win in their last eight visits. Everton come into this one in far better shape, losing just one of their last five games and benefitting from a lighter schedule compared to their rivals. With Liverpool also playing more matches since March, the Toffees may feel fresher heading into a derby that could swing either way. |
| Over 4.5 Total Cards | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | This fixture always simmers. Everton average 1.84 cards per game, Liverpool 1.53, but derbies run hotter than the league average. That’s a combined 3.37 — and factor in the occasion, you’re likely to see 5+ cards. 10/11 is just about backable; I’d make it odds-on in this context. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing.
How both teams go into Everton vs Liverpool
Everton’s strong run of form has pushed them into the European conversation, with confidence growing at just the right time in the season. A win in the first Merseyside derby at their new stadium would take things even further and raise the possibility of an unlikely Champions League push.
They arrive in good shape at home, having won their last two matches without conceding, and will believe they can trouble their rivals again. History is not heavily on their side in this fixture, but this is one of their best chances in years to claim a statement derby victory.
Liverpool’s season has taken a major hit after their midweek Champions League exit to PSG, leaving them focused solely on securing a top five finish in the Premier League. The margin is still four points to sixth-placed Chelsea, but their recent away form is a concern.
The Reds have won just twice on the road since Christmas, with defeats at Bournemouth, Wolves and Brighton underlining their inconsistency away from home. With pressure building, they need a strong finish to avoid slipping further in the race for Europe.
Everton team news
Carlos Alcaraz is pushing to return for his first appearance since January, but Jack Grealish is set to miss the rest of the season with a foot injury. David Moyes is expected to keep changes to a minimum after the draw at Brentford.
Liverpool team news
Hugo Ekitike is out for the rest of the season with an Achilles injury, leaving Liverpool short in attack as Alexander Isak remains the only fit senior striker and may be required to start again after playing the first half against PSG. Mohamed Salah is also in line for a recall after being named on the bench in midweek.
Elsewhere, Alisson Becker is still unavailable, while Conor Bradley and Wataru Endo have all been ruled out for the remainder of the campaign.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5th | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 52 |
| Everton | 8th | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 47 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20/09/25 | Liverpool 2-1 Everton | Premier League |
| 02/04/25 | Liverpool 1-0 Everton | Premier League |
| 12/02/25 | Everton 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 24/04/24 | Everton 2-0 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 21/10/23 | Liverpool 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
| 13/02/23 | Liverpool 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
Can Everton Frustrate Liverpool at Goodison? Final Thoughts
Everton have made a habit of draws at home, with five of their last 13 games finishing level and four of those ending 1-1 after 90 minutes. The Merseyside derby trend at their ground also points the same way, with six of the last eight meetings there finishing all square. Back Everton Double Chance at 4/6 with most firms.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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